本文關(guān)鍵詞：長江中游城市群產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響研究　出處：《湖南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要因素之一。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長在一定程度上依賴于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的狀態(tài)，而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)會隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長發(fā)生相應(yīng)的變遷�，F(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的過程，是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長相互依賴、相互促進(jìn)、不斷發(fā)展的過程。 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)既是現(xiàn)實(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的具體體現(xiàn)，又是資源配置效果的深層反映，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式的轉(zhuǎn)變在很大程度上是通過產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和變遷來體現(xiàn)的。發(fā)達(dá)國家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的成功經(jīng)驗也肯定地說明了知識經(jīng)濟(jì)時代產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷是保持經(jīng)濟(jì)健康穩(wěn)定增長的關(guān)鍵。這對于正面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)體制轉(zhuǎn)軌和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式轉(zhuǎn)變的長江中游城市群來說，，具有很大的借鑒意義。 本文在梳理考察國內(nèi)外研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上，闡述產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的規(guī)律，根據(jù)長江中游城市群的實(shí)際情況做出具體的描述性分析，并建立產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論框架。在定性分析的基礎(chǔ)上，基于長江中游城市群2000-2010年各地級市人均GDP均值，運(yùn)用聚類分析法將長江中游城市群各地級市按經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r的不同劃分為三類，分別構(gòu)建面板數(shù)據(jù)模型實(shí)證分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響，以縮小由于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡導(dǎo)致的模型估計結(jié)果與現(xiàn)實(shí)狀況的偏差。 研究結(jié)果表明，對于長江中游城市群I類地區(qū)而言，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展能有效促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長，但第一產(chǎn)業(yè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長負(fù)相關(guān)；II類地區(qū)和III類地區(qū)的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷均與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長正相關(guān)，但由于存在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡問題，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響在地級市之間有差異。最后，本文給出了相關(guān)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Industrial structure is one of the important factors that affect economic growth. To some extent, economic growth depends on the state of industrial structure. The process of modern economic growth is a process of interdependence, mutual promotion and continuous development of industrial structure and economic growth. Industrial structure is not only the concrete embodiment of the actual economic operation, but also the deep reflection of the effect of resource allocation. The transformation of the mode of economic growth is to a large extent reflected by the adjustment and change of industrial structure. The successful experience of economic growth in developed countries also proves that the change of industrial structure in the era of knowledge economy is to maintain the economy. This is the key to healthy and stable growth. This is for the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, which is facing the transition of economic system and mode of economic growth. It is of great significance for reference. On the basis of reviewing the domestic and foreign research results, this paper expounds the law of industrial structure change, and makes a specific descriptive analysis according to the actual situation of the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. On the basis of qualitative analysis and based on the average per capita GDP of cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River from 2000 to 2010. Using cluster analysis, the cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River are divided into three categories according to the different economic development conditions, and the panel data model is constructed to analyze the impact of industrial structure changes on economic growth. In order to reduce the deviation between the results of the model estimation and the actual situation caused by the imbalance of economic development. The results show that the development of secondary industry and tertiary industry can effectively promote economic growth, but the primary industry is negatively related to economic growth for the urban agglomeration I area in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. The three industrial changes of class II and III are all positively related to economic growth, but due to the imbalance of economic development. The influence of industrial structure change on economic growth is different between prefecture-level cities.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F279.2;F224

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