【摘要】：十八大報告中,黨首次提出建設(shè)海洋強國這一概念,并明確了發(fā)展海洋經(jīng)濟是建設(shè)海洋強國的核心。與此同時,海洋強國戰(zhàn)略研究逐步成為眾多學者研究問題的熱點,因此,在現(xiàn)有研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文嘗試從一個全新的角度出發(fā),對中國海洋強國建設(shè)的經(jīng)濟環(huán)境進行研究,并提供了一種客觀評價定量化的方法,即運用云模型的模糊性和隨機性進行綜合評價,有效地實現(xiàn)了定性與定量概念的相互轉(zhuǎn)換,較為準確地評價了海洋強國建設(shè)中的經(jīng)濟環(huán)境發(fā)展水平。首先,本文明確了海洋強國戰(zhàn)略的內(nèi)涵,并對目前國內(nèi)外海洋強國建設(shè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進行概述；其次,詳細地闡述了當前國內(nèi)外的海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境的發(fā)展情況,針對海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境在發(fā)展過程中出現(xiàn)的隨機性和模糊性問題,引入了云模型這種綜合評價方法,建立了海洋強國經(jīng)濟環(huán)境評價指標體系,闡述了各評價指標的基本含義和計算方法。再次,以2012年各指標的實際數(shù)據(jù)為例,采用熵權(quán)法客觀地確定了評價指標的權(quán)重,并依據(jù)云模型的評價步驟進行模糊綜合評價,利用云模型的三個數(shù)字特征——期望、熵和超熵建立了評價等級,借助正向云發(fā)生器確定了模糊隸屬度矩陣以及在不同隸屬度情況下的云模型綜合評估值,并將指標權(quán)重集和模糊隸屬度矩陣進行模糊轉(zhuǎn)換,得到最終的模糊綜合評價結(jié)果,據(jù)此確定了本年海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境的整體發(fā)展水平,應用同樣的方法確定了我國近10年海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境的發(fā)展情況,并對得到的評價結(jié)果進行了綜合性分析。最后,針對評價結(jié)果中存在的問題,提出了關(guān)于我國未來海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境發(fā)展的相關(guān)性建議,為海洋強國建設(shè)提供依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:In the report of the 18th National Congress, the Party put forward for the first time the concept of building a powerful marine country, and made it clear that the development of marine economy is the core of building a powerful marine country. At the same time, the strategic study of ocean power has gradually become a hot topic for many scholars. Therefore, based on the existing research, this paper attempts to study the economic environment of China's marine power construction from a new perspective. A quantitative method of objective evaluation is provided, that is, the fuzziness and randomness of cloud model are used for comprehensive evaluation, and the mutual conversion of qualitative and quantitative concepts is realized effectively. The development level of economic environment in the construction of marine powerful country is evaluated more accurately. First of all, this paper defines the connotation of the strategy of ocean power, and summarizes the current situation of the development of marine power construction at home and abroad. Secondly, the development of the marine economic environment at home and abroad is elaborated in detail. Aiming at the randomness and fuzziness of marine economic environment in the process of development, this paper introduces the cloud model as a comprehensive evaluation method, and establishes the evaluation index system of marine economic environment. The basic meaning and calculation method of each evaluation index are expounded. Thirdly, taking the actual data of each index in 2012 as an example, the weight of evaluation index is determined objectively by using entropy weight method, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is carried out according to the evaluation steps of cloud model. The evaluation grade is established by entropy and hyperentropy. The fuzzy membership matrix and the comprehensive evaluation value of cloud model under different membership degree are determined by using the forward cloud generator, and the index weight set and fuzzy membership matrix are converted. Finally, the result of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is obtained, and the overall development level of marine economic environment in this year is determined, and the development of marine economic environment in China in the past 10 years is determined by the same method. The evaluation results are analyzed comprehensively. Finally, in view of the problems existing in the evaluation results, the relevant suggestions on the future development of marine economic environment in China are put forward, which can provide a basis for the construction of a powerful marine country.
【學位授予單位】：大連海事大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：P74

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本文編號：2167587