本文關(guān)鍵詞：老齡化、健康支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長——基于中國省級面板數(shù)據(jù)的證據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

老齡化、健康支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長——基于中國省級面板數(shù)據(jù)的證據(jù)

Ageing, Health Expenditure and Economic Growth; Evidence Based on the Chinese Provincial Panel Data

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He Ungxiao Nan Yongqing Zhang Zhonggen Authors： He Lingxiao is PhD Student, School of Management, Zhejiang University; Nan Yongqing is Masters Student, School of Economics,

浙江大學(xué)管理學(xué)院

文章摘要：文章基于中國1997～2013年間31個(gè)�。ㄊ�、自治區(qū)）的面板數(shù)據(jù)，綜合運(yùn)用多種靜態(tài)和動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型，，考察了老齡化、健康支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：政府健康支出和居民健康支出均對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長呈顯著的正向作用，且這一正向作用會(huì)隨著老齡化水平的提高而得到強(qiáng)化。老齡化趨勢對健康支出的經(jīng)濟(jì)正效應(yīng)的增強(qiáng)作用非常穩(wěn)健。進(jìn)一步的分組穩(wěn)健估計(jì)顯示：分時(shí)段看，政府（居民）健康支出的經(jīng)濟(jì)正效應(yīng)隨時(shí)間推移而增大；分區(qū)域看，健康支出對東、中、西三大區(qū)域的正向經(jīng)濟(jì)影響呈現(xiàn)由東到西遞減的態(tài)勢；從結(jié)構(gòu)上看，老齡化與健康支出占比的交互項(xiàng)也對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長起顯著的正向作用。健康支出的擴(kuò)大對我國積極應(yīng)對人口老齡化和實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長至關(guān)重要。

Abstr：Based on the panel data of China＇s 31 provinces from 1997 -2013, this paper incorpo- rates various static and dynamic panel data models to investigate the relationship between ageing, health expenditure and economic growth. The results show that both government and household health expenditure have significant positive effect on economic growth, and this positive effect is strengthened by the increasing ageing. The enhanced effect of ageing on the positive economic effect of health expenditure is very robust. Further group estimation and robustness tests show that the positive economic effect of government （household） health expenditure increases with time, and decreases from east to central and to west China. The expansion of health expenditure is of crucial importance to actively coping with population ageing and to realizing the sustained and stable economic growth.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:Health Expenditure, Old Dependency Ratio, Economic Growth

課題項(xiàng)目：本文得到國家自然科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目（71373057）、河南省教育廳人文社科重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目（2015-713-094）的資助.

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：老齡化、健康支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長——基于中國省級面板數(shù)據(jù)的證據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。