本文選題：城市化 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)非農(nóng)化�。� 參考：《中國人口.資源與環(huán)境》2014年09期

【摘要】：產(chǎn)業(yè)、人口和土地非農(nóng)化是城市化的基本內(nèi)涵與表現(xiàn),其協(xié)調(diào)性關系到城市化的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。運用協(xié)調(diào)耦合度模型和重心法分析1999年至2011年浙江省城市化過程中產(chǎn)業(yè)、人口與土地非農(nóng)化的協(xié)調(diào)性與空間均衡性,通過皮爾遜相關性檢驗協(xié)調(diào)耦合度的影響因素,結果表明:1研究期全省產(chǎn)業(yè)、人口與土地非農(nóng)化的協(xié)調(diào)耦合度得到持續(xù)提高,由0.54上升至0.76,從中協(xié)調(diào)耦合等級發(fā)展為較協(xié)調(diào)耦合等級,各市協(xié)調(diào)耦合度及其等級都獲得相應提高,但"北高南低,南北分化"的空間差異特征依然顯著;2以2005年為界,前半期全省及省內(nèi)各市協(xié)調(diào)耦合度增速較快,但2005年之后顯著放緩,說明促進各要素協(xié)調(diào)非農(nóng)化的難度在上升;3地區(qū)不平衡未得到有效控制,西北部人口非農(nóng)化速度領先、東北部產(chǎn)業(yè)非農(nóng)化較快、中南部土地非農(nóng)化超前,阻礙了綜合協(xié)調(diào)耦合度的提高;4經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、城鄉(xiāng)居民收入與公共服務水平,就業(yè)結構和土地資源稟賦等是影響產(chǎn)業(yè)、人口與土地協(xié)調(diào)非農(nóng)化的重要因素。今后產(chǎn)業(yè)、人口和土地非農(nóng)化協(xié)調(diào)性的提高將依賴于各要素非農(nóng)化相互作用和地區(qū)平衡性的改善。東北部地區(qū)需著重推進產(chǎn)業(yè)升級和城鄉(xiāng)一體化建設;西北部地區(qū)提高失業(yè)、住房等社會保障覆蓋面,促進進城農(nóng)民工市民化;中南部鞏固農(nóng)業(yè)的同時積極發(fā)展二三產(chǎn)業(yè),增加非農(nóng)就業(yè),改善公共服務,同時優(yōu)化土地利用管理,控制城市低效蔓延。
[Abstract]:Industry, population and land non-agriculture are the basic connotation and expression of urbanization, and its coordination is related to the sustainable development of urbanization. The coordinated coupling degree model and gravity center method are used to analyze the coordination and spatial equilibrium of non-agricultural industry, population and land in the urbanization process of Zhejiang Province from 1999 to 2011. The influencing factors of coordinated coupling degree are tested by Pearson correlation. The results showed that the coordinated coupling degree between population and land was continuously increased from 0.54 to 0.76 during the study period of the whole province, and the level of coordination coupling developed into a more coordinated coupling level. The coordination coupling degree and its grade of each city have been improved correspondingly, but the spatial difference characteristics of "north high and south low, north and south differentiation" are still marked by 2005. In the first half of this period, the coordination coupling degree of the whole province and the cities in the province is increasing rapidly. But after 2005, there was a significant slowdown, indicating that the difficulty of promoting the coordination of various elements in the non-agricultural areas was not effectively controlled, the northwestern population was in the lead, the industry in the northeast was fast, and the land in the central and southern regions was ahead of agriculture. It hinders the development of economy, income of urban and rural residents and the level of public service, employment structure and endowment of land resources are the important factors that influence industry, population and land coordination. In the future, the improvement of the coordination between population and land will depend on the non-agricultural interaction of various factors and the improvement of regional balance. The northeast region should focus on promoting industrial upgrading and urban-rural integration construction; the northwest region should increase the coverage of social security such as unemployment, housing, and so on, so as to promote the urbanization of migrant workers in cities; while consolidating agriculture in the central and southern parts of the country, it should actively develop the secondary and tertiary industries. Increase non-agricultural employment, improve public services, optimize land use management, control urban inefficiency spread.
【作者單位】： 浙江大學公共管理學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金重點項目“促進區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的差別化土地調(diào)控政策研究”(編號:13AZD012)
【分類號】：F127;C924.21;F321.1;F224

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