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生態(tài)位視角下新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-07-21 11:36
【摘要】:新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的建設(shè)對我國自主創(chuàng)新能力和國際競爭力的提高、推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級都有著深遠(yuǎn)的意義。但是新興產(chǎn)業(yè)在發(fā)展建設(shè)中,由于產(chǎn)業(yè)布局不合理,引致的產(chǎn)業(yè)空間同構(gòu)、惡性競爭等問題也日益嚴(yán)峻,成為制約其發(fā)展的瓶頸。新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展也如生物體一樣經(jīng)歷著各種形態(tài)變化,并且新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展與環(huán)境的關(guān)系也是一種相互依賴和制約的生態(tài)關(guān)系,而生態(tài)位理論正是研究物種形態(tài)變化的經(jīng)典理論,并從一個(gè)多維空間角度分析物種在環(huán)境中的位置變化,這就為新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間形態(tài)研究提供了非常合適的方法論工具;诖,本論文借助生態(tài)位的觀點(diǎn)和視角,將新興產(chǎn)業(yè)比擬為生態(tài)元,新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展所處的階段比擬為生態(tài)位,提出新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新理論,從生態(tài)位的視角,對新興產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新資源分布的空間形態(tài)展開研究。 本論文在已有理論的基礎(chǔ)上,從生態(tài)位的視角出發(fā),以新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新為研究對象,沿著空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位測度—空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的演變機(jī)制—空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的計(jì)量研究—空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位優(yōu)化策略的邏輯思路,從不同角度探討新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的演變機(jī)理和影響因素,解析各影響因素之間的內(nèi)在作用機(jī)理。本論文主要從以下幾個(gè)方面展開研究:(1)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的內(nèi)涵和構(gòu)成要素是什么?(2)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的演化機(jī)制如何?(3)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的空間結(jié)構(gòu)層次如何?影響因素有哪些?是否存在著收斂性?(4)如何提升新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新能力? 針對上述問題,本文展開了詳細(xì)的研究過程,,主要研究內(nèi)容是: 一、提出了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的概念內(nèi)涵并構(gòu)建理論框架體系 新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新是指新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的技術(shù)創(chuàng)新在空間上的形態(tài)變化,包括空間的分布形態(tài)、演化形態(tài)、集聚形態(tài)等各種形態(tài)變化的綜合。它有三個(gè)主要特征,分別是空間性、形態(tài)性和動(dòng)態(tài)性。全文將圍繞著這三個(gè)特征構(gòu)建理論框架:第三章從生態(tài)位測度角度研究空間性,第四章從生態(tài)位演化角度解析形態(tài)性,第五章用空間計(jì)量建模分析動(dòng)態(tài)性,第六章是第五章的實(shí)證研究,第七章對這三個(gè)特性進(jìn)行總結(jié)并提出優(yōu)化策略。 二、計(jì)算新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位寬度、重疊度、態(tài)勢 運(yùn)用生態(tài)位寬度計(jì)測公式測量了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位寬度,并根據(jù)聚類結(jié)果,將新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間分布大致分為五類,分別是關(guān)鍵種生態(tài)元、節(jié)點(diǎn)型生態(tài)元、中間位生態(tài)元、小生位生態(tài)元和小微型生態(tài)元,將計(jì)算結(jié)果反映在地圖上,發(fā)現(xiàn)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新資源分布呈現(xiàn)“船錨”型空間形態(tài)分布。然后,利用生態(tài)位重疊度公式計(jì)算了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新資源在空間分布上的重疊情況,構(gòu)建了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)生態(tài)位“態(tài)勢”的測度指標(biāo),其中,“態(tài)”反映的是過去狀態(tài)的累計(jì),“勢”反映的是未來增長能力,并利用生態(tài)位態(tài)勢的測度原理,計(jì)算了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的“態(tài)勢”值,計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示:從“態(tài)”的情況來看,依然是生態(tài)位較寬的省份態(tài)值也較高。從“勢”值來看,中部省份的增長情況比東部沿海省份要高些,這也說明了創(chuàng)新資源漸有向中部省份轉(zhuǎn)移的趨勢。 三、分析新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位演化路徑并構(gòu)建了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的演化博弈模型 通過引入Lotka-Volterra模型,分析了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)生態(tài)位演化的各種可能情況,并構(gòu)造復(fù)制者動(dòng)態(tài)方程,得出博弈雙方A和B采取生態(tài)位擴(kuò)張或維持原生態(tài)位策略的條件,引入態(tài)勢參數(shù)分析演化博弈過程,然后,通過Matlab進(jìn)行算例仿真,并結(jié)合近期光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)在歐美市場上遭遇“雙反”調(diào)查的例子,根據(jù)演化博弈的分析情況,提出相應(yīng)的解決方案。 四、建立空間計(jì)量模型探索影響空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的主要因素 采用Arcgis地理學(xué)軟件繪制四分位地圖,對新興產(chǎn)業(yè)生態(tài)位空間結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行描述,并通過全局空間自相關(guān)計(jì)算發(fā)現(xiàn):全局的空間依賴性逐步增強(qiáng),各省份在空間上的聯(lián)系也愈加密切。使用Moran散點(diǎn)圖測算,結(jié)果顯示:在過去10年中各區(qū)域新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的創(chuàng)新水平顯示出了強(qiáng)烈的集聚態(tài)勢,并且集聚程度表現(xiàn)出了穩(wěn)定增長,區(qū)域間的空間差異持續(xù)拉大。時(shí)空躍遷測度法的結(jié)果顯示:大部分的省份都保持了空間上的穩(wěn)定性和持續(xù)性,并且創(chuàng)新集中在少數(shù)幾個(gè)省份,形成以長三角、珠三角為核心的集聚。運(yùn)用空間基尼系數(shù)計(jì)算了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間分布情況,結(jié)果顯示:空間集聚程度最高與最低的行業(yè)分界明顯。進(jìn)一步采用面板模型分析空間影響的程度,結(jié)果顯示:RD效應(yīng)中的研發(fā)經(jīng)費(fèi)項(xiàng)和研發(fā)機(jī)構(gòu)項(xiàng)都對空間基尼系數(shù)產(chǎn)生正向影響。然后,建立空間計(jì)量模型分析新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的空間相關(guān)度及影響因素,計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示:考慮空間效應(yīng)后,空間誤差模型和空間滯后模型的分析結(jié)果都比一般面板模型改善,并且,出口交貨值、研發(fā)人員、新產(chǎn)品開發(fā)經(jīng)費(fèi)、消化吸收經(jīng)費(fèi)支出等因素的檢驗(yàn)值顯著提升。對空間收斂性的計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示:我國創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出各地區(qū)間的差異在逐步擴(kuò)大,逐漸呈現(xiàn)一種比較固定的空間分布模式,并且有很強(qiáng)的鎖定效應(yīng)。 五、測度長三角地區(qū)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的演變影響因素 通過對上海市、浙江省、江蘇省相關(guān)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出數(shù)據(jù)的描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析看出:長三角地區(qū)的新興產(chǎn)業(yè)呈現(xiàn)以上海、南京、杭州、蘇州為核心的Z字形分布格局,主要分布在浙東南和蘇中南一片,并且電子信息產(chǎn)業(yè)是長三角地區(qū)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)中的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)。其次,通過協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),發(fā)現(xiàn)描述新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的4個(gè)主要變量存在著協(xié)整關(guān)系,再通過格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)法判斷變量之間相互的因果聯(lián)系,在此基礎(chǔ)上建立VAR模型,采用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)分析內(nèi)生變量對殘差沖擊的影響,并用方差分解方法將各個(gè)時(shí)期每一個(gè)結(jié)構(gòu)沖擊對各內(nèi)生變量的方差貢獻(xiàn)度分解出來。然后,通過空間計(jì)量模型的研究發(fā)現(xiàn):影響長三角新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的主要因素有外商投資、進(jìn)出口總額。通過全局空間自相關(guān)和局部空間自相關(guān)的計(jì)算也發(fā)現(xiàn),長三角25市的空間聯(lián)系正逐步加強(qiáng),空間依賴性也越來越顯著。 六、提出實(shí)施新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位優(yōu)化策略 介紹了生態(tài)位分離策略、擴(kuò)充策略、K-R策略、聯(lián)盟策略的內(nèi)涵及特點(diǎn),利用產(chǎn)業(yè)空間集中度指數(shù)計(jì)算新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間分布,再次,以數(shù)字電視產(chǎn)業(yè)為例,詳細(xì)討論了生態(tài)位策略在數(shù)字電視產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中的應(yīng)用。 本研究的主要?jiǎng)?chuàng)新點(diǎn)在于: (1)研究視角創(chuàng)新:將生態(tài)位理論運(yùn)用于新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的研究中,從生態(tài)位的角度觀察新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的變化過程,對應(yīng)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的空間性、形態(tài)性、動(dòng)態(tài)性三個(gè)層面,分別從生態(tài)位的測量、生態(tài)位的演化、生態(tài)位的空間結(jié)構(gòu)、生態(tài)位的優(yōu)化策略等方面立體剖析了空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的變化過程,豐富了生態(tài)學(xué)方法在經(jīng)濟(jì)研究中的應(yīng)用。 (2)研究內(nèi)容創(chuàng)新:系統(tǒng)地提出了空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新理論,分別運(yùn)用生態(tài)位空間測度、演化博弈論、空間計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等方法從空間性、形態(tài)性、動(dòng)態(tài)性三個(gè)層面探析新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的內(nèi)容,豐富了產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新的研究,尤其是在空間形態(tài)層面上創(chuàng)新研究的理論。分項(xiàng)來說,①對空間性的研究。從生態(tài)位的角度測算了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)分布對創(chuàng)新資源占用的情況,發(fā)現(xiàn)呈現(xiàn)“船錨”型的空間分布特征,并創(chuàng)新性地提出競爭的結(jié)果不僅取決于對要素資源的占用情況,也取決于競爭主體間的生態(tài)位寬度大小和資源的差異化程度,這也為中西部落后地區(qū)創(chuàng)新資源的應(yīng)用提供了新的解決思路。②對形態(tài)性的研究。通過引入Lotka-Volterra生物學(xué)模型分析新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位演化路徑,發(fā)現(xiàn)生態(tài)位的重疊情況決定了新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的演化形態(tài),并借鑒演化博弈論的分析方法,通過構(gòu)造復(fù)制者動(dòng)態(tài)方程,得出新興產(chǎn)業(yè)采取生態(tài)位擴(kuò)張或維持的演化穩(wěn)定策略,找到影響演化形態(tài)的因素有政府補(bǔ)貼力度、市場預(yù)期收益率、生態(tài)位態(tài)勢值、創(chuàng)新成本等因素,同時(shí)結(jié)合光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的實(shí)際案例背景,根據(jù)演化博弈的分析情況,得出相應(yīng)的解決方案。③對動(dòng)態(tài)性的研究。采用空間計(jì)量方法研究新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的動(dòng)態(tài)性,發(fā)現(xiàn)空間鎖定效應(yīng)非常明顯,影響空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)性的主要因素有出口交貨值、研發(fā)經(jīng)費(fèi)支出、技術(shù)改造經(jīng)費(fèi);對空間收斂性的計(jì)算也發(fā)現(xiàn)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)不存在收斂和β絕對收斂,但存在β條件收斂,說明創(chuàng)新的空間差異化正逐步加大,但在一定條件因素下可以實(shí)現(xiàn)有條件的收斂,這些收斂條件是重視對RD人員、RD經(jīng)費(fèi)、技術(shù)消化吸收等因素的重視,并通過對長三角地區(qū)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)的實(shí)證研究,了解影響長三角地區(qū)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的主要因素,以及提出實(shí)施新興產(chǎn)業(yè)空間形態(tài)創(chuàng)新的生態(tài)位優(yōu)化策略。
[Abstract]:The construction of new industries has far-reaching significance for the improvement of our country's independent innovation ability and international competitiveness and the promotion of the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure. However, in the development and construction of the emerging industries, the problems of the industrial space isomorphism and the vicious competition are becoming increasingly severe, which have become the bottleneck of the development of the new industries. The development of Xing industry is also experiencing a variety of morphological changes like organisms, and the relationship between the development of the emerging industries and the environment is also a kind of interdependent and restrictive ecological relationship. The niche theory is the classic theory of the change of species form, and the analysis of the change of the species in the environment from a multidimensional space. Based on the view and perspective of niche, this paper compares the emerging industries into ecological elements, and the development of emerging industries is compared to the niche, and puts forward the new industry space form innovation theory, from the perspective of niche to the emerging industries. Research on the spatial form of the distribution of innovative resources.
On the basis of the existing theory, this paper, starting from the perspective of niche, takes the spatial form innovation of the emerging industries as the research object, the ecological niche measure along the space form - the evolution mechanism of spatial form innovation - the measurement research of space form innovation - the logical thinking of the niche optimization strategy of space form innovation. The paper discusses the evolution mechanism and influencing factors of the new industries' spatial form innovation, and analyzes the internal mechanism between the various factors. This paper mainly studies the following aspects: (1) what are the connotation and elements of the spatial form innovation of the emerging industries? (2) how is the evolution mechanism of the spatial form innovation of the emerging industries? (3) What are the spatial structure levels of the new industries' spatial pattern innovation? What are the influencing factors and the existence of convergence? (4) how to improve the innovative ability of the spatial form of the emerging industries?
In view of the above problems, this paper has carried out a detailed research process.
First, it puts forward the concept connotation of new industry spatial form innovation and constructs the theoretical framework system.
The innovation of the spatial form of the emerging industries refers to the morphological changes in the space of the technological innovation of the emerging industries, including the spatial distribution, the evolution form and the agglomeration form. It has three main features, namely, spatial, morphological and dynamic. The whole text will build a theoretical framework around these three characteristics: The three chapter studies the spatial nature from the angle of niche measurement, the fourth chapter analyzes the morphology from the angle of niche evolution, the fifth chapter uses spatial measurement modeling to analyze the dynamics, the sixth chapter is the empirical study of the fifth chapter, and the seventh chapter summarizes the three characteristics and puts forward the optimization strategy.
Two, calculate the niche breadth, overlapping degree and trend of new industrial spatial form innovation.
The niche breadth is used to measure the niche breadth of the spatial pattern innovation of the emerging industries. According to the results of the cluster, the spatial distribution of the emerging industries is divided into five types, namely, the key species, the node type, the intermediate niche, the small niche and the small micro ecological element, and the results are reflected in the map. It is found that the distribution of new industry innovation resources presents the spatial distribution of "ship anchor". Then, the overlap of the new industry innovation resources in the spatial distribution is calculated by using the niche overlap formula, and the measure index of the niche "situation" of the emerging industries is constructed. In this, "state" reflects the cumulative past state. It reflects the future growth capacity and uses the measure principle of niche situation to calculate the "situation" value of the new industries' spatial pattern innovation. The calculation results show that, from the "state" situation, the state values of the provinces with wider ecological niche are still higher. From the "potential" value, the growth of the central provinces is more than that of the eastern coastal provinces. The higher the share, this also shows that the innovation resources are gradually shifting to the central provinces.
Three, analyze the niche evolution path of new industry spatial form innovation and construct the evolutionary game model of new industry spatial form innovation.
By introducing the Lotka-Volterra model, this paper analyzes the possible situations of the niche evolution of the emerging industries, and constructs the dynamic equation of the replicator, and obtains the conditions for the A and B to adopt the niche expansion or the maintenance of the original niche strategy, and introduces the situation parameters to analyze the evolutionary game process. Then, the simulation is carried out by the Matlab example, and the near term is combined. Photovoltaic industry in Europe and the United States encountered "double reverse" survey, based on the analysis of evolutionary game, put forward corresponding solutions.
Four, establish a spatial econometric model to explore the main factors affecting spatial form innovation.
Arcgis geographic software is used to draw a four sub map to describe the niche spatial structure of emerging industries. Through the global spatial autocorrelation calculation, it is found that the global spatial dependence is gradually enhanced and the relations between the provinces are also encrypt. Using the Moran scatter plot, the results show that the region has been new in the past 10 years. The innovation level of Xing industry shows a strong trend of agglomeration, and the degree of agglomeration has shown steady growth, and the spatial difference between regions continues to widen. The result of space-time transition measure shows that most of the provinces keep the stability and sustainability in the space, and the innovation is concentrated in a few provinces, forming the Yangtze River Delta. The spatial distribution of emerging industries is calculated by using the space Gini coefficient. The results show that the highest and lowest level of space agglomeration is obvious. The degree of spatial influence is analyzed by the panel model. The results show that the R & D funds and R & D institutions in the RD effect are both on the space basis. The spatial correlation and the influence factors of the spatial pattern innovation of the emerging industries are analyzed by the spatial econometric model. The results show that the spatial error model and the spatial lag model are better than the general panel model after considering the spatial effect, and the export delivery value, the R & D personnel and the new production are made. The calculation results of the spatial convergence show that the differences between different regions in our country are gradually expanding, and a relatively fixed spatial distribution pattern has been gradually presented, and it has a strong locking effect.
Five, measure the evolution factors of the spatial form innovation in the Yangtze River Delta region.
Through the descriptive statistical analysis of the related innovation output data of Shanghai, Zhejiang province and Jiangsu Province, it is found that the emerging industries in the Yangtze River Delta region present the Z shaped distribution pattern at the core of Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou and Suzhou, mainly in the southeast and south of Jiangsu Province, and the electronic information industry is the high technology industry in the Yangtze River Delta region. Secondly, through cointegration test, it is found that there are cointegration relations between the 4 main variables that describe the new industry space form innovation, and then judge the causal relationship between the variables by Grainger causality test method. On this basis, the VAR model is established, and the impulse response function is used to analyze the impact of the endogenous variable on the residual impact, and the use of the impulsive response function is used. The variance decomposition method decomposes the variance contribution of each structural impact on each endogenous variable in each period. Then, through the study of the spatial econometric model, it is found that the main factors affecting the spatial pattern innovation of the new industries in the Yangtze River Delta are foreign investment, the total import and export. The calculation also found that the spatial connections between the 25 cities in the Yangtze River Delta are gradually strengthening, and the spatial dependence is becoming more and more significant.
Six, put forward the niche optimization strategy for the innovation of new industrial spatial form.
This paper introduces the strategy of niche separation, the expansion strategy, the K-R strategy, the connotations and characteristics of the alliance strategy, and uses the industrial spatial concentration index to calculate the spatial distribution of the emerging industries. Again, taking the digital TV industry as an example, the application of niche strategy in the digital TV industry development is discussed in detail.
The main innovation of this study is:
(1) research perspective Innovation: applying niche theory to the research of emerging industries, observing the change process of spatial form innovation of emerging industries from the angle of niche, corresponding to the spatial, morphological and dynamic three levels of spatial form innovation, from the measurement of niche, the evolution of niche, the spatial structure of niche, and the niche of ecological niche. The optimization strategy and other aspects have analyzed the evolution process of spatial form innovation and enriched the application of ecological methods in economic research.
(2) the research content innovation: the spatial form innovation theory is put forward systematically, and the methods of spatial, morphological and dynamic analysis are applied to explore the content of the new industry space form innovation from the three aspects of spatial, morphological and dynamic, which have enriched the research of industrial innovation, especially in the spatial form level. From the point of view of niche, this paper calculates the situation of the spatial distribution of the emerging industries, finds out the spatial distribution characteristics of the "ship anchor" type, and innovatively proposes that the result of the competition is determined not only by the occupation of the element resources, but also on the occupancy of the element resources. The niche breadth and diversity of resources among the competitors, which also provides a new solution for the application of innovative resources in the backward regions of the central and western regions. Secondly, the study of morphological characteristics. Through the introduction of the Lotka-Volterra biological model to analyze the niche evolution path of the spatial pattern innovation of the emerging industries and discover the overlap of the niche. The situation determines the evolution form of the emerging industry, and draws on the analysis method of evolutionary game theory. By constructing the dynamic equation of the replicator, we can get the evolutionary stability strategy of the emerging industries to expand or maintain the niche, and find the factors affecting the evolution form, such as the government subsidy, the market expected return rate, the niche situation value, the innovation cost and so on. At the same time, according to the actual case background of the development of the photovoltaic industry, according to the analysis of the evolutionary game, the corresponding solutions are obtained. Thirdly, the dynamic research is studied. The spatial measurement method is used to study the dynamic characteristics of the spatial pattern innovation of the emerging industries. It is found that the spatial locking effect is not often obvious, and the dynamic characteristics of the space form innovation are mainly affected. The factors include export delivery value, R & D expenditure and technical transformation funds. The calculation of space convergence also shows that there is no convergence and absolute convergence in emerging industries, but there is a beta condition convergence, which indicates that the spatial differentiation of innovation is gradually increasing, but the conditional convergence can be achieved under certain conditions. These convergent conditions are heavy. In view of the importance of the factors such as RD personnel, RD funds, technology digestion and absorption, and through the empirical study of the emerging industries in the Yangtze River Delta region, the main factors affecting the innovation of the spatial form of the emerging industries in the Yangtze River Delta region, as well as the optimal strategy for the implementation of the new industry space form innovation are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F124.3

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