【摘要】：隨著烏魯木齊地區(qū)人口的不斷增加，工農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展以及城市用水量的日趨增加，烏魯木齊市水資源合理供應(yīng)成了制約地區(qū)發(fā)展的重要因素。目前，大多數(shù)研究致力于水文預(yù)測(cè)或者水資源規(guī)劃與管理，但是單種模型的功能不能形成一個(gè)有機(jī)統(tǒng)一的整體，水文預(yù)測(cè)模型往往應(yīng)用于來(lái)水的上游，，而水資源規(guī)劃與管理模型卻應(yīng)用在耗水的下游地區(qū)。為了使水資源預(yù)測(cè)和水資源規(guī)劃管理成為一個(gè)完整的系統(tǒng)，本文嘗試運(yùn)用新安江模型和WRMM模型進(jìn)行耦合。 本文對(duì)烏魯木齊河流域水資源徑流過(guò)程進(jìn)行分析，結(jié)合實(shí)測(cè)的水文和氣象資料，利用含有融雪結(jié)構(gòu)的三水新安江模型模擬烏魯木齊河流域山區(qū)的洪水徑流，將新安江模型的輸出結(jié)果作為WRMM模型的輸入數(shù)據(jù)，利用WRMM模型對(duì)烏魯木齊河流域平原區(qū)域進(jìn)行水資源合理配置，初步實(shí)現(xiàn)兩個(gè)模型的松散耦合。通過(guò)對(duì)模型結(jié)果的分析，認(rèn)為模擬效果良好。 本文是第一次利用新安江模型與WRMM模型的耦合，使水文預(yù)測(cè)與水資源規(guī)劃成為一個(gè)系統(tǒng)，在預(yù)測(cè)的同時(shí)完成規(guī)劃與配置，較為符合水資源部門(mén)實(shí)際的工作，具有顯著的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 兩種模型的耦合為其它模型結(jié)合提供了指導(dǎo)意義，也是水文模型發(fā)展的方向，此研究具有較強(qiáng)的科學(xué)意義。
[Abstract]:With the increasing population of Urumqi, the development of industry and agriculture and the increasing of urban water consumption, the rational supply of water resources in Urumqi has become an important factor restricting the development of the region. At present, most studies are devoted to hydrological prediction or water resources planning and management, but the function of single model can not form an organic unity, hydrological prediction model is often used in upstream of incoming water. However, the model of water resources planning and management is applied in the downstream area of water consumption. In order to make water resources prediction and water resources planning and management a complete system, this paper attempts to use Xinanjiang model and WRMM model for coupling. In this paper, the runoff process of water resources in Urumqi River basin is analyzed, and the flood runoff in the mountainous area of Urumqi River basin is simulated by using the Sanshui Xinan River model with snowmelt structure, combined with the measured hydrological and meteorological data. The output of Xinanjiang model is taken as the input data of WRMM model, and the water resources of the plain area of Urumqi River basin are reasonably allocated by WRMM model, and the loose coupling of the two models is realized preliminarily. Through the analysis of the model results, it is considered that the simulation effect is good. This paper is the first time to make use of the coupling of Xinanjiang model and WRMM model to make hydrological prediction and water resources planning a system, and complete the planning and allocation at the same time, which is more in line with the actual work of water resources department. It has significant practical significance. The coupling of the two models provides guidance for the combination of other models and is also the direction of the development of hydrological models. This research has a strong scientific significance.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：新疆農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：TV121;TV213.9

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