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安徽省居民消費比重偏低的原因與對策研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-15 21:49
【摘要】:近20年來,我國居民消費在GDP中所占比重,即居民消費率呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢。安徽省也是如此。2011年安徽省居民消費率僅為39.1%,雖然略高于同期全國平均水平,但較發(fā)達(dá)國家明顯偏低①。2011年,安徽省的居民消費率分別比美國、英國和日本低42%、55.4%、21.33%②。與同為發(fā)展中的大國印度相比,安徽省的居民消費率同樣偏低,安徽省的居民消費率低于印度10—20個百分點。 居民消費率偏低的情況,不僅不利于社會主義生產(chǎn)目的的順利實現(xiàn)和社會的和諧、穩(wěn)定,而且破壞社會需求內(nèi)在的合理結(jié)構(gòu),影響社會需求的持續(xù)增長,進(jìn)而影響社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長。因此,分析安徽省居民消費率偏低的原因,探尋提高安徽省居民消費率的措施,顯然具有一定的理論意義與實際意義。 本文運用實證分析法,通過構(gòu)建相關(guān)模型,對可能導(dǎo)致安徽省居民消費率偏低的各種主要因素,如初次分配中居民總收入占GDP的比重偏低、再分配中收入分配的不公平程度的提高、較低的城市化率、社會保障體系的不完善、消費信貸的不足以及沒有良好的消費習(xí)慣和消費環(huán)境等等,進(jìn)行了研究與分析。結(jié)果顯示,居民可支配收入占GDP的比重、收入分配公平程度、城市化率和社會保障體系等因素,都對居民消費率有著正向促進(jìn)作用。 通過實證分析,本文認(rèn)為,為了增加安徽居民的消費,提高安徽省的居民消費率,持續(xù)擴(kuò)大安徽省的內(nèi)需,促進(jìn)安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長與社會發(fā)展,必須做好下幾個方面的工作:第一,對初次分配格局進(jìn)行調(diào)整,提高居民收入占GDP的比重;第二,縮小收入分配差距,提高收入分配的公平程度;第三,加快城市化進(jìn)程;第四,建立健全的社會保障體系;第五,建立健全的金融信貸體系;第六,引導(dǎo)居民形成與時俱進(jìn)的良好的消費習(xí)慣;第七,改善消費環(huán)境。
[Abstract]:In the past 20 years, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP, that is, the consumption rate of residents, shows a downward trend. The same is true of Anhui Province. In 2011, the consumption rate of Anhui residents was only 39.1 percent, which was slightly higher than the national average for the same period, but significantly lower than that of the developed countries. In 2011, the consumption rate in Anhui Province was respectively higher than that in the United States. Britain and Japan are as low as 42.55.4and 21.332. Compared with India, a developing country, the consumption rate in Anhui Province is also on the low side, which is 10-20 percentage points lower than that in India. The low consumption rate of the residents is not only detrimental to the smooth realization of the socialist production objectives and the harmony and stability of the society, but also undermines the internal rational structure of the social demand and affects the sustained growth of the social demand. Then affect the sustained growth of social economy. Therefore, it is of theoretical and practical significance to analyze the reasons for the low consumption rate of the residents in Anhui Province and to explore the measures to improve the consumption rate of the residents in Anhui Province. In this paper, we use empirical analysis to analyze the main factors that may lead to the low consumption rate of residents in Anhui Province, such as the low proportion of total income to GDP in the initial distribution. This paper studies and analyzes the unfairness of income distribution, the low urbanization rate, the imperfection of social security system, the shortage of consumer credit and the lack of good consumption habits and environment. The results show that the proportion of resident disposable income to GDP, the degree of income distribution equity, urbanization rate and social security system all play a positive role in promoting the resident consumption rate. Through the empirical analysis, this paper holds that in order to increase the consumption of Anhui residents, increase the consumption rate of Anhui residents, continuously expand the domestic demand of Anhui Province, and promote the sustained economic growth and social development of Anhui Province, We must do a good job in the following aspects: first, to adjust the initial distribution pattern to increase the proportion of resident income in GDP; Second, narrow the income distribution gap, improve the fairness of income distribution; third, accelerate the process of urbanization; fourth, establish a sound social security system; fifth, establish a sound financial and credit system; Sixth, guide residents to form good consumption habits of keeping pace with the times; seventh, improve consumption environment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:安徽財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F126.1

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