【摘要】：文章描述1990~2015年間中日韓三國(guó)婦女平均生育年齡的變化特征,揭示孩次結(jié)構(gòu)和分孩次生育時(shí)間對(duì)平均生育年齡指標(biāo)的影響,分析三國(guó)內(nèi)部及國(guó)家間婦女平均生育年齡時(shí)期變化與國(guó)別差異的影響機(jī)制。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),觀察期間中國(guó)婦女的平均生育年齡先下降后上升;平均生育年齡的提高是孩次減少與生育推遲共同作用的結(jié)果,后者的影響極為顯著,但21世紀(jì)近5年的內(nèi)在機(jī)制表現(xiàn)值得關(guān)注。與日韓相比,中國(guó)婦女總體及分孩次的平均生育年齡都相對(duì)偏低;三國(guó)婦女的平均生育年齡上升態(tài)勢(shì)后的內(nèi)在機(jī)制存在差異。文章還就平均生育年齡指標(biāo)在衡量生育時(shí)間的準(zhǔn)確性問(wèn)題,以及全面兩孩政策背景下生育時(shí)間在提升生育水平方面的政策意義進(jìn)行討論。
[Abstract]:This paper describes the changing characteristics of the average childbearing age of Chinese, Japanese and Korean women from 1990 to 2015, and reveals the influence of the structure of children and the time of childbearing per child on the average reproductive age. To analyze the influence mechanism of the change of average childbearing age and the difference between countries in the three countries. The study found that the average childbearing age of Chinese women first decreased and then increased during the observation period, and the increase of the mean childbearing age was the result of the combined effect of the decrease in the number of children and the delay of childbearing, and the effect of the latter was extremely significant. However, the performance of the internal mechanism in the last five years of the 21 st century is worthy of attention. Compared with Japan and South Korea, the average childbearing age of Chinese women is relatively low, and the internal mechanism of the rise of average childbearing age of women in the three countries is different. The paper also discusses the accuracy of the average reproductive age in the measurement of reproductive time, and the policy significance of reproductive time in raising fertility level under the background of comprehensive two-child policy.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)人民大學(xué)人口與發(fā)展研究中心;中國(guó)人民大學(xué)社會(huì)與人口學(xué)院;
【基金】：教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)重點(diǎn)研究基地重大項(xiàng)目《中國(guó)家庭轉(zhuǎn)變研究》(16JJD840013)的階段性成果
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：C921

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本文編號(hào)：2155545