本文選題：產(chǎn)品復雜度指數(shù) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級�。� 參考：《經(jīng)濟管理》2017年05期

【摘要】：在中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展面臨著"三期疊加"的挑戰(zhàn),發(fā)展進入新常態(tài)的背景下,如何實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級來刺激經(jīng)濟進一步發(fā)展成為學者們熱烈討論的話題。特別是在中國成為"制造大國"的今天,如何消化過剩產(chǎn)能,實現(xiàn)"供給側(cè)改革"也引起了格外的關(guān)注。本文從產(chǎn)品空間理論的研究視角出發(fā),以全球產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)庫中的1962—2013年期間的數(shù)據(jù)為依據(jù),實證對比分析了產(chǎn)品復雜性水平對中國和日本產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的作用機制。研究結(jié)果表明:(1)中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)中的優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量增長十分迅速,但是,在產(chǎn)品空間連接緊密的核心區(qū)域的優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量有限,產(chǎn)品復雜性指數(shù)(PCI)與日本相差較遠,產(chǎn)業(yè)的競爭力有限;(2)中國全產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復雜度一定程度上抑制了產(chǎn)業(yè)的升級發(fā)展,同時也抑制了相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)品失勢和市場退出,而日本全產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復雜度則推動了日本產(chǎn)業(yè)進一步升級發(fā)展,并且有利于相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)品失勢與市場退出;(3)在中國制造業(yè)的升級發(fā)展過程中,既存在著產(chǎn)品復雜度水平低,與日本差距較大帶來的挑戰(zhàn),同時,本文又看到,制造業(yè)的產(chǎn)品復雜度對制造業(yè)升級發(fā)展影響相比于全產(chǎn)業(yè)抑制作用的弱化,以及對制造業(yè)相關(guān)產(chǎn)品失勢與市場退出的推動作用帶來的發(fā)展機遇。
[Abstract]:Under the background that China's economic development is facing the challenge of "three phases superposition", how to realize the upgrading of industrial structure to stimulate the further development of economy has become a hot topic for scholars to discuss. Especially when China becomes a "manufacturing country", how to digest excess capacity and realize "supply-side reform" has also attracted special attention. From the perspective of product space theory, based on the data from 1962-2013 in the global product trade database, this paper empirically analyzes the mechanism of product complexity level on the upgrading of industrial structure in China and Japan. The results show that: (1) the number of superior industries in China's industrial structure is growing rapidly, but the number of dominant industries in the core regions with close product space is limited, and the product complexity index (PCI) is far from that of Japan. (2) the product complexity of the whole industry in China to some extent inhibits the upgrading and development of the industry, and at the same time inhibits the loss of the products of the related industries and the withdrawal of the market. The product complexity of the whole industry in Japan promotes the further upgrading and development of Japanese industry, and is conducive to the decline of related industries and the withdrawal of the market. (3) in the process of upgrading and developing Chinese manufacturing industry, there is a low level of product complexity. At the same time, this paper also finds that the impact of manufacturing complexity on the upgrading of manufacturing industry is weaker than that of the whole industry. And the development opportunities brought by the loss of manufacturing related products and the promotion of market withdrawal.
【作者單位】： 西安交通大學管理學院;武漢大學企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略管理研究所;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金項目“優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)業(yè)組合、競爭力空間與結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型研究”(71372124),國家自然科學基金項目“中國新創(chuàng)企業(yè)的成長戰(zhàn)略研究——基于網(wǎng)絡(luò)進化與制度創(chuàng)新相結(jié)合視角”(71428005) 國家社會科學基金重大項目“全球生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)、知識權(quán)保護與中國外貿(mào)競爭力提升研究”(15ZDB155)
【分類號】：F121.3;F131.3

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