本文關鍵詞：2001-2012年全球23國新能源發(fā)電效率測算與驅動因素分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

2001-2012年全球23國新能源發(fā)電效率測算與驅動因素分析

Research on calculation of new energy＇s power generation efficiency and analysis on its driving factors

[1]

LI Shaolin （Center for Industrial and Business Organization, Dongbei University of Finance attd Economics, Daliaa 116025, China）

東北財經(jīng)大學產(chǎn)業(yè)組織與企業(yè)組織研究中心,大連116025

文章摘要：新能源替代化石能源發(fā)電,已成為＂霧霾治理＂的重要手段,并在世界各國節(jié)能減排政策制定上達成廣泛共識。本文將新能源發(fā)電的投入細分為太陽能裝機容量、風能裝機容量、地熱能裝機容量和生物燃料產(chǎn)量等四種形式,以新能源發(fā)電量作為新能源發(fā)電的產(chǎn)出指標,基于2001-2012年全球23個國家的平衡面板數(shù)據(jù),對新能源發(fā)電的綜合效率進行了基于Bootstrap-DEA方法的糾偏測算,并運用面板Tobit模型實證研究了新能源發(fā)電綜合效率的驅動因素。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：全球新能源發(fā)電的綜合效率均呈現(xiàn)逐年上升態(tài)勢;各國碳排放量并未構成新能源發(fā)電效率提升的倒逼機制;自然資源租金比重的提高促進了新能源發(fā)電效率的提升;城鎮(zhèn)化率提升阻礙了新能源發(fā)電效率提升;人均收入水平較高的國家新能源發(fā)電效率普遍較高。本文提出應當提高新能源裝機容量擴張政策與發(fā)電量提升政策的協(xié)同性,著力提升新能源發(fā)電效率,增加儲能技術的研發(fā)投入,充分發(fā)揮地區(qū)自然資源稟賦優(yōu)勢,以破解＂棄風限電＂、＂棄光限電＂等制約新能源發(fā)展的瓶頸。

Abstr：The fossil energy substituted by new energy has become an important means of‘fog and haze governance＇, reaching broad consensus on energy saving and emission reduction policies around the world. Here we defined new energy generation inputs as four forms（installed capacity of solar energy, wind power, geothermal energy and biofuels production） and defined electricity from new energy as an output indicator. Based on balanced panel data from 2001 to 2012 for 23 countries we used the Bootstrap- DEA method to correctly calculate the comprehensive efficiency of new energy＇s power generation, and used the Tobit Model to empirically analyze driving factors of efficiency. We found that the comprehensive efficiency of global new energy power generation is rising; carbon emissions do not constitute a forced mechanism of the efficiency of new energy power generation; the proportion of natural resource rent has positive effects on the efficiency of new energy power generation; the urbanization rate has hindered the efficiency of new energy power generation; and the higher the per capita income of a nation, the higher the efficiency of new energy power generation. Based on these findings we propose that more attention should be given to the coordination of policies between the expansion of installed capacity and acceleration of generating capacity in order to improve the power generation of installed capacity. Research and development should be increased for energy storage technology, giving full play to the advantage of regional natural resource endowments, in order to crack the bottlenecks of‘a(chǎn)bandoned wind power＇and‘a(chǎn)bandoned light power＇.

文章關鍵詞：

Keyword：:New energy generation efficiency energy saving and emission reduction driving fac tors Bootstrap-DEA Model Tobit Model Global

課題項目：國家自然科學基金青年項目（71403041）; 教育部人文社會科學研究青年基金項目（14YJC790068）; 遼寧省教育廳人文社會科學研究一般項目（W2014212）

作者信息：會員可見

  本文關鍵詞：2001-2012年全球23國新能源發(fā)電效率測算與驅動因素分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。