泛長三角區(qū)域城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中城鄉(xiāng)收入差異的空間溢出效應(yīng)研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-24 11:17
【摘要】:世界各國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中總伴隨著城鎮(zhèn)化和居民收入差異這兩個(gè)問題,因此長久以來城鎮(zhèn)化和居民收入差異的關(guān)系都是國內(nèi)外眾多學(xué)者關(guān)注和研究的重點(diǎn)。我國的長三角洲地區(qū)開發(fā)歷史悠久,地理位置優(yōu)越,是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長最為活躍的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作體。泛長三角區(qū)域作為以長三角洲為基礎(chǔ)發(fā)展起來的新興經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū),既有經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力雄厚的長三角洲城市群,同時(shí)又有經(jīng)濟(jì)相對落后的江蘇省北部城市、浙江省西部城市以及安徽省各城市。因此,對于泛長三角區(qū)域而言,城鎮(zhèn)化水平和城鄉(xiāng)收入差異均存在顯著的地區(qū)差異性,以此區(qū)域?yàn)槔?研究如何更好地推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程,以及縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差異,具有更好的典型性和重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文的內(nèi)容由五個(gè)章節(jié)構(gòu)成。第一章為緒論部分,論述研究背景和意義,文獻(xiàn)綜述,研究方案以及創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)和不足之處。第二章為理論部分,對城鎮(zhèn)化、新型城鎮(zhèn)化和空間溢出效應(yīng)進(jìn)行定義,并介紹了城鎮(zhèn)化和城鄉(xiāng)收入差異的相關(guān)理論,為模型建立提供理論支持。第三章對泛長三角區(qū)域城鄉(xiāng)收入差異進(jìn)行了空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)其存在顯著的空間自相關(guān)性,為第四章建立空間計(jì)量模型提供了合理性支持。第四章為實(shí)證部分,首先,根據(jù)前文所述理論,建立模型;其次,分別建立不考慮空間溢出效應(yīng)的計(jì)量模型和考慮空間溢出效應(yīng)的空間面板計(jì)量模型;最后,對模型實(shí)證結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較分析。第五章為結(jié)論和政策建議,基于前文實(shí)證分析結(jié)果,對更好地推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程和縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差異提出政策建議。根據(jù)本文的分析,主要有以下結(jié)論: (1)2003-2012年,泛長三角區(qū)域城鄉(xiāng)收入差異呈先上升后下降趨勢和階梯狀分布,并且具有顯著的正空間自相關(guān)性。(2)城鄉(xiāng)收入差異影響因素的影響程度和方向取決于城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中的路徑選擇,人口城鎮(zhèn)化率、第二和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值增加值占比、外商直接投資占比和教育支出占比對縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差異起到正向作用,政府財(cái)政支出占比和存貸款余額占比對縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差異起到消極作用。 (3)泛長三角區(qū)域的城鄉(xiāng)收入差異存在空間溢出效應(yīng),即相鄰地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入差異會(huì)對本地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入差異產(chǎn)生影響,并且在不考慮空間溢出效應(yīng)時(shí),會(huì)低估經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、金融發(fā)展規(guī)模、教育投入對城鄉(xiāng)收入差異的影響,并且高估人口結(jié)構(gòu)、政府干預(yù)、對外開放程度對城鄉(xiāng)收入差異的影響。(4)泛長三角區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平與城鄉(xiāng)收入差異之間存在“倒U型”趨勢,同時(shí)得出人均GDP的倒U拐點(diǎn)為19985元。
[Abstract]:The economic development of countries in the world is accompanied by urbanization and income difference, so the relationship between urbanization and income difference has long been the focus of attention and research by many scholars at home and abroad. China's long delta has a long history of development and is the most active regional economic cooperation in China. As a newly developed economic zone based on the long delta, the pan-Yangtze River Delta region has not only the economic strength of the urban agglomeration of the long Delta, but also the relatively backward cities in northern Jiangsu Province. Cities in the west of Zhejiang Province and cities in Anhui Province. Therefore, for the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, there are significant regional differences in urbanization level and urban-rural income difference. As an example, this paper studies how to better promote the urbanization process and reduce the urban-rural income gap. It has better typicality and important practical significance. The content of this paper consists of five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance, literature review, research programs, innovations and shortcomings. The second chapter is the theoretical part, which defines urbanization, new urbanization and spatial spillover effect, and introduces the related theories of urbanization and urban-rural income difference, which provides theoretical support for the establishment of the model. The third chapter makes a spatial statistical analysis on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, and finds that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation, which provides reasonable support for the establishment of spatial measurement model in the fourth chapter. The fourth chapter is the empirical part. Firstly, according to the theory mentioned above, the model is established; secondly, the econometric model without spatial spillover effect and the spatial panel econometric model considering spatial spillover effect are established respectively; finally, The empirical results of the model are compared and analyzed. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy recommendations, based on the results of empirical analysis, to better promote the process of urbanization and reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas put forward policy recommendations. According to the analysis of this paper, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region increased first and then decreased, and the distribution was ladder shape. And has significant positive spatial autocorrelation. (2) the influence degree and direction of the influencing factors of income difference between urban and rural areas depend on the path choice in the process of urbanization, the urbanization rate, the added value of the second and the third industry output value. The proportion of foreign direct investment and education expenditure plays a positive role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, while the proportion of government financial expenditure and the balance of deposits and loans play a negative role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. (3) there exists spatial spillover effect on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, that is, the urban-rural income difference in adjacent areas will have an impact on the urban-rural income difference in this region, and the level of economic development will be underestimated when the spatial spillover effect is not considered. The industrial structure, the scale of financial development, the impact of educational input on the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the overestimation of the population structure, government intervention, The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the income difference between urban and rural areas. (4) there is a "inverted U" trend between the level of economic development and the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region. At the same time, the inverted U-inflection point of per capita GDP is 19985 yuan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F124.7
[Abstract]:The economic development of countries in the world is accompanied by urbanization and income difference, so the relationship between urbanization and income difference has long been the focus of attention and research by many scholars at home and abroad. China's long delta has a long history of development and is the most active regional economic cooperation in China. As a newly developed economic zone based on the long delta, the pan-Yangtze River Delta region has not only the economic strength of the urban agglomeration of the long Delta, but also the relatively backward cities in northern Jiangsu Province. Cities in the west of Zhejiang Province and cities in Anhui Province. Therefore, for the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, there are significant regional differences in urbanization level and urban-rural income difference. As an example, this paper studies how to better promote the urbanization process and reduce the urban-rural income gap. It has better typicality and important practical significance. The content of this paper consists of five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance, literature review, research programs, innovations and shortcomings. The second chapter is the theoretical part, which defines urbanization, new urbanization and spatial spillover effect, and introduces the related theories of urbanization and urban-rural income difference, which provides theoretical support for the establishment of the model. The third chapter makes a spatial statistical analysis on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, and finds that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation, which provides reasonable support for the establishment of spatial measurement model in the fourth chapter. The fourth chapter is the empirical part. Firstly, according to the theory mentioned above, the model is established; secondly, the econometric model without spatial spillover effect and the spatial panel econometric model considering spatial spillover effect are established respectively; finally, The empirical results of the model are compared and analyzed. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy recommendations, based on the results of empirical analysis, to better promote the process of urbanization and reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas put forward policy recommendations. According to the analysis of this paper, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region increased first and then decreased, and the distribution was ladder shape. And has significant positive spatial autocorrelation. (2) the influence degree and direction of the influencing factors of income difference between urban and rural areas depend on the path choice in the process of urbanization, the urbanization rate, the added value of the second and the third industry output value. The proportion of foreign direct investment and education expenditure plays a positive role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, while the proportion of government financial expenditure and the balance of deposits and loans play a negative role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. (3) there exists spatial spillover effect on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, that is, the urban-rural income difference in adjacent areas will have an impact on the urban-rural income difference in this region, and the level of economic development will be underestimated when the spatial spillover effect is not considered. The industrial structure, the scale of financial development, the impact of educational input on the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the overestimation of the population structure, government intervention, The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the income difference between urban and rural areas. (4) there is a "inverted U" trend between the level of economic development and the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region. At the same time, the inverted U-inflection point of per capita GDP is 19985 yuan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F124.7
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