本文選題：二元經(jīng)濟(jì) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長�。� 參考：《安徽大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了巨大成就,然而在經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的過程中也日益涌現(xiàn)出一些矛盾和問題,主要是城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展極不協(xié)調(diào),城鄉(xiāng)差距在不斷拉大,城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)特征日益顯著。這些問題嚴(yán)重阻礙了國家可持續(xù)發(fā)展和城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的進(jìn)程。雖然改革開放以來,農(nóng)村改革取得了驕人的成績,使城鄉(xiāng)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)生了深刻變化,但是城鄉(xiāng)二元體制并沒有發(fā)生根本改變。因而,改善城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)狀況將是我國今后長時(shí)間的發(fā)展重點(diǎn)。 作為經(jīng)濟(jì)相對欠發(fā)達(dá)省份的安徽省,在工業(yè)化發(fā)展的過程中也出現(xiàn)了農(nóng)業(yè)與非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)的不均衡發(fā)展、城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平有較大差距的二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)問題,這種差距不僅體現(xiàn)在人均收入上,還體現(xiàn)在就業(yè)、消費(fèi)、教育等方面,并日益阻礙著社會經(jīng)濟(jì)全面協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。在改革開放初期,我省經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的“二元性”有過段時(shí)間的減弱。但隨后實(shí)行工作重心調(diào)整,大力發(fā)展工業(yè)化,農(nóng)村和農(nóng)業(yè)為工業(yè)化做出了巨大的犧牲,農(nóng)村資金不斷流入城市為工業(yè)化發(fā)展提供資金支持,這些又導(dǎo)致二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的強(qiáng)化。從三十多年的總體趨勢以及與其他省份相比來看,我省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)仍比較明顯。因此,盡快走出二元結(jié)構(gòu),實(shí)現(xiàn)城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展是我省當(dāng)前急需解決的重大問題。 本文的主要寫作目的就在于對安徽省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行多維測度,再運(yùn)用計(jì)量模型研究其對安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,并據(jù)此提出建議性的解決對策。而二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系一直是眾多學(xué)者研究的熱點(diǎn)話題。本文首先在國內(nèi)外研究文獻(xiàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,對經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論進(jìn)行了定性分析,結(jié)果表明二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間有著緊密的聯(lián)系,兩者之間存在長期互動的關(guān)系,二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)換會促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的不斷增長,而不同階段的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也會帶來相應(yīng)的結(jié)構(gòu)變動。 本文在第二章中,根據(jù)安徽省統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒,收集和整理了1980-2012年的安徽省GDP總值、農(nóng)業(yè)部門和非農(nóng)業(yè)部門的生產(chǎn)總值和從業(yè)人數(shù)、城鎮(zhèn)居民可支配收入、農(nóng)村居民人均純收入、城鎮(zhèn)化率等方面的數(shù)據(jù),構(gòu)建了包含二元對比系數(shù)、二元結(jié)構(gòu)系數(shù)、城鄉(xiāng)收入比、城鎮(zhèn)化率等指標(biāo)在內(nèi)的比較完善的統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo)評價(jià)體系,對安徽省自1980到2012年間二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變予以測定,并對不同歷史時(shí)期的階段特征進(jìn)行分析。通過對安徽省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的測度分析可知,改革開放30多年來,安徽省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)演變經(jīng)歷了一個由緩解—加強(qiáng)—緩解的過程,得出當(dāng)前我省經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)城鄉(xiāng)二元性仍比較顯著、城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換進(jìn)程滯后于一般規(guī)律等基本判斷。并最終從發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略、戶籍等城鄉(xiāng)分割的經(jīng)濟(jì)體制、城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展滯后等角度分析安徽省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)形成的條件。 本文在第三章中主要通過建立模型對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是否會強(qiáng)化城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)和城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)換能否促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的問題進(jìn)行細(xì)致分析,運(yùn)用平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)對模型進(jìn)行相應(yīng)的檢驗(yàn),得出經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)存在長期的動態(tài)均衡關(guān)系,城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間具有共同的變動趨勢,但是短期內(nèi)解釋變量對被解釋變量的影響沒有長期那樣顯著�；趯�(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上,從安徽改革開放以來農(nóng)村剩余勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移的情況分析城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)換對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,并最終得出當(dāng)前農(nóng)村剩余勞動力轉(zhuǎn)換的步伐還比較緩慢；要緩解這一現(xiàn)狀,一方面要依靠市場的力量,另一方面應(yīng)該充分發(fā)揮政府的推動作用。 文章最后在上述分析的基礎(chǔ)上,從經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革、農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村自身發(fā)展以及城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)等方面提出了加快農(nóng)村剩余勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移步伐、促進(jìn)我省城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換的對策和建議,努力實(shí)現(xiàn)安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)快速全面發(fā)展,完成城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的奮斗目標(biāo)。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China has made great achievements in economic development. However, in the process of rapid economic development, some contradictions and problems are emerging, mainly the disharmony between urban and rural development, the widening gap between urban and rural areas, and the increasing characteristics of the two yuan structure in urban and rural areas. These problems have seriously hindered the sustainable development of the country and the coordination of urban and rural areas. Since the reform and opening up, although the reform and opening up, the rural reform has made remarkable achievements, the urban and rural social and economic structure has undergone profound changes, but the urban and rural two yuan system has not changed radically. Therefore, the improvement of the urban and rural two yuan structure will be the focus of our country's development for a long time.
As the relatively less developed province of Anhui, the unbalanced development of agriculture and non-agricultural industries has emerged in the process of industrialization, and the economic development level of urban and rural areas has a large gap of two yuan economic structure. This gap is not only reflected in the per capita income, but also in employment, consumption, education and other aspects, and is increasingly hindering. In the early period of the reform and opening up, the "two yuan" of the economic structure of our province has been weakened for a period of time. But then the center of gravity has been adjusted to make great efforts to develop industrialization, and the rural and agriculture have made great sacrifices for industrialization, and the rural capital inflows into the city to provide financial support for the development of industrialization. It leads to the strengthening of the economic structure of two yuan. From the overall trend of more than thirty years and compared with other provinces, the economy of two yuan in urban and rural areas in our province is still relatively obvious. Therefore, it is a major problem that our province needs to solve at present to get out of the two yuan structure as soon as possible to achieve coordinated development of urban and rural areas.
The main purpose of this paper is to measure the two yuan economic structure of urban and rural areas in Anhui Province, and then use the measurement model to study its impact on the economic growth of Anhui Province, and to put forward some suggestions to solve the problem. The relationship between the economic structure of the two yuan and the economic growth is a hot topic for many scholars. On the basis of the research literature at home and abroad, the qualitative analysis of the theory of economic structure and economic growth is carried out. The results show that there is a close relationship between the evolution of the two yuan economic structure and the economic growth. There is a long-term interaction relationship between the two. The transformation of the two yuan economic structure will promote the continuous growth of the economy, and the different stages of the economic structure change. Economic growth will also bring corresponding structural changes.
In the second chapter, in the second chapter, according to the statistical yearbook of Anhui Province, the total value of Anhui Province in Anhui Province, the gross income of the agricultural sector and non agricultural sector, the disposable income of urban residents, the per capita net income of the rural residents, the urbanization rate, and so on, are collected and arranged for 1980-2012 years, and the two yuan comparison coefficient and the two yuan structure system are constructed. A relatively perfect statistical index evaluation system, such as urban and rural income ratio, urbanization rate and so on, is used to measure the evolution of two yuan economic structure from 1980 to 2012 in Anhui Province, and analyze the characteristics of different historical periods. Through the measurement and analysis of the economic structure of two yuan in urban and rural areas in Anhui Province, the reform and opening up for more than 30 years The development of urban and rural two yuan economic structure in Anhui province has experienced a process of alleviating, strengthening and alleviating. It is concluded that the urban and rural two yuan in the economic structure of our province is still relatively significant, and the transformation process of urban and rural two yuan economic structure is lagging behind the general rule. This paper analyzes the conditions for the formation of the two dimensional economic structure of Anhui's urban and rural areas from the perspective of lagging development.
In the third chapter, the third chapter makes a detailed analysis of whether economic growth will strengthen the two yuan economic structure of urban and rural areas and whether the conversion of urban and rural two yuan structure can promote economic growth, and uses stability test, cointegration test and Grainger causality test to test the model, and obtains economic growth and urban and rural areas. The two yuan structure has a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship, the urban and rural two yuan economic structure and economic development have a common trend of change, but the effect of the short-term explanatory variables on the explanatory variables is not so significant for a long time. Based on the empirical analysis, the analysis of the situation of the transfer of rural surplus labor force since the reform and release of Anhui The transformation of urban and rural two yuan economic structure affects the economic growth, and finally draws the slow pace of the transformation of the current rural surplus labor force. To alleviate this situation, on the one hand, we should rely on the strength of the market, on the other hand, the government should give full play to the role of the government.
On the basis of the above analysis, the article puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on speeding up the transfer of rural surplus labor force and promoting the transformation of the two yuan economic structure in rural and urban areas in the aspects of economic system reform, the development of agricultural and rural areas and the construction of urbanization, so as to realize the rapid and comprehensive development of the economy of Anhui province and complete the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. The aim of the struggle.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 胡兵,賴景生,胡寶娣;二元結(jié)構(gòu)、勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長[J];財(cái)經(jīng)問題研究;2005年07期

2 李靜霞;中國二元經(jīng)濟(jì)演化進(jìn)程分析[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2001年08期

3 紀(jì)玉山;吳勇民;;我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系之協(xié)整模型的建立與實(shí)現(xiàn)[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2006年06期

4 郎旭暉;孫養(yǎng)學(xué);;陜西省1978—2007年二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變及破解對策[J];廣東農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué);2010年02期

5 劉偉,李紹榮;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2002年05期

6 郭克莎;我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動趨勢及政策研究[J];管理世界;1999年05期

7 范劍勇,朱國林;中國地區(qū)差距演變及其結(jié)構(gòu)分解[J];管理世界;2002年07期

8 楊瑞霞;阿如娜;;內(nèi)蒙古二元經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展分析[J];北方經(jīng)濟(jì);2007年07期

9 唐鴻鈴;;重慶庫區(qū)農(nóng)村勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移基本特征分析[J];重慶工商大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(西部論壇);2007年03期

10 未良莉,黃萍;安徽省城市化狀況的實(shí)證分析[J];華東經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2004年03期

，

本文編號：2114478