武漢城市圈人口對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-09-08 11:16
【摘要】： 武漢城市圈是建設(shè)資源節(jié)約型和環(huán)境友好型社會的綜合配套改革實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)和中部崛起的戰(zhàn)略要地,它的發(fā)展不僅有利于帶動湖北省經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,也有利于帶動中部地區(qū)乃至全國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。因此武漢城市圈的發(fā)展引起了學(xué)術(shù)界密切關(guān)注,尤其是近幾年關(guān)于武漢市城市圈的研究成果越來越多,研究的角度也各有不同,但是從“人口”對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響角度進(jìn)行深入研究的成果卻沒有,這可能是因?yàn)槲錆h城市圈發(fā)展并不成熟,在數(shù)據(jù)收集和整理方面也存在很多困難。本文主要從比較研究和實(shí)證研究的角度對武漢城市圈的人口經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系進(jìn)行詳細(xì)的分析,試圖對這一空缺做點(diǎn)彌補(bǔ)。 論文的主要內(nèi)容分為五章,具體包括： 第一章,首先論述了本文的研究背景和研究意義,闡述了本文的研究方法和技術(shù)路線,最后提出了本文的創(chuàng)新之處。 第二章,對人口各因素對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響機(jī)制進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的梳理,為本文的分析建立理論基礎(chǔ)。 第三章、第四章,本文的重點(diǎn)章節(jié)。第三章把長三角、珠三角以及中原城市群、長株潭城市群作為比較對象,從橫向比較的角度考察武漢城市圈在人口與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方面存在的相對優(yōu)勢和劣勢。第四章用定量分析的方法考察人口規(guī)模、人口質(zhì)量和人口結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的具體影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：第一,由于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平較低,武漢城市圈常住人口負(fù)增長,人口外流趨勢增強(qiáng)；第二,武漢城市圈人口已經(jīng)進(jìn)入低自然增長階段,老齡化程度相對較低,對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的負(fù)作用還沒有顯現(xiàn)出來,正處于有利于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的人口紅利期；第三,武漢城市圈內(nèi)的人才優(yōu)勢并不明顯,雖然武漢市是全國第二大教育基地,具有超強(qiáng)的人力資本生產(chǎn)能力,但由于其經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平有限,對人才的吸納能力并不強(qiáng),人力資本消費(fèi)能力弱。武漢市作為區(qū)域內(nèi)的人才高地,也還沒有發(fā)揮對周邊地區(qū)的積極輻射作用；第四,武漢城市圈就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)較優(yōu),主要表現(xiàn)在其第三產(chǎn)業(yè)比重相對較高,對就業(yè)人員的吸納能力也強(qiáng),但存在就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不協(xié)調(diào)的問題；第五,武漢城市圈雖然被譽(yù)為中部崛起的龍頭,但是其綜合經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力偏弱,在本文選取五個城市群中,其勞動生產(chǎn)率、人均GDP、經(jīng)濟(jì)密度、人口城市化水平都是最低的,并沒有實(shí)現(xiàn)“生態(tài)而有效率”的居住方式。 第五章,通過前面的分析,提出適合武漢城市圈發(fā)展的人口經(jīng)濟(jì)建議,主要包括：實(shí)施人口城市化戰(zhàn)略,適當(dāng)擴(kuò)大城市圈人口規(guī)模,促進(jìn)城市圈又好又快發(fā)展；充分挖掘人口紅利,積極促進(jìn)人口就業(yè)；建立統(tǒng)一的人才服務(wù)平臺,為人才流動提供方便；做大做強(qiáng)教育產(chǎn)業(yè)；抓住經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化、促進(jìn)中部崛起以及建設(shè)兩型社會的機(jī)遇,不斷調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式,把武漢城市圈建設(shè)成為真正的中國第四增長極；大力發(fā)展高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)等。
[Abstract]:Wuhan City Circle is the experimental area of comprehensive reform for building a resource-conserving and environment-friendly society and a strategic location for the rise of the central region. Its development is not only conducive to the economic development of Hubei Province. Also conducive to driving the central region and even the national economic development. Therefore, the development of Wuhan urban circle has attracted close attention in academic circles, especially in recent years, more and more research results have been made on Wuhan city circle, and the angles of research are also different. However, there is no result of in-depth research on the impact of "population" on economic development, which may be due to the immature development of Wuhan City Circle and the difficulties in data collection and collation. This paper makes a detailed analysis of the relationship between population and economy in Wuhan City Circle from the perspective of comparative research and empirical research, and tries to make up for this vacancy. The main contents of this paper are divided into five chapters: the first chapter discusses the research background and significance of this paper, describes the research methods and technical routes of this paper, and finally puts forward the innovation of this paper. In the second chapter, the influence mechanism of population factors on regional economic development is analyzed in detail, which provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of this paper. The third chapter, the fourth chapter, the key chapter of this article. The third chapter takes the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, Central Plains Urban agglomeration and Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan Urban agglomeration as the comparative objects, and investigates the relative advantages and disadvantages of Wuhan urban circle in terms of population and economic development from the perspective of horizontal comparison. In chapter 4, the quantitative analysis is used to investigate the effect of population size, population quality and population structure on economic development. The results show that: first, due to the low level of economic development, the population of Wuhan urban circle has negative growth and the trend of population outflow is increasing; second, the population of Wuhan urban circle has entered a stage of low natural growth, and the degree of aging is relatively low. The negative effect on economic development has not yet been revealed and is in a period of demographic dividend conducive to economic development. Third, the talent advantage in Wuhan's urban circle is not obvious, although Wuhan is the second largest educational base in the country. It has super human capital production capacity, but because of its limited level of economic development, its ability to absorb talents is not strong, and its human capital consumption ability is weak. Wuhan, as the talent highland in the region, has not yet played an active role in radiation to the surrounding areas. Fourth, the employment structure and industrial structure of Wuhan City Circle are better, mainly reflected in the relatively high proportion of its tertiary industry. The ability to absorb the employed personnel is also strong, but the employment structure and the industrial structure are not in harmony. Fifth, although Wuhan urban circle is praised as the leader of the rise of the central region, its comprehensive economic strength is weak. In this paper, five urban agglomerations are selected. Its labor productivity, per capita GDP, economic density, population urbanization level are all the lowest, and there is no "ecological and efficient" living mode. The fifth chapter, through the previous analysis, puts forward the population economic suggestions suitable for the development of Wuhan urban circle, mainly including: implementing the population urbanization strategy, appropriately expanding the population scale of the urban circle, and promoting the urban circle to develop well and quickly; Fully tap the population dividend, actively promote population employment, establish a unified talent service platform to facilitate the flow of talents, expand and strengthen the education industry, seize the opportunities of economic globalization, promote the rise of the central region, and build a two-oriented society. We should constantly adjust the industrial structure, change the mode of economic development, turn Wuhan City Circle into the real fourth growth pole of China, and vigorously develop high-tech industries and tertiary industries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號】：C924.2;F127
本文編號：2230366
[Abstract]:Wuhan City Circle is the experimental area of comprehensive reform for building a resource-conserving and environment-friendly society and a strategic location for the rise of the central region. Its development is not only conducive to the economic development of Hubei Province. Also conducive to driving the central region and even the national economic development. Therefore, the development of Wuhan urban circle has attracted close attention in academic circles, especially in recent years, more and more research results have been made on Wuhan city circle, and the angles of research are also different. However, there is no result of in-depth research on the impact of "population" on economic development, which may be due to the immature development of Wuhan City Circle and the difficulties in data collection and collation. This paper makes a detailed analysis of the relationship between population and economy in Wuhan City Circle from the perspective of comparative research and empirical research, and tries to make up for this vacancy. The main contents of this paper are divided into five chapters: the first chapter discusses the research background and significance of this paper, describes the research methods and technical routes of this paper, and finally puts forward the innovation of this paper. In the second chapter, the influence mechanism of population factors on regional economic development is analyzed in detail, which provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of this paper. The third chapter, the fourth chapter, the key chapter of this article. The third chapter takes the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, Central Plains Urban agglomeration and Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan Urban agglomeration as the comparative objects, and investigates the relative advantages and disadvantages of Wuhan urban circle in terms of population and economic development from the perspective of horizontal comparison. In chapter 4, the quantitative analysis is used to investigate the effect of population size, population quality and population structure on economic development. The results show that: first, due to the low level of economic development, the population of Wuhan urban circle has negative growth and the trend of population outflow is increasing; second, the population of Wuhan urban circle has entered a stage of low natural growth, and the degree of aging is relatively low. The negative effect on economic development has not yet been revealed and is in a period of demographic dividend conducive to economic development. Third, the talent advantage in Wuhan's urban circle is not obvious, although Wuhan is the second largest educational base in the country. It has super human capital production capacity, but because of its limited level of economic development, its ability to absorb talents is not strong, and its human capital consumption ability is weak. Wuhan, as the talent highland in the region, has not yet played an active role in radiation to the surrounding areas. Fourth, the employment structure and industrial structure of Wuhan City Circle are better, mainly reflected in the relatively high proportion of its tertiary industry. The ability to absorb the employed personnel is also strong, but the employment structure and the industrial structure are not in harmony. Fifth, although Wuhan urban circle is praised as the leader of the rise of the central region, its comprehensive economic strength is weak. In this paper, five urban agglomerations are selected. Its labor productivity, per capita GDP, economic density, population urbanization level are all the lowest, and there is no "ecological and efficient" living mode. The fifth chapter, through the previous analysis, puts forward the population economic suggestions suitable for the development of Wuhan urban circle, mainly including: implementing the population urbanization strategy, appropriately expanding the population scale of the urban circle, and promoting the urban circle to develop well and quickly; Fully tap the population dividend, actively promote population employment, establish a unified talent service platform to facilitate the flow of talents, expand and strengthen the education industry, seize the opportunities of economic globalization, promote the rise of the central region, and build a two-oriented society. We should constantly adjust the industrial structure, change the mode of economic development, turn Wuhan City Circle into the real fourth growth pole of China, and vigorously develop high-tech industries and tertiary industries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號】：C924.2;F127
【引證文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條
1 梁海龍;我國人口素質(zhì)對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展影響實(shí)證研究[D];河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué);2013年
2 徐小嬌;武漢城市圈人口壓力類型與特征研究[D];華中師范大學(xué);2013年
，本文編號：2230366
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