本文關鍵詞：城鎮(zhèn)災害應急裝備需求預測模型研究　出處：《工業(yè)建筑》2016年06期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關文章： 城鎮(zhèn)災害 應急裝備 需求預測 隨機過程

【摘要】：目前,我國城鎮(zhèn)化進程不斷加快,城鎮(zhèn)的防災減災問題越來越受到社會的重視,應急裝備需求也日益增強。如何建立科學有效的應急裝備需求預測模型,對防治城鎮(zhèn)災害具有重要的意義�；诟怕收摰姆椒ㄑ芯苛顺擎�(zhèn)災害應急裝備需求預測模型,并討論了在不同環(huán)境因子下,應急裝備需求量的計算。利用仿真軟件MATLAB對應急裝備需求進行了計算仿真。仿真結果表明:該需求模型可以較好地對城鎮(zhèn)災害應急裝備需求進行預測。
[Abstract]:At present, the process of urbanization in China is accelerating, the problem of disaster prevention and mitigation in cities and towns is paid more and more attention to by the society, and the demand for emergency equipment is increasing day by day. How to establish a scientific and effective model for forecasting the demand of emergency equipment. It is of great significance to prevent and cure urban disasters. Based on probability theory, this paper studies the forecasting model of emergency equipment demand of urban disasters, and discusses the different environmental factors. The requirements of emergency equipment are calculated and simulated by the simulation software MATLAB. The simulation results show that:. The demand model can predict the demand of emergency equipment for urban disasters.
【作者單位】： 國家安全生產(chǎn)監(jiān)督管理總局通信信息中心;
【基金】：“十二五”國家科技支撐計劃課題(2015BAK14B03)
【分類號】：X4
【正文快照】： 統(tǒng)計顯示,2013年我國的名義城鎮(zhèn)化率為53.73%,全國31個省區(qū)市中除上海(89.6%)、北京(86.3%)、天津(82.01%)等19個省區(qū)市名義城鎮(zhèn)化率超過50%外,其他12個省市名義城鎮(zhèn)化率大都在50%以下,未來5~10年,我國大部分省區(qū)市都處于城鎮(zhèn)化快速推進階段的“加速期”[1-2]。但隨著城鎮(zhèn)化建，

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