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錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異及優(yōu)化對策研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-18 02:49

  本文選題:錢塘江流域 + 經(jīng)濟空間分異��; 參考:《浙江農(nóng)林大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:流域經(jīng)濟空間分異現(xiàn)象普遍存在,其表現(xiàn)形式是流域經(jīng)濟空間結(jié)構(gòu),其運行遵循社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展規(guī)律。研究錢塘江流域的經(jīng)濟空間分異,可以為錢塘江流域的經(jīng)濟空間開發(fā)和優(yōu)化提供決策指導(dǎo),為確立錢塘江流域空間開發(fā)的重點和時序提供依據(jù)。 本研究以縣域作為研究尺度,選取2002-2012年錢塘江流域各縣市統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),以人均GDP作為研究指標(biāo),定義2002年、2007年和2012年為觀察年份,采用空間分異測度函數(shù)測度錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異程度、采用局域Moran指數(shù)測度錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟增長的局域空間自相關(guān)性,,采用Z統(tǒng)計值判斷相關(guān)程度,將流域36個縣市劃分為九類經(jīng)濟增長空間關(guān)聯(lián)型式。在此基礎(chǔ)上分析錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異格局,判斷識別流域增長極、核心—邊緣結(jié)構(gòu)、點軸結(jié)構(gòu)、多核心—邊緣結(jié)構(gòu),分析2002-2012年間錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異過程。 錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異在2002-2012年間呈高位的不平衡狀態(tài)。十年間,經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展,增長結(jié)構(gòu)相對穩(wěn)定,以下游入�?诩梆鼐€為龍頭,帶動全流域經(jīng)濟指標(biāo)在全國各大流域中處于高位。錢塘江流域總體經(jīng)濟分異呈現(xiàn)下游經(jīng)濟增長快,中上游相對落后的局面,極化現(xiàn)象在這十年內(nèi)略有展現(xiàn),但兩極分化的局面并未形成,這得益于中上游經(jīng)濟增長相對較慢地區(qū)的持續(xù)努力,流域整體經(jīng)濟增長潛力較大。錢塘江流域在這十年中呈現(xiàn)相似關(guān)聯(lián)性縣市扎堆出現(xiàn)的局面,在地理上連續(xù)分布,絕大部分縣市的局域空間自相關(guān)性都表現(xiàn)為正相關(guān)。 自然要素、政策要素、社會經(jīng)濟要素均對錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異產(chǎn)生重要影響。錢塘江流域自身具有區(qū)位優(yōu)勢明顯、經(jīng)濟實力雄厚、產(chǎn)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)扎實、生態(tài)資源豐富等優(yōu)勢,同時具有產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不平衡、勞動力密集型企業(yè)居多、資源環(huán)境壓力較大、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不平衡等內(nèi)在劣勢。國際金融危機、區(qū)域間合作升級、國家海洋戰(zhàn)略等均會給錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展帶來機遇,而諸如國家經(jīng)濟體制不完善、區(qū)域競爭日趨激烈、國際經(jīng)濟形勢不確定等也會給錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長帶來威脅和挑戰(zhàn)。 錢塘江流域經(jīng)濟空間分異格局優(yōu)化的目標(biāo)是逐步縮小分異程度,實現(xiàn)有差別的平衡發(fā)展。優(yōu)化應(yīng)遵循人與環(huán)境和諧互利原則、經(jīng)濟一體化原則、經(jīng)濟空間格局優(yōu)化原則、經(jīng)濟集約開發(fā)原則,構(gòu)建“三核、兩軸、雙向輻射”的空間發(fā)展框架體系,優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟空間結(jié)構(gòu)等級體系,明確流域縣市經(jīng)濟職能結(jié)構(gòu),加強經(jīng)濟節(jié)點間的通達性,深化區(qū)域間社會經(jīng)濟合作,避免惡性競爭。
[Abstract]:The spatial differentiation of river basin economy is a common phenomenon, which is manifested in the spatial structure of basin economy, and its operation follows the law of social and economic development. The study of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River Basin can provide decision guidance for the development and optimization of economic space in Qiantang River Basin and provide the basis for establishing the emphasis and timing of spatial development of Qiantang River Basin. In this study, the county area is taken as the research scale, and the statistical data of counties and cities in Qiantang River basin from 2002 to 2012 are selected, and the per capita GDP is taken as the research index, and 2002, 2007 and 2012 are defined as the observed years. The spatial differentiation measure function is used to measure the degree of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River basin, the local Moran index is used to measure the local spatial autocorrelation of Qiantang river basin economic growth, and the Z statistical value is used to judge the correlation degree. The 36 counties and cities in the river basin are divided into nine types of spatial correlation patterns of economic growth. On this basis, the economic spatial differentiation pattern of Qiantang River basin is analyzed, and the process of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River basin from 2002 to 2012 is analyzed by identifying the growth poles, core-edge structure, point axis structure and multi-core-edge structure. The economic spatial differentiation of Qiantang River basin is in a high state of imbalance from 2002 to 2012. In the past ten years, the economy has developed rapidly and the structure of growth has been relatively stable. The economic indicators of the whole river basin are at a high level in all major watersheds in the whole country, with the following entering the sea mouth and along the Yongjiang River as the leading figures. The overall economic differentiation of the Qiantang River basin presents a situation of rapid economic growth in the lower reaches and relative backwardness in the upper and middle reaches. The phenomenon of polarization has shown slightly in the past ten years, but the situation of polarization has not been formed. This is due to the sustained efforts of relatively slow economic growth in the upper and middle reaches of the basin, and the overall economic growth potential of the basin is great. Qiantang River basin in the past decade presents a similar correlation of counties and cities in the appearance of the situation in the geographical distribution of continuous, most counties and cities of the local spatial autocorrelation all show positive correlation. Natural factors, policy factors and social and economic factors all have an important impact on the economic spatial differentiation of Qiantang River basin. Qiantang River basin has its own advantages, such as obvious geographical advantages, strong economic strength, solid industrial foundation, rich ecological resources, and so on. At the same time, the Qiantang River basin has such advantages as unbalanced industrial structure, most labor-intensive enterprises, and great pressure on resources and environment. Regional economic development imbalance and other inherent weaknesses. The international financial crisis, the escalation of interregional cooperation and the national marine strategy will bring opportunities to the economic development of the Qiantang River basin. For example, the national economic system is not perfect and the regional competition is becoming increasingly fierce. The uncertain international economic situation will also bring threats and challenges to the sustained economic growth of Qiantang River Basin. The objective of optimization of economic spatial differentiation pattern in Qiantang River Basin is to gradually reduce the degree of differentiation and realize balanced development. The optimization should follow the principle of harmony and mutual benefit between man and environment, the principle of economic integration, the principle of optimization of economic spatial pattern, the principle of economic intensive development, and the construction of a framework system of spatial development of "three cores, two axes and two directions radiation". We should optimize the hierarchy system of economic spatial structure, clarify the economic functional structure of counties and cities in the river basin, strengthen the accessibility among economic nodes, deepen regional social and economic cooperation, and avoid vicious competition.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江農(nóng)林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F127

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