本文選題：船舶溢油 + 風(fēng)險評估　； 參考：《大連海事大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：船舶溢油事故是非常嚴(yán)重的海洋污染之一,對港口船舶溢油事故風(fēng)險進(jìn)行科學(xué)有效地預(yù)測和評估,發(fā)掘其事故發(fā)生的復(fù)雜規(guī)律,以便采取相應(yīng)的預(yù)防和應(yīng)急措施,使船舶溢油事故所造成的危害降到最低程度,這已經(jīng)成為當(dāng)今世界的一個研究重點(diǎn)和熱點(diǎn)。 寧波港憑借其得天獨(dú)厚的自然條件和不可替代的集散能力,成為我國沿海的主要樞紐港之一。長期以來為寧波市及浙江省東南沿海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)服務(wù),承擔(dān)著華東地區(qū),甬江中下游鐵礦石和原油等大宗散貨的中轉(zhuǎn)任務(wù),是我國歷史悠久的通商口岸。寧波港是我國大陸著名的一個集內(nèi)河港、河口港和海港于一體的多功能、綜合性的現(xiàn)代化深水良港。擬建的寧波甬石旺泰船舶燃料有限公司3000噸油碼頭位于甬江內(nèi),屬于內(nèi)河港。 文中將寧波港甬發(fā)碼頭船舶溢油事故風(fēng)險作為研究對象,首先對該碼頭的自然環(huán)境、水文、氣象、錨地環(huán)境狀況進(jìn)行了簡單介紹；然后對寧波港海域船舶溢油事故的危險源進(jìn)行識別,并結(jié)合港口實(shí)際情況進(jìn)行源項(xiàng)分析和風(fēng)險評估。以層次分析法(AHP)對該港口船舶溢油事故風(fēng)險建立了模型,并以油船“中興油8”輪所發(fā)生溢油事故為例,用實(shí)例分析說明了該模型的應(yīng)用模式。該模型為分析船舶溢油事故原因的專項(xiàng)研究提供了方法,并且此模型具備邏輯性強(qiáng),計(jì)算簡便,其結(jié)果可信度也較高的特點(diǎn)。 本文對于提高寧波港甬發(fā)碼頭溢油污染應(yīng)對能力,完善整個甬發(fā)碼頭海域污染的應(yīng)急措施起到了舉足輕重的作用,并且對于相同類型的其他碼頭也有著借鑒作用。
[Abstract]:Ship oil spill accident is one of the most serious marine pollution. The risk of port ship oil spill accident is predicted and evaluated scientifically and effectively, and the complex law of the accident is discovered in order to take corresponding preventive and emergency measures.It has become a research focus and hotspot in the world to minimize the damage caused by oil spill accidents.Ningbo Port, with its unique natural conditions and irreplaceable distribution capacity, has become one of the main hub ports along the coast of China.For a long time, it has served the economy of Ningbo City and the southeast coastal area of Zhejiang Province, and is undertaking the task of transferring bulk bulk goods such as iron ore and crude oil in the middle and lower reaches of the Yongjiang River and east China. It is a long history commercial port in China.Ningbo Port is a multi-functional, comprehensive and modern deep-water port in China, which is a well-known inland port, estuarine port and seaport.Ningbo Ningbo Shiwangtai Shiwangtai ship fuel Co., Ltd. 3000 ton oil terminal is located in Yongjiang River.In this paper, the risk of ship oil spill accident in Ningbo Port Yongfa Wharf is taken as the research object. Firstly, the natural environment, hydrology, meteorology and Anchorage environment of Ningbo Port are briefly introduced.Then the source of the ship oil spill accident in Ningbo Port is identified, and the source term analysis and risk assessment are carried out according to the actual situation of the port.The risk of oil spill accident of the port ship is modeled by Analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the application mode of the model is illustrated by an example of the oil spill accident occurred by the oil tanker "ZTE Oil 8".The model provides a method for the special research on the causes of oil spill accidents of ships, and this model has the characteristics of strong logic, simple calculation and high reliability of the results.This paper plays an important role in improving the oil spill response capacity of Ningbo port Yongfa wharf and improving the emergency measures of the whole Yongfa wharf sea area pollution, and also has a reference role for other wharves of the same type.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：U698.5

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