【摘要】：2003年,國(guó)家提出全面振興東北老工業(yè)基地,東北三省迎來(lái)了經(jīng)濟(jì)的全面振興。遼寧省作為東北三省的經(jīng)濟(jì)中心,自2004年起,GDP增速遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于全國(guó)平均水平,最高時(shí)達(dá)到了15%。2016年10月,國(guó)務(wù)院召開(kāi)振興東北地區(qū)等老工業(yè)基地推進(jìn)會(huì)議,部署了進(jìn)一步推動(dòng)?xùn)|北振興的工作。此時(shí)的遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度已經(jīng)是逐年較大幅度降低,2014年和2015年連續(xù)兩年低于全國(guó)平均水平。根據(jù)最新數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2016年上半年GDP增速排名中,遼寧省仍然墊底,并且增速為負(fù)。如何改變遼寧省當(dāng)前嚴(yán)峻的經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)成為一個(gè)迫切而又關(guān)鍵的問(wèn)題。根據(jù)索洛模型,在勞動(dòng)、資本和技術(shù)三大要素中,資本對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)的拉動(dòng)作用逐漸消失,經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)將主要依賴(lài)于技術(shù)進(jìn)步。本文基于索洛模型,從勞動(dòng)、資本和技術(shù)三方面入手,深入分析了當(dāng)前遼寧省的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀。通過(guò)研究發(fā)現(xiàn),遼寧省存在人口老齡化問(wèn)題、固定資產(chǎn)投資規(guī)�？s小及結(jié)構(gòu)不合理,以及技術(shù)水平較低問(wèn)題。為了找出造成遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩的關(guān)鍵因素,本文結(jié)合索洛模型理論結(jié)果,從貢獻(xiàn)率、經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)態(tài)以及技術(shù)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系三方面進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,實(shí)證結(jié)果表明技術(shù)水平是制約遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵因素。根據(jù)理論與實(shí)證分析結(jié)果,本文針對(duì)當(dāng)前遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在的問(wèn)題提出合理的政策建議,包括積極開(kāi)發(fā)老年人資源,拓展投資渠道,改善投資結(jié)構(gòu),以及技術(shù)方面加大科技人力、財(cái)力投入和資本投入,提升科技意識(shí)等。
[Abstract]:In 2003, the state proposed to revitalize the old industrial base in Northeast China, and the three Northeast provinces ushered in the overall revitalization of the economy. As the economic center of the three northeastern provinces, since 2004, the growth rate of GDP in Liaoning Province has been far above the national average, reaching the highest level in October 15.2016. The State Council convened a conference to promote the revitalization of old industrial bases in the Northeast region. Plans have been made to further promote the revitalization of the Northeast. At this time, Liaoning Province's economic growth rate has been greatly reduced year by year, 2014 and 2015 for two consecutive years below the national average. Liaoning Province remained the lowest and negative in GDP growth in the first half of 2016, according to the latest data. How to change Liaoning's current severe economic situation has become an urgent and critical problem. According to Solow model, among the three elements of labor, capital and technology, the pulling effect of capital on economy gradually disappears, and the sustained growth of economy will mainly depend on technological progress. Based on Solow model, this paper analyzes the present economic situation of Liaoning Province from three aspects: labor, capital and technology. It is found that the problem of aging population, the reduction of fixed asset investment scale and unreasonable structure, and the low technology level exist in Liaoning Province. In order to find out the key factors causing the slowdown of economic growth in Liaoning Province, this paper, based on the theoretical results of Solow model, makes an empirical analysis from three aspects: the contribution rate, the steady state of economy and the relationship between technology and economic growth. The empirical results show that the technical level is the key factor restricting the economic growth of Liaoning Province. According to the results of theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some reasonable policy suggestions for the problems existing in the economic growth of Liaoning Province, including actively developing resources for the elderly, expanding investment channels, and improving the investment structure. And the technical aspect increases the science and technology manpower, the financial resources investment and the capital investment, enhances the science and technology consciousness and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：沈陽(yáng)理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127

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