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1982-2010年中國縣市尺度流動(dòng)人口核算及地域類型演化

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-03-28 09:47
【摘要】:縣市是中國新型城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展過程中調(diào)控流動(dòng)人口的重要單元。本文系統(tǒng)梳理了1982年、1990年、2000年、2010年四期人口普查的流動(dòng)人口統(tǒng)計(jì)口徑,根據(jù)地理流數(shù)據(jù)的空間尺度轉(zhuǎn)換原則,核算四期人口普查縣市尺度的流入人口和流出人口,構(gòu)建對應(yīng)的流動(dòng)人口空間數(shù)據(jù)庫。并提出新的修正復(fù)合指標(biāo)法,劃分出6種流動(dòng)人口地域類型,包括大規(guī)模凈流入活躍型、小規(guī)模凈流入活躍型、大規(guī)模凈流出活躍型、小規(guī)模凈流出活躍型、平衡活躍型、非活躍型,據(jù)此分析中國流動(dòng)人口地域類型的演化格局。主要結(jié)論為:(1)中國流動(dòng)人口地域類型經(jīng)歷了從不活躍到活躍、從相對均勢到高度極化的演化過程,大部分地區(qū)逐步轉(zhuǎn)化為凈流出活躍型,流動(dòng)人口向少數(shù)凈流入活躍型縣市集聚,51個(gè)大規(guī)模凈流入活躍型縣市集聚了全國55.85%的流入人口。(2)中國流動(dòng)人口地域類型在空間格局同樣呈現(xiàn)高度極化的演化過程,形成長三角地區(qū)、珠三角地區(qū)2個(gè)流入人口高度集聚區(qū),京、津及其他省會(huì)或首府等大城市則呈現(xiàn)單核式吸納流入人口,凈流出活躍型在"胡煥庸線"東南側(cè)的"秦嶺—淮河"以南地區(qū)呈現(xiàn)大面積擴(kuò)張,成為中國最大的流出人口源區(qū)。(3)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素逐步成為影響流動(dòng)人口集疏的主導(dǎo)因素,行政等級(jí)因素的作用也愈發(fā)突出。
[Abstract]:Counties and cities are important units to regulate and control the floating population in the process of new-type urbanization in China. This paper systematically combs the floating population statistics caliber of the four population censuses in 1982, 1990, 2000 and 2010, and calculates the inflow and outflow of population from county and city scale according to the principle of spatial scale conversion of the data of the base area flow, and accounts for the inflow and outflow of population in the county and city scales of the fourth census. The corresponding spatial database of floating population is constructed. A new modified composite index method is proposed to divide six regional types of floating population, including large-scale net inflow active type, small-scale net inflow active type, large-scale net outflow active type, small-scale net outflow active type and balanced active type. According to the non-active type, the evolution pattern of the regional types of floating population in China is analyzed. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the regional types of floating population in China experienced a process of evolution from non-active to active, from relative equilibrium to high polarization, and most areas gradually transformed into net outflow active type. The floating population converged into a small net inflow of active counties and cities. Fifty-one large-scale net inflow counties and cities gathered 55.85 percent of the country's inflow population. (2) the regional types of floating population in China also showed a highly polarized evolution process in the spatial pattern, forming the Yangtze River Delta region. The two highly populated areas in the Pearl River Delta region, while large cities such as Beijing, Tianjin and other provincial capitals or capitals, have single-core absorptive inflows. The active type of net outflow expanded in a large area south of the Qinling-Huaihe River, southeast of the Hu Huanyong Line, and became the largest source of outflow population in China. (3) socio-economic factors gradually became the leading factors affecting the concentration and distribution of floating population. The role of administrative hierarchy is becoming more and more prominent.
【作者單位】: 中國科學(xué)院地理科學(xué)與資源研究所中國科學(xué)院區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展分析與模擬重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;天津師范大學(xué)城市與環(huán)境科學(xué)學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)重點(diǎn)基金項(xiàng)目(71433008,41230632) 國家科技支撐計(jì)劃(2012BAI32B07)~~
【分類號(hào)】:C924.2

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