發(fā)布時(shí)間：2017-12-27 15:44

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：區(qū)域資源承載力與資源負(fù)荷的動(dòng)態(tài)測(cè)度方法初探——基于遼寧省水資源評(píng)價(jià)的實(shí)證　出處：《資源科學(xué)》2015年01期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 資源科學(xué) 多目標(biāo)函數(shù) 承載力 資源強(qiáng)度 動(dòng)態(tài)評(píng)價(jià) 遼寧省

【摘要】：中國(guó)正處在快速城市化、新型工業(yè)化與農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化互動(dòng)發(fā)展時(shí)期,文章著眼于這一背景,從區(qū)域人口、資源、環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的視角,提出了基于人口、土地、經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模的資源承載力閾值、資源負(fù)荷、資源強(qiáng)度概念及其表征方法;結(jié)合分岔理論和突變理論,引入突變級(jí)數(shù)法進(jìn)行資源承載力的多目標(biāo)綜合評(píng)價(jià),以2011-2013年遼寧省水資源系統(tǒng)綜合評(píng)價(jià)為例進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,結(jié)果表明:2011年遼寧省14個(gè)行政單元中,人口、土地、經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模超過(guò)水資源承載力閾值的城市分別為8個(gè)、8個(gè)、4個(gè),水資源強(qiáng)度高于全省平均值的城市分別為6個(gè)、6個(gè)、10個(gè);與2011年相比,2013年遼西北的朝陽(yáng)、阜新及鐵嶺等3個(gè)城市的水資源應(yīng)急響應(yīng)級(jí)別提高,遼東南的大連、丹東、盤錦及營(yíng)口等4地水資源系統(tǒng)負(fù)荷減輕,遼寧省水資源危急態(tài)勢(shì)趨緩。通過(guò)對(duì)比分析,認(rèn)為評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果基本符合近年來(lái)遼寧省水資源開發(fā)與利用的整體狀況,評(píng)價(jià)過(guò)程相對(duì)簡(jiǎn)便、評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果更加直觀,因此便于推廣應(yīng)用,為不同時(shí)空尺度內(nèi)的資源優(yōu)化配置及區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展的定量研究提供了新的思路和評(píng)價(jià)方法。
[Abstract]:Chinese is in Rapid City, industrialization and modernization of agriculture development period, this paper focuses on the background, from the regional population, resources, environment and economic and social development perspective, based on the size of the economy, population, land resources carrying capacity, resource load and resource intensity threshold concept and characterization method; combining with bifurcation theory and catastrophe theory, the introduction of catastrophe progression method for comprehensive evaluation of multi objective resource carrying capacity of water resources in Liaoning Province, using the 2011-2013 comprehensive evaluation index system and empirical analysis, the results showed that 14 administrative units in 2011 in Liaoning Province, population, land, economies of scale more than the carrying capacity of water resources of the city are threshold as of 8, 8, 4, higher than the provincial average intensity of water resources of the city were 6, 6, 10; compared with 2011, 2013 in Northwest Liaoning The emergency response level of water resources in 3 cities such as Yang, Fuxin and Tieling increased. The load of water resources system of 4 places in Southeast Liaoning Province, such as Dalian, Dandong, Panjin and Yingkou, was reduced, and the critical situation of water resources in Liaoning province was slowing down. Through the comparative analysis, that the evaluation result is basically consistent in recent years the development and utilization of water resources in Liaoning province's overall situation, the evaluation process is relatively simple, the evaluation results are more intuitive, it is convenient for popularization and application, for different spatial and temporal scales of the resources optimization allocation and quantitative Study on regional sustainable development provides a new idea and a new evaluation method.
【作者單位】： 遼寧師范大學(xué)城市與環(huán)境學(xué)院;國(guó)土資源部資源環(huán)境承載力評(píng)價(jià)重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;遼寧師范大學(xué)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)與可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究中心;
【基金】：遼寧省教育廳人文社會(huì)科學(xué)重點(diǎn)研究基地項(xiàng)目(編號(hào):ZJ2014034) 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究規(guī)劃基金項(xiàng)目(編號(hào):14YJAZH112) 國(guó)土資源部資源與環(huán)境承載力評(píng)價(jià)重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室開放課題資助課題(編號(hào):CCA2015.04)
【分類號(hào)】：TV213.4
【正文快照】： 1引言隨著全球人口與經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),世界各國(guó)面臨的資源短缺問(wèn)題日益凸顯,因此如何促進(jìn)資源的集約利用、可持續(xù)利用成為全球尤其是廣大發(fā)展中國(guó)家普遍面臨的難點(diǎn)問(wèn)題之一。資源承載力是衡量一個(gè)國(guó)家或地區(qū)的資源數(shù)量、質(zhì)量對(duì)其人口基本生存與發(fā)展的支撐能力的重要標(biāo)度之一,

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1 郭成利;區(qū)域資源承載力與可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究[D];蘭州大學(xué);2009年

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