歐佩克石油政策的演變及其對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的影響
本文關(guān)鍵詞:歐佩克石油政策的演變及其對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的影響,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
歐佩克石油政策的演變及其對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的影響
The Evolution of OPEC' s Oil Policy and Its Influence on the Oil Prices
[1]
Liu Dong
中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院西亞非洲研究所,北京100007
文章摘要:1973年“石油危機(jī)”爆發(fā)后,歐佩克產(chǎn)油國(guó)獲得了本國(guó)石油資源主權(quán),該組織也開(kāi)始執(zhí)行獨(dú)立的石油政策。維護(hù)產(chǎn)油國(guó)利益,確保產(chǎn)油國(guó)獲得穩(wěn)定的石油收入是歐佩克的根本目標(biāo)。因此,歐佩克在制定石油政策時(shí),一方面要避免過(guò)低的油價(jià)損害產(chǎn)油國(guó)的利益,另一方面又要避免油價(jià)過(guò)高刺激替代能源的發(fā)展,影響石油的長(zhǎng)期需求。1973年至今,歐佩克政策經(jīng)歷了4個(gè)發(fā)展階段。但從歐佩克政策的實(shí)踐來(lái)看,歐佩克產(chǎn)量調(diào)整雖然能對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)波動(dòng)產(chǎn)生一定影響,但對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的走勢(shì)卻是無(wú)能為力。歐佩克的油價(jià)政策也經(jīng)歷了一個(gè)不斷弱化的過(guò)程。但是,據(jù)此得出歐佩克不具備壟斷勢(shì)力的結(jié)論仍過(guò)于武斷!翱ㄌ貭枴苯⒌某踔圆⒎鞘亲笥覂r(jià)格走勢(shì),而是要獲得壟斷利潤(rùn)。因此,與關(guān)注油價(jià)波動(dòng)和走勢(shì)相比,關(guān)注歐佩克維持高油價(jià)均衡的能力對(duì)于判斷歐佩克的市場(chǎng)屬性更為重要。
Abstr:After the 1973 oil crisis, Oil producing countries of OPEC claimed the sovereignty of its own oil resources and OPEC started to implement its independ- ent oil policy. As a tool for protecting the interests of oil producing countries and making sure oil producing countries stable oil export revenues. OPEC' s oil poll- cy takes two factors into consideration: firstly, preventing the very low oil prices which can detriment the interests of oil producing countries; secondly, preventing the very high oil prices which will stimulate the development of other energies and harm the long - term demand of oil. Since 1973, OPEC' s policy has gone through four stages. Based on the implementation of OPEC' s policy, although OPEC' s oil production adjustment can deliver certain influences on the fluctuations of oil prices, OPEC has limited control to the long - term trend of oil price development. However, it doesn' t mean OPEC has no monopoly powers. The truth is Cartels were grouped for acquiring monopoly prices, not for controlling the development. Thus, in order to recognize the role of OPEC in the more attention should be paid to OPEC' s abilities in maintaining trend of world oil the high prices market, prices.
文章關(guān)鍵詞:
Keyword::OPEC Oil Policy Oil Prices
課題項(xiàng)目:本文為中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院西亞非洲研究所重點(diǎn)課題“歐佩克石油政策及其對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的影響”階段性研究成果.
作者信息:會(huì)員可見(jiàn)
本文關(guān)鍵詞:歐佩克石油政策的演變及其對(duì)國(guó)際油價(jià)的影響,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
,本文編號(hào):102843
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