本文選題：經(jīng)濟發(fā)展 + 俄羅斯經(jīng)濟��； 參考：《哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：國際油價對很多國家的經(jīng)濟有大的影響。國際石油價格是外經(jīng)濟動力學(xué)的指標。2014年國際能源機構(gòu)提出了減少世界石油消費的預(yù)測,除此之外,美元升值了,對盧布的影響也是影響石油價格的補充因素,瞬時間體現(xiàn)在俄羅斯經(jīng)濟上。在世界生產(chǎn)量和出口石油(包括凝析油)俄羅斯的份額不斷增加,俄羅斯石油作用占12%,這只比沙特阿拉伯少。俄羅斯經(jīng)濟消耗不少于三分之一的開采的石油(包括石油化工產(chǎn)品)。在俄羅斯240石油天然氣開采的公司開采石油,而且11石油天然氣開采的控股公司,(包括俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司)供應(yīng)90%俄羅斯石油生產(chǎn)。2016年俄羅斯的開采石油占約547萬噸(比2015年增加了2.5%)。根據(jù)俄羅斯聯(lián)邦經(jīng)濟發(fā)展部2016年開采石油上加到552萬噸。此外,有利于出口局勢的深色油品與重油,是石油加工增長的促進因素,2016年石油的加工的產(chǎn)量達到了約284.4萬噸。本論文對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟存在的問題和石油價格對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟帶來的影響進行了深入分析,通過國際專家資料研究了國際石油價格的影響,目前俄羅斯經(jīng)濟的狀態(tài),資本外流嚴重性,貨幣貶值問題,目前俄羅斯通貨膨脹率的情況等等。本文主要目的是:了解目前的俄羅斯經(jīng)濟狀態(tài);研究國際石油價格的波動對俄羅斯微觀經(jīng)濟的影響,既包括國際石油價格的波動對工業(yè)、農(nóng)業(yè)、貿(mào)易的影響;國際石油價格的波動對俄羅斯宏觀經(jīng)濟的影響,既包含國際石油價格的波動對俄羅斯發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟增長的影響與對俄羅斯聯(lián)邦的經(jīng)濟趨勢的影響,而且指明了由于國際石油價格使俄羅斯經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中所面臨亟待解決的問題。根據(jù)國際石油價格對俄羅斯微觀經(jīng)濟與整體經(jīng)濟的影響,本文提出了應(yīng)對石油價格波動的措施與進行國家產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型的對策、穩(wěn)定金融秩序的對策、優(yōu)化石油產(chǎn)業(yè)的對策等等。本論文的新的意境是利用比較分析等手段,通過國際石油價格的動態(tài)變化對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟進行分析,找出對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟積極與負面的影響及存在的一些問題,并提出應(yīng)對石油價格波動的措施。
[Abstract]:International oil prices have a big impact on the economies of many countries. The international oil price is an indicator of foreign economic dynamics. In addition to the forecast made by the International Energy Agency in 2014 to reduce world oil consumption, the appreciation of the dollar is also a supplementary factor affecting oil prices. The instant is reflected in the Russian economy. Russia's share of world production and exports of oil, including condensate oil, is growing, with Russia accounting for 12 percent, less than Saudi Arabia. Russia's economy consumes no less than 1/3 of its oil (including petrochemical products). In Russia 240 oil and gas extraction companies, And the holding company that controls 11 oil and gas exploration, including Gazprom, supplies 90 percent of Russian oil production. In 2016, Russia produced about 5.47 million tons of oil (an increase of 2.5 percent from 2015). According to the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, oil production increased to 5.52 million tons in 2016. In addition, dark oil and heavy oil, which are conducive to exports, have contributed to the growth in oil processing, which reached about 2.844 million tons in 2016. In this paper, the problems existing in the Russian economy and the impact of oil prices on the Russian economy are analyzed in depth, and the influence of the international oil price on the international oil price is studied through international expert data, and the current state of the Russian economy is also studied. The severity of capital outflows, currency depreciation, the current Russian inflation rate and so on. The main purpose of this paper is to understand the current state of Russian economy, to study the impact of the fluctuation of international oil price on the microeconomy of Russia, including the impact of the fluctuation of international oil price on industry, agriculture and trade; The impact of fluctuations in international oil prices on the macroeconomic situation of Russia, including the impact of fluctuations in international oil prices on Russia's development strategy, on Russian economic growth and on the economic trends of the Russian Federation, And pointed out that because of the international oil price, Russia's economic development is faced with problems to be solved. According to the influence of international oil price on the micro economy and the whole economy of Russia, this paper puts forward the measures to deal with the fluctuation of oil price, the countermeasures of national industrial transformation, the countermeasure of stabilizing the financial order, the countermeasure of optimizing the petroleum industry, and so on. The new artistic conception of this paper is to analyze the Russian economy through the dynamic changes of the international oil price by means of comparative analysis, and to find out the positive and negative effects on the Russian economy and some existing problems. And put forward the measures to deal with the fluctuation of oil price.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F416.22;F764.1;F151.2

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