本文選題：海洋經(jīng)濟 + SBM方向性距離��； 參考：《浙江財經(jīng)大學》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：自“十一五規(guī)劃”以來,中國海洋經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展,但仍處于起步階段。海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效如何變化,如何提升海洋經(jīng)濟整體實力備受關注。但在目前測度中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效的文獻中,主要存在如下三個問題：(1)沒有考慮非期望產(chǎn)出對中國海洋經(jīng)濟的影響；(2)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效評價采用傳統(tǒng)的DEA模型,很少采用非徑向、非角度的基于松弛的效率測度方法進行評價;(3)對于已經(jīng)到達生產(chǎn)前沿面的生產(chǎn)決策單元來說目前已有的文獻只說明其是有效率的,并沒有對這些決策單元以后該如何發(fā)展給出相應的對策。本文綜合考慮上述三方面,利用1996-2011年中國沿海11個省市海洋經(jīng)濟面板數(shù)據(jù),加入環(huán)境約束后采用非徑向、非角度的基于松弛的效率測度方法(SBM),在構建理想可實現(xiàn)前沿面的基礎上結合不同生產(chǎn)前沿面的特點,發(fā)展了一種新型生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)測度方法對中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效進行評價,其中海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效評價包括靜態(tài)績效評價(效率評價)與動態(tài)績效評價(全要素生產(chǎn)率評價);并且采用空間Tobit面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效進行因素分析,結果如下所述。從中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長靜態(tài)績效分析,本文研究表明：(1)根據(jù)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長年均靜態(tài)績效可知,中國海洋經(jīng)濟的無效率主要由期望產(chǎn)出和非期望產(chǎn)出(污染)引起,其中期望產(chǎn)出的無效率比重在上升,非期望產(chǎn)出(污染)比重在下降。(2)根據(jù)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長區(qū)域靜態(tài)績效可知,各地區(qū)2006年后海洋經(jīng)濟發(fā)展效率相比2006年前有所提高,綜合經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡間接導致了海洋經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡。(3)根據(jù)中國海洋經(jīng)濟不同生產(chǎn)前沿面的過渡角度分析,上海、廣東已經(jīng)到達全局生產(chǎn)前沿面,廣東應該提高海洋經(jīng)濟中勞動的技術水平,上海需要提高治污的技術水平；對沒有達到全局生產(chǎn)前沿面的省份來說,海南、廣西既要改善海洋經(jīng)濟投入產(chǎn)出結構,又需要提高期望產(chǎn)出的技術進步；其他地區(qū)主要應該改善目前海洋經(jīng)濟投入產(chǎn)出結構,進而更快地達到海洋經(jīng)濟全局生產(chǎn)前沿面。從中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長動態(tài)績效分析,本文研究表明：(1)根據(jù)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長年均動態(tài)績效可知,2006年前理想可實現(xiàn)環(huán)境全要素生產(chǎn)率(LTTP_Ideal)年均下降2.1%,2006年后年均增長0.7%；其中與技術進步有關的理想可實現(xiàn)環(huán)境全要素生產(chǎn)率(LTIdeal)在2006年增長了9.7%,但是2006年以后一直呈現(xiàn)年均下降趨勢,即“十一五規(guī)劃”將中國海洋經(jīng)濟推向了較高的生產(chǎn)前沿面,但隨后前沿面又出現(xiàn)了退步。(2)根據(jù)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長區(qū)域動態(tài)績效可知,2006年后各地區(qū)LTFP Ideal相對2006年前都有所提高；2006年后“高”地區(qū)、“低”地區(qū)LTFP_Ideal呈年均增長趨勢,“中”地區(qū)LTFP_Ideal呈年均下降趨勢；2006年后海洋經(jīng)濟LTFP Ideal呈下降趨勢的地區(qū)主要源于海洋經(jīng)濟期望產(chǎn)出生產(chǎn)率的下降。(3)根據(jù)與技術落差有關的海洋經(jīng)濟環(huán)境全要素生產(chǎn)率(LTG)可知,落后地區(qū)具有后發(fā)優(yōu)勢,海洋經(jīng)濟技術的進步可以在政策刺激以后逐年有所提高,但是發(fā)達地區(qū)原本的技術水平已經(jīng)比較高了,政策刺激以后再讓它加快技術進步的步伐,其就比較乏力,因而海洋經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的趨勢就趨緩了。從中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長績效影響因素分析,本文研究表明：(1)從空間效應角度分析,中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長靜態(tài)績效與海洋經(jīng)濟增長動態(tài)績效存在正的空間溢出效應,因此在中國海洋經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過程中,要充分地發(fā)揮其空間效應帶來的海洋經(jīng)濟效率與技術的進步。(2)中國海洋經(jīng)濟增長靜態(tài)績效與海洋實際生產(chǎn)總值存在U型關系,2011年各地區(qū)都已經(jīng)處于效率對稱軸的右方進行生產(chǎn)。目前中國海洋經(jīng)濟勞動與資本之間的生產(chǎn)稟賦結構需要調整；中國海洋經(jīng)濟第三產(chǎn)業(yè)水平的提高及地區(qū)開放程度有利于效率的提高,但是它們對效率提高的速度在減緩。降低地區(qū)污染排放與提高人力資本的質量與效率,可促進中國海洋經(jīng)濟發(fā)展。中國海洋經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展受政策影響顯著, “十一五規(guī)劃”政策促進了中國海洋經(jīng)濟效率與全要素生產(chǎn)率的提高,進而促進了海洋經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since the "11th Five-Year plan", China's marine economy has developed rapidly, but it is still in its infancy. The changes in the performance of marine economic growth and how to improve the overall strength of the marine economy have attracted much attention. However, there are three main problems in the current literature on the performance of China's marine economic growth: (1) the undesired output is not considered. The impact on China's marine economy; (2) the performance evaluation of China's marine economic growth adopts the traditional DEA model, and is rarely used to evaluate the non radial and non angle based method based on the relaxation efficiency measurement. (3) the existing literature on the production decision-making unit that has already reached the production frontier only shows that it is efficient. Based on the above three aspects, this paper makes use of the marine economic panel data of 11 provinces and cities of China's coastal areas for 1996-2011 years, and then adopts the non radial and non angle based relaxation efficiency measurement method (SBM) after joining the environmental constraints in the coastal areas of China for 1996-2011 years, and on the basis of constructing the ideal frontiers. Based on the characteristics of different production frontiers, a new productivity index measurement method is developed to evaluate the growth performance of China's marine economy, in which the performance evaluation of marine economic growth includes static performance evaluation (efficiency evaluation) and dynamic performance evaluation (total factor productivity evaluation), and the spatial Tobit panel data model is used. The results are analyzed as follows. From the static performance analysis of China's marine economic growth, the study shows that: (1) according to the annual average static performance of China's marine economic growth, the inefficiency of China's marine economy is mainly caused by expected output and undesired output (pollution), of which the expected output is invalid. The proportion of the ratio is rising, and the proportion of undesired output (pollution) is decreasing. (2) according to the static performance of China's marine economic growth region, the development efficiency of marine economy in every region after 2006 has been improved compared with that before 2006, and the imbalance of comprehensive economic development has led to the imbalance of the development of marine economy. (3) according to the different marine economy in China The transition angle of production frontier analysis, Shanghai, Guangdong has reached the global production front, Guangdong should improve the technical level of labor in the marine economy, Shanghai needs to improve the technical level of pollution control. For provinces that have not reached the global production front, Hainan and Guangxi should not only improve the input and output structure of the marine economy, but also need to improve the investment and output structure of the marine economy. In order to improve the technological progress of expected output, other areas should improve the present input-output structure of the marine economy and reach the global production front of the marine economy. From the dynamic performance analysis of China's marine economic growth, this paper shows that: (1) according to the annual dynamic performance of China's marine economic growth, the ideal of the year 2006 is ideal. Environmental Total Factor Productivity (LTTP_Ideal) can be reduced by 2.1% annually, and the average annual growth rate is 0.7% after 2006. The ideal available environmental total factor productivity (LTIdeal), which is related to technological progress, has increased by 9.7% in 2006, but the annual decline trend has been shown since 2006, that is, the "11th Five-Year plan" has pushed the Chinese marine economy to the end. Higher level of production frontiers, but the subsequent frontiers have regressed. (2) according to the regional dynamic performance of China's marine economic growth, the LTFP Ideal in all regions after 2006 has been improved relative to 2006; after 2006, the "high" area, the "low" region LTFP_Ideal growth trend, the "middle" area LTFP_Ideal in the annual decline trend. The trend of the downward trend of LTFP Ideal in marine economy after 2006 is mainly due to the decline in expected output productivity of marine economy. (3) according to the total factor productivity (LTG) of the marine economic environment related to the technical gap, the backward areas have the post advantage, and the progress of marine economic technology can be raised year by year after the policy stimulus. High, but the technical level of the developed area is already relatively high, and the policy is stimulated to speed up the pace of technological progress. The trend of the development of marine economy is slow. From the analysis of the influence factors of the performance of China's marine economic growth, the study shows: (1) from the angle of spatial effect, the Chinese ocean There is a positive spatial spillover effect on the static performance of economic growth and the dynamic performance of marine economic growth. Therefore, in the course of China's marine economy development, the marine economic efficiency and technological progress brought about by its spatial effect should be fully played. (2) there is a U relationship between the static performance of China's marine economic growth and the real value of the marine actual production, 2011 Every region has been produced in the right side of the efficiency symmetry axis in the year. At present, the production endowment structure between labor and capital in China's marine economy needs to be adjusted; the improvement of the third industry level of China's marine economy and the degree of regional openness are beneficial to efficiency, but their speed of increasing efficiency is slowing down. The development of China's marine economy is greatly influenced by the pollution of the emission and the improvement of the quality and efficiency of human capital. The development of China's marine economy has been greatly influenced by the policy. The policy of "11th Five-Year planning" has promoted the improvement of China's marine economic efficiency and the total factor productivity, and thus promoted the development of the marine economy.

【學位授予單位】：浙江財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：P74

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