山東省農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系分析
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-29 15:32
【摘要】：農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移問題早在勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移之初就受到眾多學(xué)者關(guān)注，而現(xiàn)在農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移問題依然還是當(dāng)今學(xué)者、社會民眾普遍關(guān)注的熱門問題，目前眾多學(xué)者深入研究該領(lǐng)域的各個方面,且都取得了頗豐的學(xué)術(shù)成果。從研究角度與研究成果數(shù)量來看，學(xué)者們主要關(guān)注以下問題，勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移后農(nóng)民收入問題和勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移對城鄉(xiāng)收入差距問題；農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與貧困的問題；農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移對農(nóng)村人力資本開發(fā)的影響問題。而對于農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間關(guān)系的問題還很少涉及，一般學(xué)者更注重勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移對當(dāng)?shù)剞r(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響問題的研究，對于以省為單位進(jìn)行勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的分析涉及的不多。農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移的實(shí)質(zhì)是資源重新配置的過程，資源再配置的過程不僅僅只是勞動力這一生產(chǎn)要素的流動，它其實(shí)還同時帶動了除勞動力外其他多種生產(chǎn)要素在經(jīng)濟(jì)活動中的流通配置，，使各生產(chǎn)要素在流動的過程中進(jìn)行優(yōu)化配置達(dá)到經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長。 本文運(yùn)用文獻(xiàn)研究法和定性分析與定量分析相結(jié)合的研究方法，對農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系這一領(lǐng)域的研究進(jìn)行整理分析，立足于山東省在二元經(jīng)濟(jì)下現(xiàn)實(shí)的勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移狀況，利用并對柯布—道格拉斯生產(chǎn)模型進(jìn)行擴(kuò)展，引進(jìn)勞動轉(zhuǎn)移率及人力資本兩個新的變量，建立農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系之間的模型。以農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移的角度為如何促進(jìn)山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長提供一些建議。運(yùn)用Eviwes軟件利用山東省1980-2012年的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，得出自變量與因變量之間具有線性關(guān)系且四個自變量的系數(shù)皆顯著。對于新引進(jìn)的自變量，勞動轉(zhuǎn)移率的系數(shù)為正并且與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系顯著這一結(jié)果證明：山東省的勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移對山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長發(fā)揮了重大的作用，山東省在今后可以通過，加大力度推動省內(nèi)大量的農(nóng)村勞動力從農(nóng)業(yè)部門順利轉(zhuǎn)移出，來滿足山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要。本文同時提出，山東省應(yīng)該增加對第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資注重第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展速度，來提高從農(nóng)村出來的勞動力的就業(yè)機(jī)會進(jìn)而促進(jìn)山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長；改進(jìn)山東省的戶籍制度推進(jìn)農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移；加大山東省農(nóng)村人力資本投資，增強(qiáng)農(nóng)村勞動力的市場競爭力等方面的建議。 在勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系方面的研究，一般是將我國整體作為研究對象，本論文不同之處就是將山東省看作一個封閉的環(huán)境，以省為研究對象進(jìn)行農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的分析。經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)是非常復(fù)雜的，是由很多因素共同影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長，按照上述的假設(shè)條件建立的模型，是對影響因素進(jìn)行簡化后所得出的結(jié)論就會過于簡單，因此本論文的模型所得出的結(jié)果就會和現(xiàn)實(shí)有一定的偏差，這是本論文的不足之處。
[Abstract]:The problem of rural labor force transfer has been concerned by many scholars as early as the beginning of labor force transfer, but now the problem of rural labor force transfer is still a hot issue for scholars and the general public. At present, many scholars deeply study all aspects of this field, and have made considerable academic achievements. From the perspective of research and the quantity of research results, scholars mainly pay attention to the following issues: the income of farmers after labor transfer and the income gap between urban and rural areas, the problem of rural labor transfer and poverty; The influence of rural labor force transfer on the development of rural human capital. However, the relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is rarely involved, and the general scholars pay more attention to the study of the impact of labor force transfer on the local agricultural economy. The analysis of the relationship between labor force transfer and economic growth based on province is not much involved. The essence of rural labor force transfer is the process of resource redistribution, and the process of resource redistribution is not only the flow of labor force as a factor of production. In fact, it also promotes the distribution of other factors of production in economic activities besides the labor force, so that the optimal allocation of the factors of production in the process of flow to achieve economic growth. This paper analyzes the relationship between the transfer of rural labor force and economic growth by using the methods of literature research and qualitative and quantitative analysis. Based on the reality of labor force transfer in the dual economy of Shandong Province, this paper uses and expands the Cobb-Douglas production model to introduce two new variables of labor transfer rate and human capital. A model of the relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is established. This paper provides some suggestions on how to promote the economic growth of Shandong Province from the angle of rural labor force transfer. Eviwes software is used to analyze the data of Shandong Province from 1980 to 2012. It is concluded that there is a linear relationship between independent variables and dependent variables and the coefficients of four independent variables are significant. For the newly introduced independent variables, the coefficient of labor transfer rate is positive and has a significant relationship with economic growth. The result proves that the labor force transfer of Shandong Province has played an important role in the economic growth of Shandong Province, and the labor transfer rate of Shandong Province can be adopted in the future. Increasing efforts to promote the smooth transfer of a large number of rural labor from the agricultural sector to meet the needs of economic development in Shandong Province. At the same time, this paper puts forward that Shandong Province should increase investment in the tertiary industry and pay attention to the development speed of the tertiary industry, in order to improve the employment opportunities of the labor force from rural areas and promote the economic growth of Shandong Province. To improve the household registration system of Shandong Province to promote the transfer of rural labor force, to increase the investment of rural human capital in Shandong Province, to enhance the competitiveness of rural labor market, and so on. The research on the relationship between labor force transfer and economic growth generally regards our country as a whole as an object of study. The difference of this paper is that Shandong Province is regarded as a closed environment. The relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is analyzed with province as the research object. The economic system is very complex, and many factors affect economic growth together. The model, which is based on the hypothetical conditions mentioned above, is to simplify the influence factors, and the conclusion will be too simple. Therefore, the results of the model will deviate from the reality, which is the deficiency of this paper.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F323.6;F124.1
本文編號：2298089
[Abstract]:The problem of rural labor force transfer has been concerned by many scholars as early as the beginning of labor force transfer, but now the problem of rural labor force transfer is still a hot issue for scholars and the general public. At present, many scholars deeply study all aspects of this field, and have made considerable academic achievements. From the perspective of research and the quantity of research results, scholars mainly pay attention to the following issues: the income of farmers after labor transfer and the income gap between urban and rural areas, the problem of rural labor transfer and poverty; The influence of rural labor force transfer on the development of rural human capital. However, the relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is rarely involved, and the general scholars pay more attention to the study of the impact of labor force transfer on the local agricultural economy. The analysis of the relationship between labor force transfer and economic growth based on province is not much involved. The essence of rural labor force transfer is the process of resource redistribution, and the process of resource redistribution is not only the flow of labor force as a factor of production. In fact, it also promotes the distribution of other factors of production in economic activities besides the labor force, so that the optimal allocation of the factors of production in the process of flow to achieve economic growth. This paper analyzes the relationship between the transfer of rural labor force and economic growth by using the methods of literature research and qualitative and quantitative analysis. Based on the reality of labor force transfer in the dual economy of Shandong Province, this paper uses and expands the Cobb-Douglas production model to introduce two new variables of labor transfer rate and human capital. A model of the relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is established. This paper provides some suggestions on how to promote the economic growth of Shandong Province from the angle of rural labor force transfer. Eviwes software is used to analyze the data of Shandong Province from 1980 to 2012. It is concluded that there is a linear relationship between independent variables and dependent variables and the coefficients of four independent variables are significant. For the newly introduced independent variables, the coefficient of labor transfer rate is positive and has a significant relationship with economic growth. The result proves that the labor force transfer of Shandong Province has played an important role in the economic growth of Shandong Province, and the labor transfer rate of Shandong Province can be adopted in the future. Increasing efforts to promote the smooth transfer of a large number of rural labor from the agricultural sector to meet the needs of economic development in Shandong Province. At the same time, this paper puts forward that Shandong Province should increase investment in the tertiary industry and pay attention to the development speed of the tertiary industry, in order to improve the employment opportunities of the labor force from rural areas and promote the economic growth of Shandong Province. To improve the household registration system of Shandong Province to promote the transfer of rural labor force, to increase the investment of rural human capital in Shandong Province, to enhance the competitiveness of rural labor market, and so on. The research on the relationship between labor force transfer and economic growth generally regards our country as a whole as an object of study. The difference of this paper is that Shandong Province is regarded as a closed environment. The relationship between rural labor force transfer and economic growth is analyzed with province as the research object. The economic system is very complex, and many factors affect economic growth together. The model, which is based on the hypothetical conditions mentioned above, is to simplify the influence factors, and the conclusion will be too simple. Therefore, the results of the model will deviate from the reality, which is the deficiency of this paper.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F323.6;F124.1
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