【摘要】：隨著城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的加快,流動(dòng)人口在城市中的定居意愿與社會(huì)融入問(wèn)題受到了人們的廣泛關(guān)注。本文利用“2014年全國(guó)流動(dòng)人口動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)”和2014年《中國(guó)城市統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒》等相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),從城市規(guī)模的視角,探討了不同城市規(guī)模分層下流動(dòng)人口定居意愿的相關(guān)影響因素狀況的差異性,以及其對(duì)定居意愿影響的差異性,尤其側(cè)重論證分析了不同城市規(guī)模分層下的基礎(chǔ)教育、社會(huì)保障、工資等因素是如何影響流動(dòng)人口定居意愿的。首先,對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外有關(guān)城市規(guī)模與流動(dòng)人口定居的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了研究和綜述,并運(yùn)用推拉理論、社會(huì)融入理論等,分析了超大城市、特大城市和大城市的“拉力”因素,以及中等城市、小城市中的“推拉”因素。其中“拉力”主要為超大城市、特大城市和大城市中基于集聚效應(yīng)而帶來(lái)的高收入、高就業(yè)率、高質(zhì)量的基礎(chǔ)教育和完善的社會(huì)保障;“推力”主要為小城市中的低收入、低就業(yè)率和較差的基礎(chǔ)教育和社會(huì)保障,而超大城市、特大城市和大城市由于人口過(guò)多而帶來(lái)的環(huán)境惡化、交通擁擠、地租的上升和生活成本的增加等。其次,采用了描述性分析、比較分析的方法,對(duì)超大城市、特大城市、大城市、中等城市和小城市下的流動(dòng)人口定居意愿影響因素進(jìn)行了現(xiàn)狀描述以及與定居意愿的交互分析,研究發(fā)現(xiàn),在不同城市規(guī)模中的流動(dòng)人口個(gè)體因素、流動(dòng)因素和社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素現(xiàn)狀分布和定居意愿存在較大差異。在此基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)建立二元logistics回歸模型,驗(yàn)證了個(gè)體因素、流動(dòng)范圍、地區(qū)發(fā)達(dá)程度、城市規(guī)模分層、基礎(chǔ)教育、社會(huì)保障和工資等對(duì)流動(dòng)人口定居意愿的影響,并通過(guò)城市規(guī)模與基礎(chǔ)教育、城市規(guī)模與社會(huì)保障、城市規(guī)模與工資的交互項(xiàng)驗(yàn)證了基礎(chǔ)教育、社會(huì)保障、工資的調(diào)節(jié)效應(yīng)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),個(gè)體因素、城市規(guī)模、基礎(chǔ)教育、社會(huì)保障和工資對(duì)流動(dòng)人口定居意愿存在顯著的正向影響;其中基礎(chǔ)教育、社會(huì)保障和工資正向調(diào)節(jié)了城市規(guī)模對(duì)流動(dòng)人口定居意愿的關(guān)系。最后,我們?cè)谘芯拷Y(jié)論的基礎(chǔ)上,針對(duì)相關(guān)問(wèn)題,提出了增強(qiáng)流動(dòng)人口在城市中定居意愿的一些政策建議,如深化戶(hù)籍制度改革、合理規(guī)劃城市規(guī)模、實(shí)現(xiàn)流動(dòng)人口子女的教育公平、健全社會(huì)保障體系、加強(qiáng)流動(dòng)人口職業(yè)教育培訓(xùn)等等。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of urbanization, people pay more and more attention to the problem of settlement intention and social integration of floating population in cities. From the perspective of urban scale, this paper makes use of the relevant data, such as "National floating population dynamic Monitoring data 2014" and "China Urban Statistics Yearbook 2014". This paper probes into the difference of the influencing factors of the floating population's willingness to settle under different urban scale stratification, and the difference of its influence on the settlement intention, especially the basic education under the different urban scale stratification. Social security, wages and other factors are how to affect the willingness of the floating population to settle down. First of all, this paper studies and summarizes the literature on urban scale and floating population settlement at home and abroad, and analyzes the "pull force" factors of megacities, mega-cities and mega-cities by using push pull theory and social inclusion theory. And medium cities, small cities in the "push-pull" factor. Among them, "pull force" is mainly for megacities, large cities and large cities with high income, high employment rate, high quality basic education and perfect social security based on agglomeration effect, and "thrust" is mainly low income in small cities. Low employment rate and poor basic education and social security, while mega-cities, mega-cities and large cities due to overpopulation caused by the deterioration of the environment, traffic congestion, rising government rent and the cost of living, and so on. Secondly, using descriptive analysis and comparative analysis, the paper describes the current situation of the factors affecting the migrant population's willingness to settle in megacities, mega-cities, medium-sized cities and small cities, and analyzes the interaction between them. It is found that there are great differences in the distribution of individual factors, floating factors and social and economic factors and the willingness to settle in different cities. On this basis, by establishing a dual logistics regression model, the author verifies the influence of individual factors, mobility range, regional level of development, urban scale stratification, basic education, social security and wages on the willingness of the floating population to settle down. Through the interaction of urban scale and basic education, urban scale and social security, urban scale and wage, the adjustment effects of basic education, social security and wages are verified. The study found that individual factors, urban size, basic education, social security and wages have significant positive effects on the willingness of migrants to settle down. Social security and wages positively regulate the relationship between urban scale and the willingness of migrants to settle down. Finally, on the basis of the conclusion of the study, we put forward some policy suggestions to strengthen the willingness of floating population to settle in cities, such as deepening the reform of the household registration system, rationally planning the scale of the city. To realize the education equity of the children of floating population, to perfect the social security system, to strengthen the vocational education and training of the floating population and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：C924.2

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