發(fā)布時間：2018-08-11 16:08

【摘要】：文章以北京、上海、廣州、深圳4個特大城市為例,結(jié)合國內(nèi)外公開數(shù)據(jù)和對北京市部分街道、鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)的實地調(diào)研信息,探討中國特大城市人口發(fā)展中存在的問題,以及"十三五"期間人口調(diào)控面臨的挑戰(zhàn)和應對策略。研究結(jié)果顯示,當前中國特大城市人口發(fā)展面臨的主要問題是總量大而非增長速度快,城區(qū)人口密度高而經(jīng)濟聚集優(yōu)勢不足,人口調(diào)控將加速人口老齡化,外來人口未改善城市人口聚集度等。"十三五"期間人口調(diào)控的主要困境和挑戰(zhàn)是人口調(diào)控政策目標孤立,與經(jīng)濟增長目標相悖;外來人口仍集中在效率較低的行業(yè),人口調(diào)控的市場準備不足;特大城市經(jīng)濟發(fā)展增速放緩,人口調(diào)控可能進一步弱化其經(jīng)濟增長;產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部升級不足,與人口調(diào)控目標不同步;人口統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)失靈、滯后,難以滿足人口調(diào)控的過程管理要求。文章認為,特大城市要從人口目標與經(jīng)濟要素相協(xié)調(diào)適應、建立都市圈總體產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)劃、將資源要素納入人口調(diào)控框架、完善人口信息技術(shù)的角度優(yōu)化人口調(diào)控機制。
[Abstract]:Taking the four mega-cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen as examples, combining the public data at home and abroad and the field investigation information on some streets and towns in Beijing, the paper discusses the problems existing in the population development of China's mega-cities. And the third five-year-plan period population control faced challenges and coping strategies. The results show that the main problems facing the population development of China's megacities at present are large population rather than rapid growth, high population density in urban areas and insufficient economic agglomeration advantages. Population control will accelerate the aging of the population. The alien population has not improved the urban population concentration, etc. " During the 13th Five-Year Plan period, the main difficulties and challenges of population regulation and control are the isolation of population control policy goal, which is contrary to the economic growth target, the foreign population is still concentrated in the inefficient industry, and the market preparation for population control is insufficient. As the economic growth rate of mega-cities slows down, population control may further weaken their economic growth; the internal upgrading of the industry is insufficient and is out of step with the target of population control; and the population statistics are out of order, lagging behind. It is difficult to meet the requirements of process management of population control. The paper holds that the megalopolis should establish the overall industrial planning of the metropolitan area from the point of view of the coordination of population objectives and economic elements, bring the resource elements into the framework of population regulation and control, and improve the population control mechanism from the perspective of population information technology.
【作者單位】： 首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學勞動經(jīng)濟學院;首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學;
【基金】：北京市社科基金重點項目“京津冀人才國際化協(xié)同發(fā)展機制與實現(xiàn)路徑研究”(編號:16YJA006)的階段性成果
【分類號】：C924.2

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