本文選題：石油供應(yīng) + 供應(yīng)風(fēng)險　； 參考：《中國礦業(yè)》2017年12期

【摘要】：中美兩國位列全球前兩大石油消費國,近年來美國得益于頁巖氣革命,石油的自給率不斷增加,而中國的石油自給率不斷下降,對外依存度不斷攀升,因此對比分析中美兩國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險,有助于中國識別石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險點�；趤喬茉囱芯恐行奶岢龅哪茉窗踩�"4A模型",構(gòu)建了石油的供應(yīng)風(fēng)險評價模型。評價結(jié)果顯示,2000年以來,中國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險總體高于美國。中國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險在2000~2002年短暫下降后開始上升,一直保持在較高水平。美國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險在2008年之后開始大幅下降。中國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險主要集中在可利用性和可獲得性方面,而美國的石油供應(yīng)風(fēng)險則集中在可利用性和可接受性方面。
[Abstract]:China and the United States are among the two largest oil consumers in the world. In recent years, the United States has benefited from the shale gas revolution, and the self-sufficiency rate of oil has been increasing, while China's oil self-sufficiency rate has been declining and its dependence on foreign countries has been rising. Therefore, a comparative analysis of oil supply risks between China and the United States will help China identify oil supply risk points. Based on the 4A model of energy security proposed by Asia-Pacific Energy Research Center, the oil supply risk assessment model is constructed. The results show that since 2000, China's oil supply risk is generally higher than that of the United States. China's oil supply risk began to rise after a brief decline from 2000 to 2002 and remained at a high level. Oil supply risks in the United States began to plummet after 2008. The risk of oil supply in China is mainly focused on availability and availability, while in the United States, the risk of oil supply is concentrated on availability and acceptability.
【作者單位】： 中國地質(zhì)調(diào)查局發(fā)展研究中心;中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京);中國地質(zhì)科學(xué)院國家地質(zhì)實驗測試中心;
【基金】：中國地質(zhì)調(diào)查局項目資助(編號:DD20160087)
【分類號】：F426.22;F471.2

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