發(fā)布時間：2018-07-29 16:39

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的不斷發(fā)展，我國以一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易為主要方式的對外貿(mào)易得到了迅速發(fā)展。國內(nèi)外許多學(xué)者對這兩種貿(mào)易方式與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系進行了相關(guān)研宄。但是，，由于這兩種貿(mào)易方式存在著較大區(qū)別，因此不同學(xué)者得到了不盡相同的結(jié)論。鑒于此，本文主要研宄我國一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易在促進經(jīng)濟增長方面的不同貢獻(xiàn)，為政府在未來期間制定相關(guān)貿(mào)易政策提供依據(jù)。 本文首先是對相關(guān)理論的文獻(xiàn)進行梳理，在此基礎(chǔ)上對一般貿(mào)易、加工貿(mào)易和我國經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系進行了理論分析，然后分別從從發(fā)展階段、增值率、商品結(jié)構(gòu)、區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)和主體企業(yè)幾個方面來分析我國一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，發(fā)現(xiàn)這兩種貿(mào)易方式在促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的傳導(dǎo)機制、理論基礎(chǔ)和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀上有較大差異。一是一般貿(mào)易在國內(nèi)的生產(chǎn)鏈條較長，通過傳導(dǎo)要素對我國相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的帶動作用大；而加工貿(mào)易是一種典型的“兩頭在外”模式，在國內(nèi)的生產(chǎn)鏈條較短，通過傳導(dǎo)要素對我國相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的帶動作用小。二是一般貿(mào)易的增值率在1.5附近波動起伏，而加工貿(mào)易的增值率從0.3開始波動上升。在此基礎(chǔ)上，首先對建立在凱恩斯國民收入恒等式基礎(chǔ)上的一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易與我國經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系模型進行計量分析，然后對一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易通過五大傳導(dǎo)要素在促進我國經(jīng)濟增長貢獻(xiàn)上的差異性進行ADF、協(xié)整檢驗和回歸等計量分析，實證后發(fā)現(xiàn)一般貿(mào)易不僅在總量上，而且通過資本積累、經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、技術(shù)溢出等傳導(dǎo)要素促進我國經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻(xiàn)都要大于加工貿(mào)易，而加工貿(mào)易在大量吸收我國勞動力就業(yè)來促進經(jīng)濟增長方面的貢獻(xiàn)要大于一般貿(mào)易。最后，針對以上研宄結(jié)果提出要優(yōu)先發(fā)展一般貿(mào)易、適當(dāng)發(fā)展加工貿(mào)易的政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization, China's foreign trade, mainly in the form of general trade and processing trade, has developed rapidly. Many scholars at home and abroad have studied the relationship between these two trade modes and economic growth. However, due to the differences between the two trade modes, different scholars have reached different conclusions. In view of this, this paper mainly studies the different contributions of China's general trade and processing trade in promoting economic growth, and provides the basis for the government to formulate relevant trade policies in the future. This paper firstly combs the literature of related theories, and then analyzes the relationship between general trade, processing trade and China's economic growth, and then from the development stage, the value added rate, the commodity structure, respectively. This paper analyzes the development status of China's general trade and processing trade from several aspects of regional structure and main enterprises, and finds that there are great differences between these two trade modes in the transmission mechanism, theoretical basis and current situation of economic development. One is that the production chain of general trade in China is relatively long, and the leading role of the transmission elements to the related industries in China is great; while the processing trade is a typical "two ends in the outside" mode, and the domestic production chain is relatively short. Through the conduction factor to our country related industry the impetus function is small. Second, the value added rate of general trade fluctuates around 1.5, while the value added rate of processing trade rises from 0.3. On this basis, the relationship model between general trade and processing trade and China's economic growth based on Keynesian national income identity is analyzed. Then, through the analysis of the differences between the five transmission elements of general trade and processing trade in promoting China's economic growth contribution, the econometric analysis, such as ADF, cointegration test and regression, shows that general trade is not only in the total amount, but also through the accumulation of capital. The contribution of transmission factors such as economic structure adjustment, technology spillover and other factors to promote China's economic growth is greater than that of processing trade, and the contribution of processing trade in absorbing a large number of Chinese labor force to promote economic growth is greater than that in general trade. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward to give priority to the development of general trade and proper development of processing trade.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州商學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F124.1;F752

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本文編號：2153317