農(nóng)村人口老齡化對中國農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響研究
本文選題:農(nóng)村人口老齡化 切入點:農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì) 出處:《江蘇大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:人口老齡化是人類社會共同面臨的人口發(fā)展趨勢,中國農(nóng)村大量年輕人口遷移城鎮(zhèn),使農(nóng)村老齡問題更加突出。農(nóng)業(yè)是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ),是不以人們的意志為轉(zhuǎn)移的,是在一切社會形態(tài)下都普遍發(fā)生作用的客觀經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)律。由于中國農(nóng)村地域遼闊,人口眾多,農(nóng)業(yè)在中國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的作用尤其突出。在農(nóng)村人口老齡化的背景下,工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化的快速發(fā)展吸引大量農(nóng)村青壯年勞動力流入城鎮(zhèn),老年人口成為農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的主角。探討農(nóng)村人口老齡化對農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,對中國農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化進(jìn)程具有重要的戰(zhàn)略意義,為西部地區(qū)和糧食主產(chǎn)區(qū)早日基本實現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化提供理論基礎(chǔ)和借鑒。本文以中國農(nóng)村人口老齡化和中國農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)為研究對象,首先,概述人口老齡化和農(nóng)業(yè)的內(nèi)涵與相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ),從理論上探討農(nóng)村人口老齡化對農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響;其次,從農(nóng)村人口老齡化的現(xiàn)狀、成因、特征及趨勢,農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的地位,農(nóng)業(yè)勞動力文化狀況,東中西三大區(qū)域農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)差異等描述分析農(nóng)村人口老齡化和農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀;再次,基于C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù)構(gòu)建面板模型實證分析農(nóng)村人口老齡化對農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響;最后,結(jié)合全文分析提出對策建議。研究結(jié)果顯示,大量青壯年勞動力不斷向外遷移,農(nóng)村人口老齡化遠(yuǎn)高于城鎮(zhèn)老齡化水平,這種差距持續(xù)增長。農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)要素逐年增長,但小規(guī)模經(jīng)營仍是中國農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的主要模式。農(nóng)村人口老齡化程度的加深導(dǎo)致勞動力供給減少和農(nóng)業(yè)勞動力老齡化,降低農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)率,對農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)產(chǎn)生不利的影響;農(nóng)村人口老齡化間接引起農(nóng)業(yè)規(guī)模化生產(chǎn)、機(jī)械化作業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)科技應(yīng)用的提高,消弱農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)對勞動力的依賴程度,進(jìn)而間接促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,加快農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化的進(jìn)程。在實證研究中,東部地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)借助地理位置優(yōu)越、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)、科技優(yōu)先應(yīng)用等優(yōu)勢,降低農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)對勞動力的依賴,緩解老年人口帶來的部分負(fù)向影響。根據(jù)研究結(jié)果,為了應(yīng)對農(nóng)村人口老齡化對農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的沖擊,本文提出持續(xù)發(fā)展城鎮(zhèn)化、農(nóng)業(yè)適度規(guī)模經(jīng)營、完善農(nóng)村基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化裝備、提高農(nóng)業(yè)從業(yè)人員文化素質(zhì)、加強(qiáng)農(nóng)業(yè)科技研發(fā)和推廣等對策建議。
[Abstract]:The aging of the population is a common trend of population development facing the human society. A large number of young people in China's rural areas have migrated to cities and towns, making the problem of aging in rural areas even more prominent. Agriculture is the foundation of the national economy and is not transferred by the will of the people. It is an objective economic law that functions in all forms of society. Because of China's vast rural area and large population, agriculture plays a particularly important role in the development of China's national economy. Under the background of the aging of the rural population, The rapid development of industrialization and urbanization attracts a large number of young and middle-aged rural labor force into cities and towns, and the elderly population becomes the main role of agricultural production. It is of great strategic significance to the process of agricultural modernization in China, and provides a theoretical basis and reference for the early realization of agricultural modernization in the western region and the main grain producing areas. This paper takes the aging of the Chinese rural population and the agricultural economy of China as the research object. First of all, it summarizes the connotation and related theoretical basis of population aging and agriculture, discusses the impact of rural population aging on agricultural economy theoretically, and secondly, from the current situation, causes, characteristics and trends of rural population aging. The status of agricultural economy in the national economy, the cultural situation of agricultural labor force, and the differences in agricultural economy among the three major regions of East, West and East are described and analyzed. The aging of the rural population and the current situation of agricultural economic development are analyzed. Thirdly, The panel model based on C-D production function is used to analyze the impact of the aging of rural population on the agricultural economy. Finally, based on the full-text analysis, the author puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions. The results show that a large number of young and middle-aged labor force is constantly moving outward. The aging of the rural population is far higher than the level of urban aging, and the gap continues to grow. The factors of agricultural production are increasing year by year. However, small-scale operation is still the main mode of agricultural production in China. The deepening of the aging of rural population leads to the decrease of labor supply and the aging of agricultural labor force, and the reduction of agricultural productivity, which has a negative impact on agricultural production. The aging of the rural population indirectly leads to the improvement of large-scale agricultural production, mechanized operation and the application of agricultural science and technology, which weakens the dependence of agricultural production on the labor force, and thus indirectly promotes the transformation of agricultural production mode. Speeding up the process of agricultural modernization. In the empirical study, the eastern and central regions reduce the dependence of agricultural production on labor force by virtue of the advantages of superior geographical location, developed economy and preferential application of science and technology. According to the research results, in order to deal with the impact of the aging of rural population on the agricultural economy, this paper proposes the sustainable development of urbanization, agricultural moderate scale management, To improve the rural infrastructure and modern agricultural equipment, improve the cultural quality of agricultural practitioners, strengthen the development and extension of agricultural science and technology, and other countermeasures and suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:江蘇大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F323;C924.24
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