中國后人口轉變時期的人口戰(zhàn)略轉型
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-27 20:38
本文選題:人口轉變 + 后人口轉變。 參考:《南京社會科學》2017年01期
【摘要】:新中國成立后,在人口轉變的過程中,降低生育率和控制人口增長逐步構成我國宏觀人口戰(zhàn)略的核心,對于實現人口與發(fā)展的平衡協調關系發(fā)揮了積極的作用。2000年以后,我國人口發(fā)展進入“后人口轉變”時期,人口基本國情和面向中長期的人口格局出現了一系列顯著的轉折性變化。在此背景下,本文提出面向未來的中國人口戰(zhàn)略調整轉變的基本思路,具體包括:改革“計劃生育”探索“新計劃生育”、從“汲取人口紅利”到開發(fā)和創(chuàng)造“新人口紅利”、從“形式的城鎮(zhèn)化”轉變?yōu)椤爸贫鹊某擎?zhèn)化”,以及適應從“年輕的老齡化社會”到“更老的老齡化社會”。
[Abstract]:After the founding of the people's Republic of China, in the process of population transformation, the reduction of fertility rate and the control of population growth gradually formed the core of China's macro-population strategy, and played a positive role in achieving a balanced and coordinated relationship between population and development. China's population development has entered the period of "post-population transition", the basic national conditions of population and the population pattern oriented to the medium and long term have undergone a series of significant transition changes. Under this background, this paper puts forward the basic ideas of the strategic adjustment and transformation of China's population facing the future, including: reforming "family planning" and exploring "new family planning", from "absorbing the population dividend" to developing and creating "new population dividend". From "formal urbanization" to "institutional urbanization", and to adapt from "young aging society" to "older aging society".
【作者單位】: 復旦大學人口研究所;
【分類號】:C923
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