本文選題：遼寧省 + 人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化��； 參考：《大連理工大學(xué)》2011年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)出現(xiàn)的變化深刻影響著遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的發(fā)展。本文通過對(duì)1978年以來遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)三方面的數(shù)據(jù)的收集、整理和分析,闡述了改革開放以來遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化的過程,歸納出遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化的特征以及存在的問題,并在分析影響因素和產(chǎn)生原因的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)其未來的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行科學(xué)預(yù)測(cè),進(jìn)而為遼寧省未來經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)人口結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展的優(yōu)化提出了相應(yīng)對(duì)策。 在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究成果進(jìn)行綜述的基礎(chǔ)上,本文首先對(duì)人口結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)概念及人口結(jié)構(gòu)的分類進(jìn)行了闡述。然后,運(yùn)用區(qū)域人口結(jié)構(gòu)理論構(gòu)建研究框架,對(duì)人口結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)鍵性因素進(jìn)行總結(jié)歸納,從而為分析遼寧省人口的結(jié)構(gòu)變化奠定了理論基礎(chǔ)。通過定性與定量相結(jié)合的研究方法,對(duì)遼寧省人口自然結(jié)構(gòu)、社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)以及地域結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行分析,歸納出1978年以來遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)演變的過程特征及存在問題,最后對(duì)遼寧省2011年至2020年的人口結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行了預(yù)測(cè)。 研究結(jié)果表明,遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)呈現(xiàn)六方面主要特征。遼寧省人口總體結(jié)構(gòu)較為合理,但在老齡化進(jìn)程過快、人力資本不足等問題上有待改善。通過對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)、政策、文化三方面原因的分析,預(yù)計(jì)到2020年,遼寧省常住人口將達(dá)到4518萬人左右；65歲及以上的老年人口將達(dá)到688.54萬人,老齡化率約為15.24%；城鎮(zhèn)化率為73%左右。在優(yōu)化對(duì)策方面,應(yīng)繼續(xù)促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型,在不斷優(yōu)化人口結(jié)構(gòu)的基礎(chǔ)上,保持遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)與社會(huì)平穩(wěn)快速發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the changes of population structure in Liaoning Province have a profound impact on the economic and social development of Liaoning Province. Through the collection, collation and analysis of the three aspects of population structure in Liaoning Province since 1978, this paper expounds the process of population structure change in Liaoning Province since the reform and opening up, and concludes the characteristics and existing problems of population structure change in Liaoning Province. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors and the causes, this paper makes a scientific prediction of its future development trend, and then puts forward the corresponding countermeasures for the optimization of the future economic and social population structure of Liaoning Province. On the basis of summarizing the domestic and foreign research results, this paper firstly expounds the related concepts of population structure and the classification of population structure. Then, using the regional population structure theory to construct the research frame, summarize the key factors of the population structure, thus lay a theoretical foundation for the analysis of the population structure change in Liaoning Province. Through the combination of qualitative and quantitative research methods, this paper analyzes the natural structure of population, social economic structure and regional structure of Liaoning Province, and concludes the process characteristics and existing problems of the evolution of population structure in Liaoning Province since 1978. Finally, the population structure of Liaoning Province from 2011 to 2020 is forecasted. The results show that the population structure of Liaoning Province presents six main characteristics. The population structure of Liaoning Province is reasonable, but the aging process is too fast and the human capital is insufficient. By analyzing the reasons of economy, policy and culture, it is estimated that by 2020, the resident population of Liaoning Province will reach 45.18 million people or over 65 years old population will reach 6.8854 million people, the aging rate is about 15.24%, and the urbanization rate is about 73%. In the aspect of optimizing countermeasures, we should continue to promote the upgrading of industrial structure and economic transformation, and maintain the steady and rapid economic and social development of Liaoning Province on the basis of continuously optimizing the population structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2011
【分類號(hào)】：C924.2

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前3條

1 陳敏;新形勢(shì)下中國(guó)房地產(chǎn)信心指數(shù)研究[D];大連理工大學(xué);2011年

2 仲晨;遼寧省人口結(jié)構(gòu)變化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響研究[D];遼寧大學(xué);2013年

3 肖人夫;城市化進(jìn)程中朝鮮族人口結(jié)構(gòu)變遷研究[D];中央民族大學(xué);2013年

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本文編號(hào)：1812675