威權政體下的埃及2011年政局動蕩分析
發(fā)布時間：2018-11-11 14:03
【摘要】：埃及自1952年推翻君主制、建立共和國起,在納賽爾、薩達特和穆巴拉克三任總統(tǒng)的領導下,構建了具有鮮明埃及特色的新威權政體,并在此基礎上進行了一系列改革,把埃及從一個贏弱的殖民地發(fā)展成為阿拉伯世界里一支舉足輕重的力量,也使埃及在很長一段時間里一直都是中東地區(qū)政治經(jīng)濟相對穩(wěn)定的國家之一。但為何在這場席卷西亞北非的政局動蕩的浪潮中,穩(wěn)坐埃及總統(tǒng)寶座30年之久的穆巴拉克卻未能幸免?迄今為止,這場轟轟烈烈的政局動蕩已過去一年多了,但當下風暴仍在發(fā)展之中,動蕩由亂到治尚須時日,這不能不發(fā)人深思。 本文以始于2010年席卷西亞北非地區(qū)的政局動蕩為背景,以中東地區(qū)大國埃及長期執(zhí)政的威權政體為切入點,通過對埃及威權政體的確立以及在現(xiàn)實中所遭遇的困境的闡述,就埃及現(xiàn)在的威權憲政模式、經(jīng)濟模式、社會結構中的公民社會與宗教和2011年政局動蕩的相關性進行深入剖析,并對當前埃及過渡時期內各種政治力量的分布、政治取向和未來政局發(fā)展趨勢做出分析與預測。全文共分為六章。第一章介紹選題背景、研究現(xiàn)狀以及研究思路、方法和意義。第二章首先結合相關歷史對當代埃及威權政體的緣起以及特征進行了分析,試圖從政治學的視角探究其合法性危機；緊接著揭示了埃及威權政體的功過是非,在分析了其消極影響后,承上啟下地引出了此次政局動蕩,并對其過程進行了簡要的回顧。第三、四、五章分別將埃及威權政體的憲政模式、經(jīng)濟模式、公民社會與宗教,和2011年的政局動蕩一一關聯(lián)起來,對埃及政局動蕩的原因進行深度剖析,試圖解析埃及長期實行威權政體造成的政治、經(jīng)濟與社會結構的弊端對政局動蕩的深層影響,探究到底是什么原因使其難以繼續(xù)對社會進行治理、它又為何成為政局動蕩的一個制度誘因。第六章首先回顧了政局動蕩后的政治重建過程,接著對埃及未來政局幾種可能的走向進行了展望與預測,此外,還闡述了埃及的政局動蕩對其他發(fā)展中國家政治發(fā)展的意義,并提供了一些啟示。
[Abstract]:Since the overthrow of the monarchy and the establishment of the republic in 1952, Egypt, under the leadership of President Nasser, Sadat and Mubarak, has constructed a new authoritarian regime with distinctive Egyptian characteristics, and has carried out a series of reforms on this basis. The development of Egypt from a weak colony to an important force in the Arab world has made Egypt one of the relatively stable countries in the Middle East for a long time. But why, in this wave of political turmoil that has engulfed West Asia and North Africa, has Mubarak, who has held the presidency of Egypt for 30 years, not been spared? More than a year has passed since the tumult, but the current storm is still under way, and it is still some time before the turmoil moves from chaos to governance, which cannot be more than thought-provoking. Against the background of the political turmoil that engulfed West Asia and North Africa in 2010, this paper takes the authoritarian regime of Egypt, a large power in the Middle East region, as the starting point, and expounds the establishment of the authoritarian regime in Egypt and the difficulties encountered in reality. The relevance of Egypt's current authoritarian constitutional model, economic model, civil society in the social structure to religion and the political turmoil of 2011 is deeply analyzed, and the distribution of various political forces during the current transition period in Egypt is also discussed. The political orientation and the future political situation development tendency make the analysis and the forecast. The full text is divided into six chapters. The first chapter introduces the background, research status, research ideas, methods and significance. The second chapter firstly analyzes the origin and characteristics of the contemporary autocracy in Egypt, and tries to explore its legitimacy crisis from the perspective of political science. Then it reveals the merits and demerits of the autocratic regime in Egypt, after analyzing its negative influence, it leads to the political turmoil and briefly reviews its process. In the third, fourth and fifth chapters, the constitutional model, the economic model, the civil society and religion of Egypt's authoritarian regime, and the political turmoil in 2011 are one by one linked to each other, and the causes of the political instability in Egypt are analyzed in depth. Trying to analyze the deep influence of the abuses of political, economic and social structures on the political instability caused by Egypt's long-standing authoritarian regime, and to explore the reasons why it is difficult to continue to govern society. And why it has become a political instability of the institutional cause. The sixth chapter first reviews the political reconstruction process after the political turmoil, and then forecasts the possible trends of Egypt's political situation in the future. In addition, it expounds the significance of the political turmoil in Egypt to the political development of other developing countries. It also provides some enlightenment.
【學位授予單位】：西南交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：D741.1
本文編號：2325049
[Abstract]:Since the overthrow of the monarchy and the establishment of the republic in 1952, Egypt, under the leadership of President Nasser, Sadat and Mubarak, has constructed a new authoritarian regime with distinctive Egyptian characteristics, and has carried out a series of reforms on this basis. The development of Egypt from a weak colony to an important force in the Arab world has made Egypt one of the relatively stable countries in the Middle East for a long time. But why, in this wave of political turmoil that has engulfed West Asia and North Africa, has Mubarak, who has held the presidency of Egypt for 30 years, not been spared? More than a year has passed since the tumult, but the current storm is still under way, and it is still some time before the turmoil moves from chaos to governance, which cannot be more than thought-provoking. Against the background of the political turmoil that engulfed West Asia and North Africa in 2010, this paper takes the authoritarian regime of Egypt, a large power in the Middle East region, as the starting point, and expounds the establishment of the authoritarian regime in Egypt and the difficulties encountered in reality. The relevance of Egypt's current authoritarian constitutional model, economic model, civil society in the social structure to religion and the political turmoil of 2011 is deeply analyzed, and the distribution of various political forces during the current transition period in Egypt is also discussed. The political orientation and the future political situation development tendency make the analysis and the forecast. The full text is divided into six chapters. The first chapter introduces the background, research status, research ideas, methods and significance. The second chapter firstly analyzes the origin and characteristics of the contemporary autocracy in Egypt, and tries to explore its legitimacy crisis from the perspective of political science. Then it reveals the merits and demerits of the autocratic regime in Egypt, after analyzing its negative influence, it leads to the political turmoil and briefly reviews its process. In the third, fourth and fifth chapters, the constitutional model, the economic model, the civil society and religion of Egypt's authoritarian regime, and the political turmoil in 2011 are one by one linked to each other, and the causes of the political instability in Egypt are analyzed in depth. Trying to analyze the deep influence of the abuses of political, economic and social structures on the political instability caused by Egypt's long-standing authoritarian regime, and to explore the reasons why it is difficult to continue to govern society. And why it has become a political instability of the institutional cause. The sixth chapter first reviews the political reconstruction process after the political turmoil, and then forecasts the possible trends of Egypt's political situation in the future. In addition, it expounds the significance of the political turmoil in Egypt to the political development of other developing countries. It also provides some enlightenment.
【學位授予單位】：西南交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：D741.1
【引證文獻】
相關碩士學位論文 前1條
1 蔡落超;合法性視野下的穆巴拉克政權垮臺的原因探析[D];湖南師范大學;2013年
，本文編號：2325049
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