本文關鍵詞： 可持續(xù)發(fā)展 肇州縣 生態(tài)足跡模型　出處：《東北農業(yè)大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：近年來,在我國加快推進農業(yè)現代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進程的大趨勢下,肇州縣進入21世紀后,特別近年來,經濟社會發(fā)展速度不斷加快,農業(yè)現代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進程也不斷加快,縣域經濟發(fā)展取得了豐碩的發(fā)展成果,但是由于以資源為代價換取經濟的高速增長,使得肇州縣縣域經濟發(fā)展也出現了人地緊張、生態(tài)退化等資源環(huán)境問題。本文查閱國內外大量相關文獻,歸納分析相關研究理論,通過實證分析和定量分析,深入分析了肇州縣發(fā)展現狀,為分析肇州縣可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供了數據支撐。本文采用生態(tài)足跡模型對肇州縣2010年生態(tài)足跡進行了分析評價,評價結果得出：肇州縣2010年人均生態(tài)足跡為3.052gha/cap,人均可利用生態(tài)承載力為1.4754gha/cap。并且對肇州縣1990年、2002年、2010年時間跨度內的生態(tài)足跡進行了橫向動態(tài)研究,在此基礎上,通過生態(tài)足跡、生態(tài)承載力、萬元GDP、發(fā)展能力等方面指標的分析,具體評價了肇州縣可持續(xù)發(fā)展狀態(tài)。橫向動態(tài)對比結果顯示,1990-2010年間肇州縣生態(tài)足跡呈現迅速增長的趨勢,導致這種現象的最直接原因是縣域經濟發(fā)展過程中農業(yè)現代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進程加快,是化石燃料消費的增加引起的。1990-2010年肇州縣生態(tài)承載力呈現小幅度上升趨勢,主要原因是隨著科技的發(fā)展,生產技術不斷革新,從而提高了生態(tài)承載力,但提升空間有限,任然落后與生態(tài)足跡需求的增長速度。1990-2010年間肇州縣生態(tài)赤字不斷加大,因為肇州縣縣域經濟的快速發(fā)展導致生態(tài)足跡的增長速度遠遠高于生態(tài)承載力的增長速度,所以,目前,肇州縣縣域經濟發(fā)展處于不可持續(xù)狀態(tài),縣域經濟經發(fā)展對土地的需求大大超出了土地的承載能力,形勢較為嚴峻。 因此,如何轉變粗放的經濟社會發(fā)展方式,促進肇州縣的可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有重要意義。肇州縣要實現可持續(xù)發(fā)展,就要針對肇州縣現階段的發(fā)展模式中制約可持續(xù)發(fā)展的因素,轉變其發(fā)展方式,促進可持續(xù)發(fā)展。本文根據肇州縣實際發(fā)展狀況,綜合分析縣域國民經濟區(qū)位、經濟綜合發(fā)展實力、歷史文化等多方面要素,針對問題、分析問題、解決問題,提出建議如下：實現可持續(xù)發(fā)展,非一朝一夕之事,應本著眼于長遠,為子孫后代謀求福利的理念,首先是控制人口規(guī)模、提高人口素質；加強耕地保護,提高土地資源管理水平；大力發(fā)展低碳經濟、循環(huán)經濟和生態(tài)經濟,減少環(huán)境污染。在肇州縣2010年生態(tài)足跡中,能源消費占生態(tài)足跡比重較大,因此肇州縣積極探索低碳化的發(fā)展道路,處理好工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與資源環(huán)境協(xié)調發(fā)展的關系；加強生態(tài)環(huán)境保護和治理,提高生態(tài)系統(tǒng)承載力。肇州縣的資源總量有限,提高生態(tài)承載力是肇州縣實現可持續(xù)發(fā)展的另一重要舉措：一是增加生產性土地的面積,二是提高生產技術水平,進而提高生產能力。因此轉變發(fā)展方式,實現低碳發(fā)展和提高生物承載力是肇州縣實現可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要策略。
[Abstract]:In recent years, in our country to accelerate the modernization of agriculture, industrialization, the trend of the urbanization process, Zhaozhou County in twenty-first Century after entering, especially in recent years, accelerating the speed of economic and social development, agricultural modernization, industrialization, urbanization process is accelerating, the development of county economy development has achieved fruitful results, but due to the high speed in order to increase resource costs in exchange for economic development of Zhaozhou county economy, which also appeared in the human nervous, ecological degradation, resource and environmental problems. In this paper, a large number of relevant literatures at home and abroad, summarized relevant research theory, through empirical analysis and quantitative analysis, in-depth analysis of the current situation of the development of Zhaozhou County, to provide data support analysis of sustainable development in Zhaozhou county. This paper uses ecological footprint model to analyze and evaluate the ecological footprint of Zhaozhou County in 2010, the evaluation results: Zhaozhou County per capita in 2010 The ecological footprint is 3.052gha/cap, the per capita ecological carrying capacity is 1.4754gha/cap. and in Zhaozhou County in 1990, 2002, 2010, the ecological footprint within the time span of the transverse dynamic research, based on the ecological footprint, ecological carrying capacity, GDP million yuan, the analysis index development ability, evaluates the sustainable development Zhaozhou County state. The lateral dynamic comparison results show that the ecological footprint of Zhaozhou county during 1990-2010 showed the trend of rapid growth, the most direct cause of this phenomenon is the process of agricultural modernization, the development of county economy in industrialization, urbanization, is caused by the increase of.1990-2010 in Zhaozhou County, the ecological carrying capacity showed a small upward trend of fossil fuel consumption the main reason is that with the development of science and technology, production technology innovation, so as to improve the ecological carrying capacity, but enhance the limited space, Ren However, behind the ecological footprint demand growth rate during.1990-2010 in Zhaozhou County Ecological deficit increased continuously, because of the rapid development of economy of Zhaozhou County in the ecological footprint growth rate is far higher than the growth rate of the ecological capacity, so, at present, Zhaozhou county's economic development is not sustainable, the county economic development the demand for land far beyond the carrying capacity of the land, the situation is more severe.
Therefore, how to change the extensive mode of economic and social development, has important significance to promote the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county. Zhaozhou county to achieve sustainable development, are factors restricting the sustainable development of development model for Zhaozhou County in the present stage, the transformation of the mode of development, promote the sustainable development of Zhaozhou County. According to the actual situation, comprehensive analysis of national economic area county, comprehensive economic development strength, many historical and cultural elements, aiming at the problems, analyze problems, solve problems, suggestions are as follows: to achieve sustainable development, not a short duration of time things, we should focus on the long term, to seek the welfare of the concept for future generations, the first is to control the population, improve population quality; to strengthen the protection of arable land, improve the land resources management level; to develop low-carbon economy, circular economy and ecological economy, reduce environmental pollution in Zhaozhou County in 2010. The ecological footprint, the ecological footprint of energy consumption accounted for a larger proportion, so Zhaozhou county actively explore the development path of low carbon, handle the relationship between industrialization and the coordinated development of urbanization and the development of resources and environment; strengthen environmental protection and governance, improve the bearing capacity of the ecological system in Zhaozhou County. The total amount of resources, improve the ecological carrying capacity is another important measure to realize the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county. One is to increase the area of productive land, two is to improve the level of production technology, improve production capacity. So the transformation of the mode of development, low-carbon development and improve the biological carrying capacity is an important strategy to realize the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county.

【學位授予單位】：東北農業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F205;F301.2

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