本文關鍵詞：區(qū)域水資源“三條紅線”管理績效評價模型研究及實證分析　出處：《山東農業(yè)大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 最嚴格水資源管理制度 指標體系 管理能力評價 TOPSIS AHP—熵權法 灰色關聯分析

【摘要】：水是生命之源、生產之要、生態(tài)之基。水資源是地球上最為寶貴的財富,水造就了人類的文明史,推動了人類經濟社會的發(fā)展。近年來,伴隨全球經濟社會的快速發(fā)展,世界范圍內水資源匱乏凸顯,水資源形勢日益嚴峻,水資源短缺、水生態(tài)脆弱、水災害威脅已經成為威脅人類生存發(fā)展的突出水問題。因此,重視水資源管理、促進水資源可持續(xù)利用,已經成為各國政府和國際社會的共識,各國都加大了對本國水資源的管理：逐步建立完善水資源管理的法律法規(guī)體系；推進水資源權屬管理；重視生態(tài)用水,加強水資源的調度配置；國際間加快全球水資源信息化建設和水利合作,提高了水資源管理的技術水平。 立足當前,著眼長遠,我國根據本國的基本國情社情提出了實施最嚴格的水資源管理制度的要求,經過近幾年的全面貫徹,持續(xù)推進,最嚴格水資源管理制度在我國已從最初的設想逐步走向了成熟,在我國多個省市縣推廣實施,明確了以“三條紅線”為核心的“四項制度”作為其基本構架。但是必須注意到在微觀層面,區(qū)域水資源管理責任和考核制度尚未落實,區(qū)域水資源供求矛盾突出,地區(qū)缺水嚴重,水資源分布與國民經濟布局不相適應,水資源供需矛盾嚴重制約著區(qū)域經濟的發(fā)展。因此,為了保障我國“三條紅線”水資源管理制度落實到實處,必須建立區(qū)域最嚴格水資源“三條紅線”管理績效評價模型和采用與之相適應的數學方法,進行區(qū)域“三條紅線”水資源管理能力評價,分析不同區(qū)域內水資源管理的實際情況和存在的問題并因地制宜地提出解決方案。只有實現了區(qū)域最嚴格水資源管理制度的實施,才能進一步推進我國水資源管理的嚴格化、精細化和系統化研究,進一步實現水資源的可持續(xù)利用 本文在深入探討了最嚴格水資源管理的制度含義和體系構成的基礎上,結合區(qū)域水資源管理自身的特點,通過搜集大量的統計資料,綜合考慮用水總量、用水效率和水功能區(qū)限制納污“三條紅線”的內涵,根據指標體系構建的原則,構建了區(qū)域水資源管理“三條紅線”評價指標體系。 其次,在仔細研究了灰色關聯分析法和TOPSIS分析法,對兩者的使用范圍和優(yōu)缺點做了比較后,最終確定了構建基于灰色關聯分析的改進TOPSIS模型作為對區(qū)域水資源管理能力進行評價的數學模型；隨后詳細闡述了該模型的基本思想、具體求解步驟和計算方法,明晰了如何根據評價結果對水資源管理能力進行評價。 最后,以山東省濟南市為實例,應用區(qū)域水資源管理“三條紅線”評價指標體系和基于灰色關聯分析的改進TOPSIS模型對濟南市近年來的水資源管理能力進行評價,將主觀因素和客觀數據相結合,最終采用TOPSIS模型中的關聯相對貼近度對歷年來濟南的水資源管理能力進行評價,評價過程建立在客觀數據的基礎上,評價結果與近年來濟南市水資源管理的實際情況基本相吻,說明該評價指標體系和數學評價模型得到了很好的銜接,具有針對性和有效性。
[Abstract]:Water is the Source of Life, production to ecological base. Water resources are the valuable wealth of the earth on the water, creating a history of human civilization, to promote the development of human society. In recent years, with the rapid development of the global economy and society, highlighting the world's water shortage, water resources situation is increasingly grim the shortage of water resources, water, ecological fragility, water hazard has become a prominent problem of water threat to human survival and development. Therefore, pay attention to the management of water resources, sustainable utilization of water resources has become the consensus of the international community and governments, governments are increasing in their domestic water resources management, and gradually establish and improve the management of water resources the system of laws and regulations; to promote water rights management; pay attention to the ecological water, strengthen the scheduling of water resources allocation; accelerate the global water resources informatization construction and water conservancy international cooperation, improve the water resources The technical level of management.
Based on the current and long-term perspective, China put forward the implementation of the most stringent water management system requirements according to their own basic social conditions, through the comprehensive implementation, in recent years the most strict water resources management system in our country from the original vision gradually mature, implementation in China provincial cities and counties to promotion, to clear the "three line" as the core of the "four system" as its basic framework. It must be noticed in the micro level, the regional water resources management responsibility and evaluation system has not been implemented, the regional water resources supply and demand contradiction, serious water shortage area, water resources distribution and layout of national economy do not adapt, the contradiction between water supply and demand is seriously restricting the development of regional economy. Therefore, in order to safeguard our country "three line" water resources management system to implement, must establish the strict regional water resources "three red Line management performance evaluation model and the mathematical method corresponding to the evaluation of regional "three line" water resources management ability, analysis of the actual situation in different regions of the water resources management and the existing problems and proposes solutions. Only to achieve the implementation of the most stringent water resources management system, in order to further promote the strict water resources management in China, the research of refinement and system, further realize the sustainable utilization of water resources
Based on the in-depth study of the system constitute the basis of the meaning and system of the most strict water resources management, combined with the characteristics of regional water resources management itself, by collecting a large amount of statistical data, the total amount of water into consideration, water use efficiency and water pollutant limits the function and connotation of the "three line", according to the principle of index system the construction of regional water resource management, "three line" evaluation index system.
Secondly, in the careful study of the grey correlation analysis method and TOPSIS analysis method, the use of both advantages and disadvantages, and ultimately determine the construction of improved TOPSIS model of grey relational analysis as a mathematical model to evaluate the regional water resources management based on competence; then elaborates the basic idea of the model, specific the solving steps and calculation method, clarifies how to according to the evaluation results to evaluate the water resources management.
Finally, taking Shandong city of Ji'nan Province as an example, the application of regional water resources management evaluation index system of "three line" and the management of water resources capacity of Ji'nan city in recent years to improve the TOPSIS model based on grey relational analysis evaluation, the combination of subjective and objective data, the TOPSIS model of relative closeness the management of water resources capacity of Ji'nan over the years to evaluate the evaluation process based on objective data, the assessment results and in recent years the actual situation of Ji'nan city water resources management of the basic kiss, the evaluation index system and mathematical evaluation model has very good convergence, targeted and effective.

【學位授予單位】：山東農業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：TV213.4

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