本文選題：人口素質 + 綜合評價　； 參考：《南京財經(jīng)大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：進入知識化、信息化時代的二十一世紀，經(jīng)濟的增長主要靠科學技術發(fā)展推動，而科技發(fā)展離不開高素質人才。未來世界的競爭，歸根結底是高素質人才的競爭。要保持經(jīng)濟持續(xù)發(fā)展，就必須全面提高人口素質。作為人口大國，，我國人口增長和自然資源缺乏是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的一個基本矛盾，而解決這一矛盾的關鍵在于在控制人口數(shù)量的同時，提高人口素質，用人力資本代替自然資本。人口素質對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展發(fā)揮著不可替代的作用，我們要認識到提高人口素質對經(jīng)濟增長有多大促進作用，以便更好地制定相應措施不斷提高人口素質，保證我國各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。本文主要分為四個部分。 第一部分：借鑒國內外學者關于人口素質的研究，結合我國國情以及人口素質的統(tǒng)計分析要求，明確人口素質的內涵；建立包含平均預期壽命、人口自然增長率、人均受教育年限、人口性別比、人口撫養(yǎng)比等在內的十四個指標，構成的人口素質綜合評價指標體系，并就我國當前人口素質的基本情況，從數(shù)量、結構等方面進行描述性分析。 第二部分：搜集我國人口素質各個指標1989-2008年的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，運用主成分分析法從十四個人口素質指標中提取兩個主成分來綜合反映各指標信息，并根據(jù)主成分得分及權重計算人口素質綜合評價值，以此反映我國人口素質近年來的變化情況。 第三部分：選取能夠全面反映經(jīng)濟總體發(fā)展狀況的七個經(jīng)濟指標，用主成分方法提取兩個主成分，并將其與人口素質主成分作典型相關分析；構建經(jīng)濟增長模型，將人口素質變量引入計量模型，測算人口素質提高對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻率。 第四部分：根據(jù)上述研究結果，提出促進人口素質提高、為經(jīng)濟發(fā)展儲備人才資源的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the 21 century of the age of knowledge and information, the economic growth is mainly promoted by the development of science and technology, and the development of science and technology can not be separated from high quality talents. The competition of the future world, in the final analysis, is the competition of high-quality talents. To maintain sustainable economic development, we must comprehensively improve the quality of the population. As a large country with large population, the population growth and the lack of natural resources in our country is a basic contradiction in economic development. The key to solve this contradiction lies in improving the quality of the population while controlling the population quantity and replacing natural capital with human capital. The quality of the population plays an irreplaceable role in the development of the regional economy. We should realize how much the improvement of the quality of the population can promote economic growth, so as to better formulate corresponding measures to continuously improve the quality of the population. To ensure sustained and stable economic development in various regions of China. This paper is divided into four parts. The first part: draw lessons from the research on population quality of domestic and foreign scholars, combine with the national conditions of our country and the statistical analysis requirements of population quality, make clear the connotation of population quality, build up to include average life expectancy, natural growth rate of population, The comprehensive evaluation index system of population quality, which is composed of fourteen indicators, including the number of years of education per capita, the sex ratio of the population and the ratio of population dependency, etc., and based on the basic situation of the current population quality in our country, from the perspective of the quantity, Structure and other aspects of descriptive analysis. The second part: collect the statistical data of every index of population quality in China from 1989 to 2008, and use principal component analysis method to extract two principal components from fourteen population quality indicators to reflect the information of each index synthetically. The comprehensive evaluation value of population quality is calculated according to the score and weight of principal component, so as to reflect the change of population quality in China in recent years. The third part: select seven economic indicators that can reflect the overall economic development, extract two principal components by principal component method, and make canonical correlation analysis between them and the principal component of population quality, and construct the economic growth model. The population quality variable is introduced into the econometric model to calculate the contribution rate of the population quality improvement to the economic growth. The fourth part: according to the above research results, the author puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the improvement of population quality and reserve human resources for economic development.
【學位授予單位】：南京財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：C92-05

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