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中速增長背景下環(huán)渤海地區(qū)發(fā)展效率綜合評價研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-28 07:31
【摘要】:中國進入中速增長時期,在中國經(jīng)濟新常態(tài)背景下,我國應(yīng)該盡快轉(zhuǎn)變發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu),重視區(qū)域發(fā)展效率,盡快實現(xiàn)區(qū)域穩(wěn)定可持續(xù)發(fā)展。文章選取環(huán)渤海地區(qū)三省兩市為研究對象,從經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、社會發(fā)展、資源利用、環(huán)境保護四個方面綜合分析,建立評價指標體系。對環(huán)渤海地區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟、社會、資源、環(huán)境的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進行評價,運用DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)模型首先以時間尺度對環(huán)渤海地區(qū)44個城市的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展效率、社會發(fā)展效率、資源利用效率和環(huán)境保護效率進行分析,加之以空間尺度的探究,進而對其綜合發(fā)展效率進行評價,進一步對分析環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率空間差異。并以此為依據(jù),針對三種效率類型的城市探究其提高綜合發(fā)展效率的舉措。運用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析方法測算環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率得出結(jié)論:(1)在經(jīng)濟發(fā)展效率方面,2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展效率值為0.626,未實現(xiàn)最優(yōu)有效性,處于較低水平,說明經(jīng)濟投入要素未實現(xiàn)最優(yōu)利用;2005-2014年,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展效率呈現(xiàn)逐年上升的變化,Malmquist效率指數(shù)均值為1.090;(2)就社會發(fā)展效率而言,2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)社會發(fā)展效率值為0.961,處于中等水平,并且純技術(shù)效率與規(guī)模效率均處于中等水平;2005-2014年,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)社會發(fā)展效率呈現(xiàn)出逐年下降的過程,Malmquist效率指數(shù)均值為0.819;(3)就資源利用效率而言,2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)資源利用效率值為0.736,處于較低水平,說明其資源浪費較為嚴重,資源配置較為不合理;2005-2014年,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)資源利用效率呈現(xiàn)出先上升后下降的變化過程,Malmquist效率指數(shù)均值為0.969;(4)就環(huán)境保護效率而言,2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)環(huán)境保護效率值為0.637,處于較低水平,需要加大環(huán)保要素的投入;2005-2014年,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)環(huán)境保護效率呈現(xiàn)出先上升后下降的變化過程,Malmquist效率指數(shù)均值為1.036;(5)就綜合發(fā)展效率而言,2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率值為0.667,處于較低水平,僅有兩個城市實現(xiàn)了效率最優(yōu)。2005-2014年,環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)均值為0.936,小于1,只有三個城市的綜合發(fā)展效率處于上升狀態(tài)。環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率的結(jié)構(gòu)與模式處于不合理的發(fā)展階段。對研究區(qū)域發(fā)展效率空間差異評價分析,結(jié)果表明:2005-2014年環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合效率最優(yōu)的城市極少,綜合發(fā)展化效率中等的城市分布一直位于遼寧省的東北部以及山東省的個別地市。較為發(fā)達城市的綜合發(fā)展效率普遍沒有達到高的水平,這說明隨著社會發(fā)展的進程,雖然加快了城市社會經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展,但是忽略的地區(qū)發(fā)展效率的重要性,從而阻礙了其正常發(fā)展,表現(xiàn)為城市生產(chǎn)布局失調(diào),發(fā)展不均衡,資源要素的利用不合理,城市發(fā)展處于較為惡劣的環(huán)境。運用方法、指標和圖形分析,對比環(huán)渤海地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展效率的影響因素得出,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展、社會進步、資源利用和環(huán)保要素的合理分配均對綜合發(fā)展效率的提升有促進作用,因此,區(qū)域發(fā)展在注重綜合效率提升的同時要轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式,注重社會進步,建設(shè)資源節(jié)約型社會,加大環(huán)保要素投入,合理規(guī)劃城市發(fā)展。最后,歸納整理環(huán)渤海地區(qū)各城市發(fā)展效率分析評價結(jié)果,針對不同發(fā)展效率類型的城市,從產(chǎn)業(yè)布局、均衡發(fā)展、城市職能等方面提出相應(yīng)的提高區(qū)域發(fā)展效率的措施和建議,以促進各城市協(xié)調(diào)健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the new normal state of China's economy, China should change the development structure as soon as possible, attach importance to the regional development efficiency and realize the sustainable development of the region as soon as possible. The paper selects the two cities of the three provinces of the Bohai Rim as the research object, and makes a comprehensive analysis on the four aspects of economic development, social development, resource utilization and environmental protection, and sets up an evaluation index system. By using the DEA-Malmquist index model, the economic development efficiency, the social development efficiency, the resource utilization efficiency and the environmental protection efficiency of the 44 cities in the Bohai Rim region are analyzed by using the DEA-Malmquist index model. Combined with the exploration of the space scale, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is evaluated, and the spatial difference of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is further analyzed. On the basis of this, an initiative to improve the efficiency of integrated development is explored for three types of cities. The data envelopment analysis method is used to calculate the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai Sea region. (1) In the aspect of economic development efficiency, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0.626, the optimal effectiveness is not achieved, and the economic input factors are not optimally utilized; In the period of 2005-2014, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has changed year by year, the mean value of Malmquist's efficiency index is 1. 090; (2) In terms of social development efficiency, the social development efficiency value of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.961, in the middle level, and the pure technical efficiency and the scale efficiency are at medium level; In the period of 2005-2014, the social development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has been decreasing year by year, and the average Malmquist efficiency index is 0.819; (3) In terms of the utilization efficiency of the resources, the resource utilization efficiency of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.736 and is at a lower level, indicating that the resource waste is more serious, The resource allocation is not reasonable; in 2005-2014, the utilization efficiency of the resources in the Bohai area shows the change of the first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index is 0.9669; (4) In terms of the environmental protection efficiency, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0. 637, which is at a lower level. In 2005-2014, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area showed a change of first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index was 1,036; (5) In terms of the overall development efficiency, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 was 0. 667, at a lower level. Only two cities have achieved the best efficiency. In 2005-2014, the overall factor productivity index of the overall development efficiency of the Bohai area is 0.936, less than 1, and the overall development efficiency of only three cities is in a rising state. The structure and mode of integrated development efficiency in the Bohai area are at an unreasonable stage of development. The results of the evaluation on the spatial difference of the development efficiency of the study area show that the urban distribution with the optimal comprehensive efficiency of the Bohai area in the period of 2005-2014 is very small, and the urban distribution of the comprehensive development efficiency is always located in the northeast of Liaoning Province and the individual cities in Shandong Province. The general development efficiency of the more developed cities has not reached a high level, which indicates that with the process of social development, although the development of the urban social economy is accelerated, the importance of the development efficiency of the region is ignored, and the normal development of the city is hindered. The urban development is not balanced, the utilization of resource elements is not reasonable, and the development of the city is in a bad environment. By using the method, the index and the graphic analysis, the influence factors of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area are compared, and the reasonable distribution of the economic development, the social progress, the resource utilization and the environmental protection elements has a catalytic effect on the improvement of the comprehensive development efficiency, The regional development should change the way of economic development while focusing on the improvement of the comprehensive efficiency, pay attention to the social progress, build the resource-saving society, increase the investment of the environmental protection elements, and reasonably plan the urban development. In the end, the results of the analysis and evaluation on the development efficiency of the cities in the Bohai area are summarized, and the measures and suggestions for improving the regional development efficiency are put forward from the aspects of industrial layout, balanced development and urban function, aiming at the cities with different development efficiency types. in ord to promote that harmonious and healthy development of the cities.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F127

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