本文選題：人口老齡化 + 消費結(jié)構(gòu)��； 參考：《東北師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：人口老齡化是老年人口在總?cè)丝谥斜戎靥岣叩倪^程，是指人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)的變化，它反映一個地區(qū)（或國家）老年人口增長的趨勢和過程。根據(jù)國際社會通例，60歲及以上人口占總?cè)丝?0%以上，或65歲及以上人口占總?cè)丝?%以上的國家被稱為老年型國家。目前，世界上很多發(fā)達國家和發(fā)展中國家都面臨著不同程度的人口老齡化問題，由于低生育率水平以及死亡率的下降和平均預(yù)期壽命的延長，人口老齡化的進程不斷加快。人口老齡化問題正成為影響一個國家或地區(qū)社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要因素。 2003年，吉林省進入老齡化社會。吉林省人口老齡化的特點體現(xiàn)在未富先老，增長速度快等。老年人群的消費總量和消費結(jié)構(gòu)與中青年、嬰幼年的人群都有巨大的差異，因此吉林省人口老齡化水平的加深勢必將影響到吉林省居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)變。 本文從中外學(xué)者對人口老齡化與消費之間關(guān)系的研究文獻梳理入手，分析了吉林省人口老齡化及其消費結(jié)構(gòu)的概況和特點，在總結(jié)吉林省人口老齡化具有老齡化速度快，全國相對較低，未富先老、未備先老等特點的基礎(chǔ)上，深入研究了消費結(jié)構(gòu)的特點和變化，并在理論上探討了吉林省人口老齡化對消費結(jié)構(gòu)的影響路徑。在實證分析部分，將2004-2011年吉林省人口老齡化和消費結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進行灰色關(guān)聯(lián)計量分析，還對樣本數(shù)據(jù)進行統(tǒng)計描述，解釋實證檢驗結(jié)果，并通過模型統(tǒng)計檢驗結(jié)果分析得出了人口老齡化與醫(yī)療保健、交通通信、衣著和食品等消費方面的關(guān)聯(lián)度非常高的結(jié)論，繼而針對吉林省人口老齡化的具體情況，提出企業(yè)應(yīng)對人口老齡化的對策建議：調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，，適應(yīng)消費結(jié)構(gòu)的變化；優(yōu)化營銷策略和方法，服務(wù)老年人消費等，為合理引導(dǎo)老年人口理性消費以及優(yōu)化老年人口消費結(jié)構(gòu)提供了切實可行的依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:The aging of the population is the process of increasing the proportion of the aged population in the total population, and the change of the age structure of the population, which reflects the trend and process of the growth of the elderly population in a region (or a country). According to the general rules of the international community, people aged 60 and above account for more than 10% of the total population, or countries with a population of 65 years and over account for more than 7% of the total population. At present, many developed and developing countries in the world are faced with the problem of population aging to varying degrees. Due to the low fertility level, the decline of mortality rate and the prolongation of average life expectancy, the process of population aging is speeding up. The problem of population aging is becoming an important factor affecting the social and economic development of a country or region. In 2003, Jilin Province entered an aging society. Jilin Province population aging characteristics reflected in the rich before the old, rapid growth rate and so on. The total consumption and consumption structure of the aged people are different from those of the middle and young people and the infant and young people. Therefore, the deepening of the aging level of the population in Jilin Province will inevitably affect the transformation of the consumption structure of the residents in Jilin Province. This paper begins with the research literature of Chinese and foreign scholars on the relationship between population aging and consumption, analyzes the general situation and characteristics of population aging and its consumption structure in Jilin Province, and concludes that the aging of population in Jilin Province has a rapid aging speed. On the basis of the characteristics of relatively low, rich, old and unprepared, this paper deeply studies the characteristics and changes of consumption structure, and theoretically discusses the influence of aging population on consumption structure in Jilin Province. In the part of empirical analysis, the relevant data of population aging and consumption structure of Jilin Province from 2004 to 2011 are analyzed by grey correlation econometric analysis, and the sample data are also statistically described to explain the results of empirical test. And through the analysis of model statistical test results, we draw the conclusion that the aging population has a very high correlation with the consumption of health care, transportation, communications, clothing and food, etc., and then in view of the specific situation of population aging in Jilin Province, The countermeasures and suggestions for enterprises to cope with the aging population are put forward, such as adjusting the industrial structure, adapting to the changes of consumption structure, optimizing marketing strategies and methods, serving the consumption of the elderly, etc. It provides a practical basis for rational consumption of the elderly population and optimization of the consumption structure of the elderly population.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F126.1;C924.2

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