本文選題：金融危機(jī) + 阿根廷　； 參考：《廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：2007年爆發(fā)的國(guó)際金融危機(jī)，使得阿根廷國(guó)內(nèi)的投資與進(jìn)出口規(guī)�？s減，為了刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，阿根廷政府以高通脹率作為代價(jià)，通過(guò)寬松的貨幣政策繼續(xù)刺激消費(fèi)增長(zhǎng)，行政干預(yù)力度和范圍也隨之增加。因此消費(fèi)率呈現(xiàn)“難以回落，危機(jī)略增”和凈出口率“逐漸回落，，危機(jī)反增”的特點(diǎn)。投資率則呈現(xiàn)周期性的“穩(wěn)步提升并逐漸回調(diào)”，一直不能突破有效投資的桎梏。因?yàn)榘⒏⒌男枨蠼Y(jié)構(gòu)不同于一般的發(fā)展中國(guó)家，研究危機(jī)之后該國(guó)需求結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)，可以為轉(zhuǎn)型中的中國(guó)提供有益的借鑒。 研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，阿根廷最終消費(fèi)的增加更多的是價(jià)格上升帶來(lái)的變化，而并非良性的生產(chǎn)機(jī)制帶來(lái)實(shí)際產(chǎn)出數(shù)量的消耗。為滿足選民的短期消費(fèi)需求，政府背負(fù)龐大的結(jié)構(gòu)性債務(wù)，嚴(yán)重阻礙長(zhǎng)期有效投資。匯率貶值使得產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)所需物資進(jìn)口困難，反過(guò)來(lái)制約出口，尤其是制成品出口，要償還以外幣結(jié)算的債務(wù)變得更加困難。新結(jié)構(gòu)主義所倡導(dǎo)的發(fā)展中國(guó)家發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略，因?yàn)楹雎酝ㄘ浥蛎浀目赡埽圆⒉贿m用于阿根廷經(jīng)濟(jì)。所認(rèn)可的擴(kuò)張性政策不僅沒(méi)有促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)，甚至令產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)出現(xiàn)倒退的苗頭。
[Abstract]:The international financial crisis that broke out in 2007 reduced the scale of domestic investment, imports and exports in Argentina. In order to stimulate economic growth, the Argentine government, at the expense of high inflation, continued to stimulate consumption growth through loose monetary policies. The intensity and scope of administrative intervention also increased. Therefore, the consumption rate is "difficult to fall back, the crisis slightly increased" and the net export rate "gradually fall back, the crisis against the increase" characteristics. On the other hand, the investment rate presents a periodic "steady rise and gradual pullback", and can not break through the shackles of effective investment. Since Argentina's demand structure is different from that of developing countries in general, studying the evolution of its demand structure after the crisis can provide a useful reference for China in transition. The increase in final consumption in Argentina is more the result of price increases than the consumption of real output from benign production mechanisms, the study found. To meet voters' short-term consumer needs, the government is saddled with huge structural debt, a serious impediment to long-term effective investment. Exchange rate depreciation makes it harder to import goods needed to upgrade the industry, which in turn constrains exports, especially manufactured exports, and makes it more difficult to repay debts settled in foreign currencies. The development strategy of developing countries advocated by neo-structuralism does not apply to the Argentine economy because it ignores the possibility of inflation. The accepted expansionary policy has not only failed to promote industrial upgrading, but has even led to retrogression.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F831.59;F178.3

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