發(fā)布時間：2018-03-14 22:39

  本文選題：礦井突水　切入點：ACP　出處：《西安建筑科技大學》2015年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：隨著地下采礦深度增加,礦井水文地質(zhì)條件越來越復雜,礦井突水問題日益嚴重,礦井的防治水形勢和應(yīng)急管理難度逐步升級。礦井突水的應(yīng)急管理問題是迫切需要解決的問題,也是國內(nèi)外專家學者研究的熱點和難點。礦井突發(fā)水災事件前兆不充分,具有復雜性特性和次生衍生損害,其破壞性較大,借助傳統(tǒng)管理方法難以有效應(yīng)對,有必要研究有效的礦井水災應(yīng)急管理理論和方法,為礦井突發(fā)水災事件應(yīng)急響應(yīng)提供強有力管控工具和智力支持。本文在前人重要研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,提出采用復雜巨系統(tǒng)研究的人工社會-計算實驗-平行執(zhí)行,即ACP方法,解決礦井突水應(yīng)急管理問題,試圖給出一種針對礦井突發(fā)水災事件的應(yīng)急管理理論和方法,達到有效協(xié)同和集成化管控,具體包括以下幾個方面內(nèi)容:(1)礦井突水平行應(yīng)急管理框架模型。提出利用人工系統(tǒng)方法對現(xiàn)場實際情景進行建模,應(yīng)急實驗對應(yīng)急處置策略進行仿真分析評估,平行執(zhí)行實施應(yīng)急方案并同步于人工系統(tǒng)的理論和方法,給出了基于時間軸模型的4D時空管理方法,為現(xiàn)場狀態(tài)的時空管理提供可行途徑。平行應(yīng)急管理系統(tǒng)是一種動態(tài)演化系統(tǒng),通過對人工系統(tǒng)進行計算模擬、涌現(xiàn)觀察,實現(xiàn)對應(yīng)急控制策略的零風險和低成本的快速實驗,可為現(xiàn)場狀態(tài)的管理和控制尋求較優(yōu)方案,通過平行執(zhí)行,人工系統(tǒng)可以直接影響或改變實際系統(tǒng)的運行方向,達到認識自然、理解自然、利用自然和改造自然的目的。(2)人工礦井突水系統(tǒng)研究。通過研究“實例型”和“非實例型”的人工系統(tǒng)分類方法以及多代理系統(tǒng)建模等理論,在定義礦井突水系統(tǒng)邊界及內(nèi)涵基礎(chǔ)上,進行角色建模和代理映射,并提出基于代理的海量數(shù)據(jù)集成技術(shù)實現(xiàn)代理數(shù)據(jù)集成,代理訂閱模型(APSM)完成代理之間的協(xié)調(diào)和聯(lián)動,從而構(gòu)建基于多代理的人工礦井突水系統(tǒng)模型。(3)礦井突水計算實驗研究。由于突水試驗代價巨大,無法進行突水及應(yīng)急響應(yīng)實驗,因此,如何實現(xiàn)突水應(yīng)急管理領(lǐng)域中的實驗問題,是促進該領(lǐng)域發(fā)展的最關(guān)鍵問題之一。論文提出使用圖探測法進行排水管網(wǎng)智能計算,利用三角剖分、塊段分割和八分圓橢球搜索技術(shù)進行突水水流蔓延計算,借助A*算法初始化人員的最優(yōu)逃生路線。試圖從“簡單一致”觀點出發(fā),以礦井突水人工系統(tǒng)為載體,以APSM為協(xié)調(diào)方法,從各簡單代理行為的局部交叉到整體涌現(xiàn),實現(xiàn)礦井突水情景的時空演化計算。(4)平行應(yīng)急管理系統(tǒng)研究。從常態(tài)下的突水感知和非常態(tài)下的計算實驗式自動化預案兩個方面,研究探討了礦井突水平行應(yīng)急管理系統(tǒng)及其集成技術(shù)。在常態(tài)下借助物聯(lián)網(wǎng)技術(shù),通過多物理場網(wǎng)絡(luò)化分布式監(jiān)測,依托信息融合理論和方法,結(jié)合人工糾正方式同步人工系統(tǒng),并提供數(shù)據(jù)采集、分析利用、預警預測、應(yīng)急策略評估和應(yīng)急培訓支持,在非常態(tài)下使用計算實驗式自動化預案方法實現(xiàn)應(yīng)急預案制定和響應(yīng),基于數(shù)字化廣播技術(shù)實現(xiàn)應(yīng)急策略響應(yīng)和執(zhí)行。礦井突水平行應(yīng)急管理方法在神華神東錦界煤礦進行了初步應(yīng)用嘗試,取得了較好的效果,具有較大的推廣價值。
[Abstract]:With the increasing depth of underground mining, mine hydrogeological condition is more and more complicated, water inrush problem is becoming increasingly serious, mine water prevention and control situation and emergency management difficulty gradually upgraded. Emergency management of mine water inrush is an urgent need to solve the problem, the domestic and foreign experts and scholars research hotspot. The mine emergency flood event is not the precursor well, with complex characteristics and secondary damage, the damage is bigger, the traditional management method is difficult to respond effectively, it is necessary to study the effective mine flood emergency management theory and methods, provide a powerful control tool and intellectual support for the mine emergency flood emergency response. In this paper, the important results of previous studies, using complex study on the giant system of artificial society - Computational Experiments - parallel execution, namely ACP method, to solve the water inrush problem of emergency management, trying to give A sudden flood in mine emergency management theory and methods, to achieve the effective coordination and integrated management, specifically including the following aspects: (1) parallel emergency management framework model of mine water inrush. The use of artificial methods of the actual situation in the system modeling of emergency disposal strategies are proposed, simulation analysis and evaluation of emergency the parallel implementation of the emergency plan and implementation theory and method of synchronization in artificial systems, 4D time management method based on the model of time axis is given, providing a feasible way to space management site status. For emergency management system is a dynamic evolution system based on artificial simulation system, the emergence of observation. The emergency control strategy of zero risk and low cost rapid experiment, for the management and control of the state to seek the optimal scheme, through parallel execution, artificial system To influence or change the direction of the actual system, to understand the nature, understand nature, use and transform nature. (2) research on mine water inrush system. By studying the example of "artificial" and "non examples of" artificial classification system and multi agent system modeling theory, and on the border the connotation of water inrush system on the basis of the definition, role modeling and mapping agency, and puts forward the agent to achieve data integration data integration technology based on proxy, proxy subscription model (APSM) to complete the coordination between agents and linkage, so as to construct the artificial water inrush system model based on multi agent. (3) experimental study on Calculation of mine water inrush due to water inrush. The test cost is huge, not water inrush and emergency response experiment, therefore, how to realize the problems in the field of water inrush in emergency management, is to promote the development of the field One of the key issues. This paper use detection method for the drainage network intelligent computing, using triangulation, block segmentation and eight round ellipsoid search technology for water inrush current spread calculation, based on optimal A* algorithm to initialize the personnel evacuation route. Try to start from the "simple" point of view, the artificial system of mine water inrush carrier, coordination method based on APSM, from the simple act of agency local cross to the whole emergence of time-space of mine water inrush scenarios of evolutionary computation. (4) research on management system of parallel emergency. From two aspects under normal and non normal perception of water inrush calculation under experimental research on Mine Automation plans. Water inrush parallel emergency management system and its integration technology. The use of networking technology in the normal condition, through the multi physical field network distributed monitoring, based on information fusion theory and methods, combined with artificial correction Synchronous artificial systems, and provide data collection, analysis the early warning and forecast, emergency strategy assessment and emergency training support, using experimental method to realize the calculation automation plan making emergency plans and response in the very state, realize the digital broadcasting technology of emergency response and strategy execution based on the mine water inrush in Shendong Coal Mine Jinjie parallel preliminarily application of emergency management methods, and achieved good results, it is worth popularizing.

【學位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：TD745

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