【摘要】：本研究闡述了貿(mào)易開放度對阿塞拜疆經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響。本研究試圖對這一領(lǐng)域的爭論有所促進(jìn),并旨在提供以單個國家為著眼點的案例研究,因為就阿塞拜疆的個案而言,這方面的信息非常有限。文中采取的數(shù)據(jù)是自1992年至2013年期間的數(shù)據(jù),其后的變量數(shù)據(jù)也取自這段時期。 本研究通過采用自變量：石油出口,進(jìn)口量,通貨膨脹,投資,人口,高等教育,FDI凈流入,貿(mào)易份額及政府開支評估貿(mào)易開放度對因變量-人均GDP的影響。文獻(xiàn)回顧詳細(xì)論述了貿(mào)易開放度和增長相關(guān)的主要著述和最新研究。文獻(xiàn)關(guān)于這個論題有時頗有爭議,不同作者對貿(mào)易開放度對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響持有不同的研究結(jié)果和不同觀點。早期的研究傾向于支持貿(mào)易開放度與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間有強(qiáng)關(guān)聯(lián),而最近的研究認(rèn)為,貿(mào)易開放并不足以解釋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。但是可以從文獻(xiàn)回顧中看出一個總體趨勢,就是一般認(rèn)為貿(mào)易開放度對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有重大影響。 本文也討論了研究的限制性因素,將來在可獲得數(shù)據(jù)的情況下可包括其他重要變量進(jìn)行分析可能會對該論題的爭論非常重要。回歸結(jié)果表明,石油出口,高等教育入學(xué)率,CPI和貿(mào)易份額是解釋阿塞拜疆人均GDP變化的顯著因素,也對其他幾個指標(biāo)對于人均GDP這個因變量的顯著性水平進(jìn)行了檢驗。
[Abstract]:This study expounds the impact of trade openness on Azerbaijan's economic growth. This study attempts to contribute to the debate in this area and is intended to provide case studies focusing on individual countries, since in the case of Azerbaijan the information is very limited. The data are taken from 1992 to 2013, and subsequent variable data are taken from this period. This study assesses the impact of trade openness on the dependent variable, GDP per capita, by using independent variables: oil exports, imports, inflation, investment, population, higher education, net inflow of GDP, trade share and government expenditure. The literature reviews the main works and latest studies related to trade openness and growth. The literature on this topic is sometimes controversial. Different authors hold different research results and different views on the impact of trade openness on economic growth. Earlier studies tended to support a strong link between trade openness and economic growth, while recent studies suggest that trade openness is not enough to explain economic growth. However, a general trend can be seen from the literature review, which is generally believed that trade openness has a significant impact on economic growth. This paper also discusses the restrictive factors of the study, which may be very important in the future when the data are available and other important variables can be included in the analysis. The regression results show that oil export, higher education enrolment rate and trade share are the significant factors that explain the change of GDP per capita in Azerbaijan, and the significance of other indicators to the dependent variable of GDP per capita is also tested.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F136.8;F753.68

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