【摘要】：本文以環(huán)渤海地區(qū)為例,將其人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)分為資源環(huán)境系統(tǒng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)和社會(huì)系統(tǒng),對(duì)其海洋資源、海洋科技人才力量和海洋基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施等進(jìn)行概述,分析海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)和海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展過(guò)程。以脆弱性為切入點(diǎn),運(yùn)用集對(duì)分析法對(duì)1996-2012年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)脆弱性進(jìn)行評(píng)估,并探討其發(fā)展趨勢(shì);運(yùn)用三角圖法對(duì)1996-2012年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)脆弱性進(jìn)行分類(lèi),分析其發(fā)展的復(fù)雜性、多元性和動(dòng)態(tài)性,并根據(jù)分類(lèi)結(jié)果制定相應(yīng)的對(duì)策,有助于環(huán)渤海地區(qū)明確發(fā)展目標(biāo)和選擇路徑。本文的主要結(jié)論如下:第一,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)脆弱性指數(shù)整體呈下降態(tài)勢(shì),穩(wěn)定性顯著增強(qiáng)。1996-2012年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)四個(gè)省份人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)脆弱性指數(shù)區(qū)域差異明顯,在研究期內(nèi)脆弱性綜合指數(shù)排序?yàn)樯綎|省遼寧省天津市河北省;下降幅度依次是遼寧省0.4796、河北省0.402、天津市0.3187、山東省0.2638。第二,從脆弱性類(lèi)型上看,在研究期內(nèi)天津市有10年次復(fù)合子系統(tǒng)脆弱RS型,7年次均衡脆弱RES型;河北省有2年次復(fù)合子系統(tǒng)脆弱RS型,15年次均衡脆弱RES型;遼寧省有1年次復(fù)合子系統(tǒng)脆弱ES型,16年次均衡脆弱RES型;山東省有3年次單一子系統(tǒng)脆弱R型,復(fù)合子系統(tǒng)脆弱ES型有5年次和3年次RS型,6年次均衡脆弱RES型。第三,從發(fā)展趨勢(shì)上看,在研究期內(nèi)天津市人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)子系統(tǒng)脆弱性所占比重逐漸減小,遼寧省和河北省人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)三個(gè)子系統(tǒng)脆弱性比例協(xié)調(diào)較好,山東省人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)資源環(huán)境子系統(tǒng)脆弱性所占比重不斷增大。第四,要降低環(huán)渤海地區(qū)人海關(guān)系地域系統(tǒng)脆弱性需加強(qiáng)陸海統(tǒng)籌,優(yōu)化海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),加強(qiáng)海洋污染治理,推進(jìn)海洋科學(xué)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、加快人才培養(yǎng)、加強(qiáng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)以加強(qiáng)應(yīng)對(duì)性,提高可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力。
[Abstract]:Taking the Bohai Rim as an example, this paper divides the regional system of the People's Customs Department into resource and environment system, economic system and social system, summarizes its marine resources, marine scientific and technological talents and marine infrastructure, and analyzes the development process of marine economy and marine industry. The vulnerability of the regional system of the people's and customs departments around the Bohai Sea in the past 12 years was assessed and the development trend was discussed; the vulnerability of the regional system of the people's and customs departments around the Bohai Sea in 1996-2012 was classified by triangular graph method, and the complexity, diversity and dynamics of its development were analyzed. The corresponding countermeasures were formulated according to the classification results, which would be helpful to the development of the area around the Bohai Sea. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: Firstly, the vulnerability index of the regional system of the People's Customs Department in the Bohai Rim region is declining as a whole, and the stability is significantly enhanced. The index was ranked as Liaoning Province, Tianjin Province, Shandong Province, Hebei Province, 0.4796, Hebei Province, 0.402, Tianjin City, 0.3187 and Shandong Province, 0.2638. Second, in terms of vulnerability types, Tianjin had 10-year vulnerable RS-type complex subsystems, 7-year vulnerable RES-type equilibrium complex subsystems, and Hebei Province had 2-year vulnerable RS-type complex subsystems. Type A, 15-year equilibrium fragile RES; Liaoning Province has one-year complex subsystem fragile ES type, 16-year equilibrium fragile RES type; Shandong Province has three-year single subsystem fragile R type, complex subsystem fragile ES type has five-year and three-year RS type, six-year equilibrium fragile RES type. The proportion of vulnerability of the system economy subsystem is gradually decreasing, the proportion of vulnerability of the three subsystems of the regional system of the People's Customs Department of Liaoning Province and Hebei Province is well coordinated, and the proportion of vulnerability of the resources and environment subsystem of the regional system of Shandong Province's People's Customs Department is increasing. Strengthen the overall planning of land and sea, optimize the marine industrial structure, strengthen the control of marine pollution, promote the innovation of marine science and technology, speed up the training of personnel, strengthen infrastructure construction to enhance responsiveness and enhance the ability of sustainable development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：P74

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