本文選題：突發(fā)事件 + 流程集成�。� 參考：《大連理工大學》2013年博士論文

【摘要】：近年來突發(fā)事件的頻發(fā)嚴重影響社會經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展和人類生活的穩(wěn)定,國家和政府越來越重視對突發(fā)事件應急管理的研究。突發(fā)事件的發(fā)生往往不是單一的發(fā)生,而是常伴有一定的衍生和次生事件,這些事件相互作用、相互影響,波及范圍更廣,破壞力更大。突發(fā)事件應對實施流程是從實施層面指導應急活動的,與應急現(xiàn)場關(guān)聯(lián)最為密切,流程的好壞直接影響事態(tài)的發(fā)展和突發(fā)事件應對處置的效果。若能考慮到多個事件,有效地集成多個事件的應對實施流程,將會給應急響應帶來事半功倍的效果。因此,本文針對實際應對過程中流程響應時間長、資源利用率低下等問題,以多個相互影響的突發(fā)事件的發(fā)生為背景,以知識元為理論,研究多個突發(fā)事件應對實施流程的集成問題。 目前,國內(nèi)外的學者在應急管理方面的研究越來越多,在突發(fā)事件的演化機理、決策選擇、預案評估等方面都進行了大量研究,然而在實際應對層面,突發(fā)事件應對流程還有待進一步探討和研究。尤其是當多個突發(fā)事件同時發(fā)生時,應對過程中經(jīng)常發(fā)生沖突,現(xiàn)有流程已不能滿足實際應對的需要,使得應對實施活動與流程集成方面的問題更亟待解決。鑒于此,本文以知識元為理論基礎(chǔ),提出一種通過集成應對實施活動來集成流程的方法,并通過實際案例驗證了該方法在實際應用中的可行性和有效性。本論文的主要研究內(nèi)容如下： 1、分析了突發(fā)事件應對實施流程的構(gòu)成和多事件流程的特點,總結(jié)了知識元在流程集成中的優(yōu)勢,根據(jù)知識元模型構(gòu)建了應對實施活動知識元,并分析了活動知識元的層次結(jié)構(gòu)及形態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)變。研究表明,活動知識元能有效的抽象和刻畫應對實施活動,統(tǒng)一活動的形式化描述,為活動間的關(guān)系研究打下基礎(chǔ)。 2、擴展活動知識元模型,構(gòu)建了活動間的關(guān)系知識元,并通過對活動關(guān)系知識元中活動關(guān)鍵屬性間的關(guān)系分析,從活動執(zhí)行的先后序、活動執(zhí)行的作用范圍和活動使用的資源三個角度研究了活動間的偏序關(guān)系、空間關(guān)系和沖突關(guān)系。研究表明,多個突發(fā)事件應對實施流程中活動間的關(guān)系復雜多樣,活動關(guān)系知識元實現(xiàn)了不同類型關(guān)系的共性抽取和一致性表達,且識別出的活動間的關(guān)系為流程集成模式的構(gòu)建和流程集成提供依據(jù)。 3、在對實例化活動知識元分類的基礎(chǔ)上,根據(jù)應對實施活動間的關(guān)系,構(gòu)建了不同關(guān)系影響下的流程集成模式,并針對應對過程中遇到的不同狀況構(gòu)建了流程集成模式組合運用模型。研究表明：多突發(fā)事件應對實施流程集成模式是集成流程的重要組成部分,在實際流程集成與應急響應中,應根據(jù)應急現(xiàn)場不同狀況來選取集成模式,且這些模式可以組合搭配使用。以活動間的關(guān)系為基礎(chǔ)構(gòu)建的流程集成模式使流程的集成更具適應性。 4、綜合前三點的研究內(nèi)容,提出一種適用于多突發(fā)事件應對實施流程集成的方法,該方法從應對實施活動及其關(guān)系入手來研究流程集成模式與集成方法,并通過算法實現(xiàn)流程的自動集成。該方法首先運用構(gòu)建的活動知識元來形式化描述流程中的每個活動,再對活動知識元進行擴展構(gòu)建活動關(guān)系知識元,通過活動關(guān)系知識元中活動關(guān)鍵屬性間的關(guān)系識別活動間存在的不同類型的關(guān)系,然后構(gòu)建不同類型活動間的關(guān)系影響下的流程集成模式,最后根據(jù)不同狀況將流程集成模式組合并與其他未集成的活動按原有先后順序連接從而實現(xiàn)多事件應對實施流程的集成。研究表明：通過該方法集成后的流程在運行時間上更短、資源利用率更高,更貼近實際應對。 本文的研究不僅豐富了應急管理的理論研究,有助于多突發(fā)事件應對實施流程的有效集成,還可以為應急管理人員實際應對處置突發(fā)事件提供應對實施的方法與參考,從而加快突發(fā)事件的應對處置進度,減少損失。
[Abstract]:The frequent occurrence of emergencies in recent years has seriously affected the social and economic development and the stability of human life. The state and the government have paid more and more attention to the study of emergency management. The occurrence of emergencies often is not a single occurrence, but often accompanied by certain derivatives and secondary events. These events interact, interact with each other, and affect each other. The process of emergency response to the implementation process is to guide the emergency activities from the implementation level, which is most closely related to the emergency scene. The quality of the process directly affects the development of the incident and the effect of the emergency response. As a result, this paper aims at the problem of long response time and low resource utilization in the actual response process, taking the occurrence of multiple interrelated emergencies as the background, and the theory of knowledge element as the theory to study the integration of the implementation process of multiple emergencies.
At present, there are more and more scholars at home and abroad in the field of emergency management. A lot of research has been done on the evolution mechanism, decision selection and plan evaluation of sudden events. However, in the actual response level, the process of emergency response needs to be further discussed and studied. There are frequent conflicts in the process, and the existing processes are unable to meet the needs of the actual response, making the problem of the integration of the implementation activities and processes more urgent. In view of this, this paper, based on the theory of knowledge, proposes a method to integrate the process through the integration of the implementation activities, and verifies the method through the actual case. The feasibility and effectiveness of practical application. The main contents of this paper are as follows:
1, the composition of the emergency response process and the characteristics of the multi event process are analyzed. The advantages of the knowledge element in the process integration are summarized. According to the knowledge meta model, the knowledge element should be constructed and the hierarchical structure and the form transformation of the active knowledge element are analyzed. The research shows that the active knowledge element can be effectively abstracted and depicted. The formal description of unified activities is the basis for the implementation of activities.
2, the knowledge metamodel of extended activities is used to construct a relational knowledge element between activities. Through the analysis of the relationship between the key attributes of activities in the activity relationship knowledge element, the partial order, the scope of action execution and the resources used by the activities are studied from the three angles of the activity implementation, the scope of action execution and the resources used by the activities. It shows that the relationships among the activities in the implementation process are complex and diverse, and the activity relation knowledge element realizes the common extraction and the conformance expression of different types of relationships, and the identification of the relationship between activities provides the basis for the construction of process integration model and process integration.
3, on the basis of the classification of the knowledge element of the instantiation activities, the process integration model under the influence of different relationships is built on the basis of the relationship between the implementation activities, and the combination model of the process integration model is constructed for the different situations encountered in the process. In the process integration and emergency response, the integration mode should be selected according to the different situation of the emergency scene, and these patterns can be combined and used in combination. The process integration model based on the relationship between activities makes the process integration more adaptable.
4, the research content of the first three points is put forward, and a method is put forward for the process integration of multiple emergencies. This method studies the process integration mode and integration method starting with the implementation of the activities and its relationship, and realizes the automatic integration of the process through the algorithm. Each activity in the process is extended and the activity knowledge element is extended to construct the activity relation knowledge element, and the relationship between the activities is identified through the relationship between the activities key attributes in the activity relationship knowledge element, and then the process integration model under the influence of different types of activities is constructed. Finally, the flow is based on different conditions. Cheng Jicheng combined with other activities and not integrated according to the original order of connection so as to realize the integrated multi event response implementation process. The study shows that by this method after the integration process in the running time shorter, higher resource utilization, closer to the actual response.
This study not only enriches the theoretical research of emergency management, but also contributes to the effective integration of multiple emergencies in the implementation process. It can also provide methods and references for emergency management personnel to deal with emergencies in practice, so as to speed up the progress of emergency response and reduce the loss.
【學位授予單位】：大連理工大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：D523

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 肖花;劉春年;;基于本體的農(nóng)業(yè)災害應急處置領(lǐng)域知識表示研究[J];安徽農(nóng)業(yè)科學;2011年27期

2 梁文錚;沈浩;;SOA架構(gòu)下基于BPEL的業(yè)務流程集成技術(shù)[J];兵工自動化;2008年06期

3 唐揚;劉魯;;基于Petri網(wǎng)的企業(yè)業(yè)務流程集成的研究[J];北京航空航天大學學報(社會科學版);2009年03期

4 豐江帆;李林;楊富平;武志濤;袁正午;;基于Service GIS的震害應急數(shù)據(jù)集成方法研究與應用[J];重慶郵電大學學報(自然科學版);2011年01期

5 趙林度;林沖;;基于GIS的城市重大危險源應急管理協(xié)同機制[J];城市管理與科技;2007年06期

6 王寧;王延章;;應急管理體系及其業(yè)務流程研究[J];公共管理學報;2007年02期

7 馬慶國;王小毅;;非常規(guī)突發(fā)事件中影響當事人狀態(tài)的要素分析與數(shù)理描述[J];管理工程學報;2009年03期

8 劉賀楠;吳宏偉;;高速公路霧天事故成因及應急決策研究[J];公路交通技術(shù);2010年03期

9 楊德寬;王雪華;裘江南;王延章;;基于知識元網(wǎng)絡的突發(fā)事件模型組合調(diào)用[J];系統(tǒng)工程;2012年09期

10 仲秋雁;薛慧芳;葉鑫;;城市應急物資管理流程模型研究——以危險化學品事故為例[J];大連理工大學學報(社會科學版);2013年01期

相關(guān)博士學位論文 前1條

1 董存祥;應急事件處置流程建模及其過程協(xié)同研究[D];天津大學;2010年

，

本文編號：2046036