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蘭州—白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2019-05-19 07:31
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的日益加深,地理空間在經(jīng)濟中的作用不僅沒有削弱,反而日漸凸顯,在世界經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的大舞臺上扮演著不可或缺的重要角色。相同產(chǎn)業(yè)或類似產(chǎn)業(yè)陸續(xù)在特定區(qū)域聚集,最終產(chǎn)生了產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的現(xiàn)象。產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚能夠使集聚區(qū)內(nèi)企業(yè)獲得得天獨厚的競爭優(yōu)勢,美國的硅谷和中國的中關(guān)村都是很好的證明。而在諸多產(chǎn)業(yè)之中,近三十年來異軍突起的高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)在整個國民經(jīng)濟中的分量不斷加重,對經(jīng)濟增長的拉動效應(yīng)持續(xù)加強,已迅速發(fā)展成為提高國家綜合實力和國際競爭力的核心要素。而近年來,作為甘肅省甚至整個西北地區(qū)最富生命力的新經(jīng)濟增長極,蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)也正發(fā)展的如火如荼,其產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚呈現(xiàn)加速集中的強勁態(tài)勢。因此,對蘭白經(jīng)濟區(qū)內(nèi)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的集聚情況以及與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的關(guān)系展開研究具有重大意義,,可為蘭州新區(qū)乃至其它西部欠發(fā)達地區(qū)的產(chǎn)業(yè)集群發(fā)展提供借鑒。 論文首先通過對集聚理論的梳理和綜述,獲得理論基礎(chǔ),然后對本文的研究對象蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的整體發(fā)展概況以及高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀做一描述,繼而借助產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚衡量指標(biāo)對這一地區(qū)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚程度進行測算,并對集聚度和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)聯(lián)性進行規(guī)范的計量分析,最后得出結(jié)論并給出相應(yīng)的政策建議。 論文利用蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)2000-2011年的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),結(jié)合區(qū)位熵、回歸模型、協(xié)整檢驗、格蘭杰因果檢驗以及VAR(向量自回歸)模型和脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)等分析方法,在實證研究中得出以下結(jié)論:首先,蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)呈現(xiàn)集聚效應(yīng),并且集聚程度呈逐年遞增趨勢。從集聚指數(shù)區(qū)位熵值來看,基本上都超過了1,并在近幾年逐年提高上升到了2以上,這說明蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)剛剛走過起步階段,正處于上升發(fā)展時期,在這期間,雖然形成了集聚,并帶來了規(guī)模效應(yīng),但總體來說,高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的效率還有待進一步提升,集聚模式還有待進一步完善;其次,蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長之間長期存在著穩(wěn)定的相關(guān)關(guān)系,高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚度每提高1%,就會引起蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的人均GDP提高約1.01%,高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的集聚推動了經(jīng)濟的增長,但反過來經(jīng)濟的增長并沒有導(dǎo)致高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)向更高水平集聚;最后,蘭州-白銀經(jīng)濟區(qū)的高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚表現(xiàn)為一種政府主導(dǎo)型的集聚模式,這就要求政府應(yīng)該從“加強政策引導(dǎo),為培育和發(fā)展產(chǎn)業(yè)集群提供良好環(huán)境、明確分工,增強地區(qū)之間的戰(zhàn)略合作、加強中介組織培育,構(gòu)建產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的支持體系、轉(zhuǎn)變政府職能,加強公共產(chǎn)品的供給”這四個方面積極的引導(dǎo)和促進蘭白地區(qū)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的進一步發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic globalization, the role of geographical space in the economy is not only not weakened, but increasingly prominent, and plays an indispensable role in the big stage of world economic development. The same industry or similar industry gather in a specific region one after another, and finally produce the phenomenon of industrial agglomeration. Industrial agglomeration can make the enterprises in the agglomeration area gain a unique competitive advantage, which is proved by Silicon Valley in the United States and Zhongguancun in China. Among many industries, the emerging high-tech industries in the past 30 years have been increasing in the weight of the whole national economy, and the pulling effect on economic growth has continued to strengthen. It has become the core element to improve the comprehensive strength and international competitiveness of the country. In recent years, as the most vital new economic growth pole in Gansu Province and even the whole northwest region, the high-tech industry in Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone is also in full swing, and its industrial agglomeration shows a strong trend of accelerated concentration. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the agglomeration of high-tech industries in Lanbai Economic Zone and its relationship with economic development, which can be used for reference for the development of industrial clusters in Lanzhou New area and even other underdeveloped areas in the west. First of all, through combing and summarizing the agglomeration theory, this paper obtains the theoretical basis, and then describes the overall development of Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone and the present situation of high-tech industry. Then the degree of high-tech industrial agglomeration in this area is calculated with the help of industrial agglomeration index, and the correlation between agglomeration and regional economic growth is analyzed by standard econometric analysis. Finally, the conclusion is drawn and the corresponding policy recommendations are given. Based on the statistical data of Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone from 2000 to 2011, combined with location entropy, regression model, cointegration test, Granger causality test, VAR (vector autoregression) model and impulse response function, this paper uses the statistical data of Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone from 2000 to 2011. In the empirical study, the following conclusions are drawn: first of all, the high-tech industries in Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone show agglomeration effect, and the degree of agglomeration is increasing year by year. From the point of view of location entropy of agglomeration index, it has basically exceeded 1, and has increased to more than 2 year by year in recent years, which indicates that the high-tech industry in Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone has just gone through its infancy and is in a period of rising and developing. During this period, although agglomeration has been formed and brought about the effect of scale, on the whole, the efficiency of high-tech industry needs to be further improved, and the agglomeration model needs to be further improved. Secondly, there is a stable correlation between high-tech industrial agglomeration and regional economic growth in Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone for a long time. It will cause the per capita GDP of Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone to increase by about 1.01%. The agglomeration of high-tech industries promotes the economic growth, but the economic growth in turn does not lead to the higher level of agglomeration of high-tech industries. Finally, the high-tech industrial agglomeration in Lanzhou-Baiyin Economic Zone is manifested as a government-led agglomeration model, which requires the government to strengthen policy guidance, provide a good environment for the cultivation and development of industrial clusters, and define the division of labor. Strengthen strategic cooperation among regions, strengthen the cultivation of intermediary organizations, construct the support system of industrial agglomeration, and change the functions of the government. Strengthen the supply of public goods "these four aspects actively guide and promote the further development of high-tech industrial clusters in Lanbai area.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:甘肅農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F276.44;F127

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