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oil trade quote currency for oil trade political attributes

發(fā)布時間:2016-12-18 08:14

  本文關鍵詞:石油貿易計價貨幣的國際政治經濟博弈,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。


石油貿易計價貨幣的國際政治經濟博弈

The International Political and Economic Game of Quote Currency for Oil Trade

[1] [2]

Ouyang Xu,Shu Xianlin(School of Law and Business,Wuhan Institute of Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430205)

武漢丁程大學法商學院,湖jE武漢430205

文章摘要石油貿易不是簡單的商品貿易,它體現出更多的政治屬性和金融屬性,這也是世界大國在國際石油貿易計價貨幣上博弈的重要原因。美國在二戰(zhàn)后,憑借經濟實力的增長和布雷頓森林體系的建立,確立了"石油美元"的地位,并從中獲得了大量好處。然而隨著美元的持續(xù)貶值、"雙赤字"問題以及"新特里芬悖論"等原因,"石油美元"體制日漸衰落。歐元、盧布、日元等欲成為新的石油貿易計價壟斷貨幣。國際石油貿易的多元貨幣計價體制必將變?yōu)楝F實,其未來發(fā)展有幾種可能,一是以多個大國貨幣作為計價基準,構建石油貿易的"多元混合貨幣"計價體制;二是以"國際石油貨幣"為基準;三是以特別提款權(SDR)作為計價基準。面對石油定價和交易貨幣的激烈爭奪,中國應充分利用當前世界市場上大量的石油貿易盈余,既要創(chuàng)造有利于投資的金融和法律環(huán)境,又要避免給我國金融市場和國家經濟安全造成負面影響。同時,應尋求建立自己的能源期貨交易機構,以更有效地參與國際能源期貨交易。

AbstrOil trade is not simply the transaction of a commodity but has more political and financial attributes and this is also the reason why world powers squabble for the quote currency for international oil trade.With its strong economic strength and the establishment of the Bretton Woods system,the United States established,and reaped a great deal of benefits from,the position of Petro-Dollar after the WWⅡ.However,as the Dollar continuously depreciates and also due to some other factors such as Twin Deficits and New Triffin Dilemma,the Petro-Dollar system has been on the slide.Euro,Ruble and Yen are competing for the position of a new predominant quote currency in oil trade.A multi-currency system is set to come true for international oil trade.There are several scenarios for the establishment of such a system.One is using the currencies of more than one major economy as the valuation basis to establish a multi-currency pricing system for oil trade.The second scenario is to introduce the International Oil Currency.The third scenario is to use SDR as the valuation basis.In the face of intense competition for the position of oil pricing and transaction currency,China should,by making full use of the vast oil trade surplus in the world market,on the one hand create financial and legal environment favorable for investment and on the other hand prevent negative influence on the domestic financial market and national economic security.China should also seek to establish its own energy futures agencies to more effectively take part in international energy futures trade.

文章關鍵詞:

Keyword::oil trade quote currency for oil trade political attributes financial attributes Petro-Dollar monopoly multi-currency pricing system

作者信息:會員可見

 

 


  本文關鍵詞:石油貿易計價貨幣的國際政治經濟博弈,,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。



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