本文選題：美國 + “能源獨立”��； 參考：《國際論壇》2014年04期

【摘要】：美國本土非常規(guī)油氣產(chǎn)量自2008年以來取得爆發(fā)式增長,帶動了美國綜合能源自給率不斷提高,美國有望在15—20年內(nèi)實現(xiàn)"能源獨立"。這一變化將深刻影響到全球地緣政治格局,美國的超級大國地位將得以鞏固。美洲崛起為世界新的能源供應(yīng)中心,同時亞洲成為新的能源消費中心,全球能源貿(mào)易流向發(fā)生逆轉(zhuǎn)。美國將擺脫中東石油負擔,強化與歐亞盟友的關(guān)系,戰(zhàn)略重心更加東移,其全球戰(zhàn)略有可能進行有限度的收縮。世界部分資源型國家將面臨政局不穩(wěn)定壓力,包括中國在內(nèi)的新興經(jīng)濟體挑戰(zhàn)與機遇并存。美國"能源獨立"給中國發(fā)展帶來的機遇大于挑戰(zhàn),客觀上有利于中國提高在國際事務(wù)中的影響力。
[Abstract]:The explosive growth of unconventional oil and gas production in the United States since 2008 has led to a growing overall energy self-sufficiency rate in the United States, which is expected to achieve "energy independence" within 15 to 20 years. This change will profoundly affect the global geopolitical landscape, and the US superpower status will be consolidated. America has emerged as the world's new energy supply center, while Asia has become a new energy consumption center, reversing global energy trade flows. The United States will shake off the Middle East oil burden, strengthen relations with its Eurasian allies, shift its strategic focus further eastward, and have the potential for a limited contraction in its global strategy. Some resource-based countries in the world will face the pressure of political instability and the challenges and opportunities of emerging economies, including China. American "energy independence" brings more opportunities than challenges to China's development, which objectively helps China to increase its influence in international affairs.
【作者單位】： 中國海洋石油總公司政策研究室;
【分類號】：D771.2
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本文編號：1866160