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城市規(guī)模分層下的流動人口定居意愿研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-09-08 18:04
【摘要】:隨著城鎮(zhèn)化進程的加快,流動人口在城市中的定居意愿與社會融入問題受到了人們的廣泛關注。本文利用“2014年全國流動人口動態(tài)監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)”和2014年《中國城市統(tǒng)計年鑒》等相關數(shù)據(jù),從城市規(guī)模的視角,探討了不同城市規(guī)模分層下流動人口定居意愿的相關影響因素狀況的差異性,以及其對定居意愿影響的差異性,尤其側重論證分析了不同城市規(guī)模分層下的基礎教育、社會保障、工資等因素是如何影響流動人口定居意愿的。首先,對國內外有關城市規(guī)模與流動人口定居的文獻進行了研究和綜述,并運用推拉理論、社會融入理論等,分析了超大城市、特大城市和大城市的“拉力”因素,以及中等城市、小城市中的“推拉”因素。其中“拉力”主要為超大城市、特大城市和大城市中基于集聚效應而帶來的高收入、高就業(yè)率、高質量的基礎教育和完善的社會保障;“推力”主要為小城市中的低收入、低就業(yè)率和較差的基礎教育和社會保障,而超大城市、特大城市和大城市由于人口過多而帶來的環(huán)境惡化、交通擁擠、地租的上升和生活成本的增加等。其次,采用了描述性分析、比較分析的方法,對超大城市、特大城市、大城市、中等城市和小城市下的流動人口定居意愿影響因素進行了現(xiàn)狀描述以及與定居意愿的交互分析,研究發(fā)現(xiàn),在不同城市規(guī)模中的流動人口個體因素、流動因素和社會經濟因素現(xiàn)狀分布和定居意愿存在較大差異。在此基礎上,通過建立二元logistics回歸模型,驗證了個體因素、流動范圍、地區(qū)發(fā)達程度、城市規(guī)模分層、基礎教育、社會保障和工資等對流動人口定居意愿的影響,并通過城市規(guī)模與基礎教育、城市規(guī)模與社會保障、城市規(guī)模與工資的交互項驗證了基礎教育、社會保障、工資的調節(jié)效應。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),個體因素、城市規(guī)模、基礎教育、社會保障和工資對流動人口定居意愿存在顯著的正向影響;其中基礎教育、社會保障和工資正向調節(jié)了城市規(guī)模對流動人口定居意愿的關系。最后,我們在研究結論的基礎上,針對相關問題,提出了增強流動人口在城市中定居意愿的一些政策建議,如深化戶籍制度改革、合理規(guī)劃城市規(guī)模、實現(xiàn)流動人口子女的教育公平、健全社會保障體系、加強流動人口職業(yè)教育培訓等等。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of urbanization, people pay more and more attention to the problem of settlement intention and social integration of floating population in cities. From the perspective of urban scale, this paper makes use of the relevant data, such as "National floating population dynamic Monitoring data 2014" and "China Urban Statistics Yearbook 2014". This paper probes into the difference of the influencing factors of the floating population's willingness to settle under different urban scale stratification, and the difference of its influence on the settlement intention, especially the basic education under the different urban scale stratification. Social security, wages and other factors are how to affect the willingness of the floating population to settle down. First of all, this paper studies and summarizes the literature on urban scale and floating population settlement at home and abroad, and analyzes the "pull force" factors of megacities, mega-cities and mega-cities by using push pull theory and social inclusion theory. And medium cities, small cities in the "push-pull" factor. Among them, "pull force" is mainly for megacities, large cities and large cities with high income, high employment rate, high quality basic education and perfect social security based on agglomeration effect, and "thrust" is mainly low income in small cities. Low employment rate and poor basic education and social security, while mega-cities, mega-cities and large cities due to overpopulation caused by the deterioration of the environment, traffic congestion, rising government rent and the cost of living, and so on. Secondly, using descriptive analysis and comparative analysis, the paper describes the current situation of the factors affecting the migrant population's willingness to settle in megacities, mega-cities, medium-sized cities and small cities, and analyzes the interaction between them. It is found that there are great differences in the distribution of individual factors, floating factors and social and economic factors and the willingness to settle in different cities. On this basis, by establishing a dual logistics regression model, the author verifies the influence of individual factors, mobility range, regional level of development, urban scale stratification, basic education, social security and wages on the willingness of the floating population to settle down. Through the interaction of urban scale and basic education, urban scale and social security, urban scale and wage, the adjustment effects of basic education, social security and wages are verified. The study found that individual factors, urban size, basic education, social security and wages have significant positive effects on the willingness of migrants to settle down. Social security and wages positively regulate the relationship between urban scale and the willingness of migrants to settle down. Finally, on the basis of the conclusion of the study, we put forward some policy suggestions to strengthen the willingness of floating population to settle in cities, such as deepening the reform of the household registration system, rationally planning the scale of the city. To realize the education equity of the children of floating population, to perfect the social security system, to strengthen the vocational education and training of the floating population and so on.
【學位授予單位】:重慶工商大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:C924.2

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