本文選題：人口老齡化 + 社區(qū)　； 參考：《上海工程技術(shù)大學(xué)》2010年碩士論文

【摘要】：人口老齡化已經(jīng)日益成為值得關(guān)注的社會問題，老年人作為社會一個特殊群體，他們的切身利益理應(yīng)受到政府和社會各界的高度重視。人口老齡化在給社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展帶來巨大影響的同時，也帶來了社會服務(wù)和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的良好契機。研究人口老齡化問題，對豐富我國老年人口研究理論，保障老年人合法權(quán)益，促進社會經(jīng)濟和諧發(fā)展等均具有重大意義。 本文從國內(nèi)外人口老齡化背景分析入手，引入人口老齡化對上海社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展影響的論題，在養(yǎng)老服務(wù)、老年醫(yī)療服務(wù)、老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)等方面對人口老齡化影響進行了深入研究。研究內(nèi)容包括： 一、上海市人口老齡化現(xiàn)狀及趨勢分析。重點介紹了上海市人口老齡化的基本特征，上海市老年人口區(qū)域分布的特點，并采用統(tǒng)計學(xué)中的時間系列曲線估計法對上海市未來五年老年人口規(guī)模進行了預(yù)測。 二、老齡化對上海市養(yǎng)老服務(wù)的影響研究。研究范圍包括上海市養(yǎng)老機構(gòu)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，城市老年人的養(yǎng)老照護需求特征，上海市養(yǎng)老服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展狀況等方面，并利用經(jīng)濟學(xué)中的總量消費函數(shù)模型對上海市的老年服務(wù)需求進行分析，并論證了人口老齡化對上海市社會總消費水平的影響。對上海市養(yǎng)老基金的平衡性也做了簡要分析。 三、老齡化對上海市老年醫(yī)療服務(wù)的影響研究。研究內(nèi)容涉及上海市社區(qū)衛(wèi)生服務(wù)，上海市老年人口的健康狀況，上海市老年人口的醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生服務(wù)需求特征等。重點分析了各種疾病對老年人口健康狀況的影響。 四、老齡化對上海市老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響研究。研究重點包括國內(nèi)外老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，老年服務(wù)業(yè)與老年服務(wù)市場，上海老年服務(wù)消費需求特點等。并利用生命周期理論及相關(guān)模型對上海市老年消費市場的規(guī)模和變化趨勢做了定量描述。 本文采用的研究方法包括：定性研究與定量研究相結(jié)合，靜態(tài)分析與動態(tài)預(yù)測相結(jié)合，國際比較與國內(nèi)借鑒相結(jié)合。通過研究分析，，本文認為針對上海市老齡化問題，應(yīng)該采取積極有效的措施加以應(yīng)對。應(yīng)對的重點應(yīng)集中于老年照顧體系的建設(shè)和如何引導(dǎo)與推進老齡產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展這兩個方面。本文的主要不足在于對問題的研究探討還有待深化。
[Abstract]:The aging of population has become a social problem that deserves attention day by day. As a special social group, the vital interests of the elderly should be highly valued by the government and all walks of life. The aging of population not only brings great influence to the social economic development, but also brings a good opportunity for the development of social service and industry. It is of great significance to study the problem of aging population in China, to enrich the theory of the aged population, to protect the legitimate rights and interests of the elderly, and to promote the harmonious development of social economy. Starting with the background analysis of aging population at home and abroad, this paper introduces the theme of the influence of population aging on the social and economic development of Shanghai, and makes a deep study on the influence of population aging in the aspects of old-age service, medical service for the elderly, and the industry of aging. The main contents of this paper are as follows: first, the current situation and trend of population aging in Shanghai. The basic characteristics of the aging population in Shanghai and the regional distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai are introduced in this paper, and the size of the elderly population in Shanghai in the next five years is predicted by using the time series curve estimation method in statistics. Second, the impact of aging on the pension services in Shanghai. The scope of the study includes the status quo of the development of Shanghai's pension institutions, the characteristics of the elderly's demand for care for the aged in the city, and the development of Shanghai's old-age service industry, etc. The total consumption function model in economics is used to analyze the elderly service demand in Shanghai, and the influence of aging population on the total social consumption level in Shanghai is demonstrated. The balance of pension funds in Shanghai is also briefly analyzed. Third, the effect of aging on geriatric medical service in Shanghai. The research involves community health service in Shanghai, health status of the elderly population in Shanghai, and characteristics of medical and health service demand of the elderly population in Shanghai. The effects of various diseases on the health status of the elderly population were analyzed. Fourth, the influence of aging on the development of aging industry in Shanghai. The research focuses on the current situation of the aging industry at home and abroad, the elderly service industry and the elderly service market, the characteristics of the elderly service consumption demand in Shanghai and so on. Using life cycle theory and relevant models, the scale and changing trend of Shanghai elderly consumption market are quantitatively described. The research methods used in this paper include the combination of qualitative and quantitative research, static analysis and dynamic prediction, international comparison and domestic reference. Through research and analysis, this paper thinks that we should take active and effective measures to deal with the aging problem in Shanghai. Emphasis should be placed on the construction of the care system for the elderly and how to guide and promote the development of the aging industry. The main deficiency of this paper is that the research on the problem needs to be deepened.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海工程技術(shù)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號】：C92-05

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