本文選題：因果分析 + 保護層方法��； 參考：《油氣田環(huán)境保護》2016年05期

【摘要】：針對風險控制無法有效量化問題,應用因果分析和保護層分析方法各自的特點,建立了基于因果分析-保護層方法的風險控制技術(shù)。通過應用因果分析技術(shù)對特定風險場景進行系統(tǒng)原因分析,查找出風險控制的關(guān)鍵致因,利用保護層方法辨識出關(guān)鍵致因的獨立保護層,依據(jù)系統(tǒng)可靠性理論計算特定場景中獨立保護層的失效頻率,結(jié)合企業(yè)的風險標準和風險可接受水平,確定是否需要增加新的獨立保護層或提高已有獨立保護層的可靠性來達到企業(yè)理想的風險水平。以中石油西部管道公司典型管道系統(tǒng)為例,驗證了該技術(shù)的可行性。
[Abstract]:Aiming at the problem that risk control can not be quantified effectively, a risk control technique based on causality analysis and protective layer method is established by applying the characteristics of causality analysis and protective layer analysis. By using causality analysis technology to analyze the systematic cause of a particular risk scenario, the key causes of risk control are found out, and the independent protective layer of the key cause is identified by using the protective layer method. According to the system reliability theory, the failure frequency of the independent protection layer in a particular scenario is calculated, and the risk standard and the risk acceptable level of the enterprise are combined. Determine whether it is necessary to add a new independent protection layer or improve the reliability of the existing independent protection layer to achieve the desired risk level of the enterprise. Taking the typical pipeline system of PetroChina Western Pipeline Company as an example, the feasibility of the technology is verified.
【作者單位】： 中國石油西部管道分公司質(zhì)量安全環(huán)保處;中國石油西南管道公司建設項目管理中心技術(shù)部;中國石油管道建設項目經(jīng)理部;北京理工大學機電學院;
【分類號】：TE973;TE88

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