本文選題：安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易 + 技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)�。� 參考：《安徽大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：在開放的經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中,決定一國(guó)技術(shù)進(jìn)步的力量不僅僅是本國(guó)對(duì)研究開發(fā)的投入所帶來(lái)的研發(fā)資本存量的累積,也來(lái)自于通過(guò)各種渠道溢出的國(guó)外研發(fā)投入所帶來(lái)的研發(fā)資本存量的累積。溢出的國(guó)外研發(fā)資本對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)水平和研究開發(fā)實(shí)力較弱的發(fā)展中國(guó)家顯得更為重要：首先,發(fā)展中國(guó)家的研究開發(fā)受到本國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的限制；其次,對(duì)外界已有知識(shí)和技術(shù)的重復(fù)研究與開發(fā)本身就是對(duì)資源的浪費(fèi)。 進(jìn)口貿(mào)易為國(guó)外對(duì)本國(guó)的技術(shù)溢出提供了一個(gè)渠道。通過(guò)引進(jìn)國(guó)外先進(jìn)的最終產(chǎn)品和高品質(zhì)的中間產(chǎn)品,可以直接或間接地提高一國(guó)的生產(chǎn)率水平。更重要的是,通過(guò)“干中學(xué)”效應(yīng)、演示和培訓(xùn)效應(yīng)等,一國(guó)可以了解與學(xué)習(xí)到進(jìn)口產(chǎn)品中所蘊(yùn)含的國(guó)外的先進(jìn)技術(shù),并經(jīng)過(guò)吸收、模仿與二次創(chuàng)新,實(shí)現(xiàn)本國(guó)的技術(shù)進(jìn)步和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。 理論界對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的研究自20世紀(jì)90年代后逐步深入,研究基本上都是從國(guó)家層面上展開的。本文則從省際的角度出發(fā),以安徽省為視角研究進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進(jìn)安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的問題。本文從理論結(jié)合實(shí)際的角度闡述了進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制及其影響因素,并對(duì)安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易與技術(shù)進(jìn)步的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了深入的分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文利用擴(kuò)展的CH模型,從不考慮人力資本因素和考慮到人力資本因素兩個(gè)方面對(duì)安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn),得到以下三方面結(jié)論：(1)安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)存在：在不考慮人力資本因素的情況下,經(jīng)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國(guó)外研發(fā)資本存量每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率將增加0.244個(gè)百分點(diǎn)；在將人力資本因素納入考察后,經(jīng)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國(guó)外研發(fā)資本存量每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率將增加0.026個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。(2)省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本對(duì)安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)具有正向促進(jìn)作用：在不考慮人力資本因素的情況下,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),全要素生產(chǎn)率增加0.064個(gè)百分點(diǎn)；而加入人力資本因素后,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),全要素生產(chǎn)率增加0.071個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。(3)安徽省人力資本不足限制了進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進(jìn)作用：在考慮到人力資本因素后,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量對(duì)安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進(jìn)作用有所增強(qiáng),而經(jīng)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國(guó)外研發(fā)資本存量對(duì)安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進(jìn)作用顯著減弱。基于前文分析的結(jié)果,本文提出了相關(guān)的對(duì)策建議：擴(kuò)大安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易規(guī)模,優(yōu)化進(jìn)口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)；提升省內(nèi)人力資本水平,從而加強(qiáng)對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易外溢技術(shù)的吸收能力；加大省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本投入,加快自主創(chuàng)新的步伐。最后對(duì)全文進(jìn)行了總結(jié),并提出了一些不足之處,針對(duì)這些不足之處提出了后續(xù)研究的方向,即研究展望：(1)可將安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)與周邊發(fā)達(dá)省份進(jìn)行對(duì)比,使我們更加清晰地認(rèn)識(shí)到安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的水平及與發(fā)達(dá)省份之間的差距；(2)實(shí)證考察安徽省某行業(yè)或產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),使我們了解到不同行業(yè)或產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的強(qiáng)弱情況；(3)綜合考察人力資本、進(jìn)口滲透率、貿(mào)易開放度等多變量對(duì)安徽省進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的影響,以獲得更加全面和客觀的結(jié)果。
[Abstract]:In an open economy system , the power to determine the technological progress of a country is not only the accumulation of R & D capital stock brought by domestic investment in research development , but also the accumulation of R & D capital stock brought by the overseas R & D investment overflowing through various channels . The foreign R & D capital overflowing is more important to the developing countries with weaker economic level and research and development power : firstly , the research and development of developing countries are limited by their level of economic development ;
Secondly , the repeated research and development of external knowledge and technology is the waste of resources .

Import trade provides a channel for foreign technology spillover abroad . By introducing foreign advanced final products and high - quality intermediate products , the productivity level of a country can be improved directly or indirectly . More importantly , through the " dry middle school " effect , demonstration and training effect , a country can understand and learn the advanced technology of foreign countries contained in the import product , and through absorption , imitation and secondary innovation , realize national technological progress and economic growth .

This paper studies the spillover effect of import trade in Anhui Province from the perspective of inter - provincial perspective , and analyzes the current situation of import trade in Anhui province .
After the human capital factor is included in the investigation , the foreign R & D capital stock overflowing through the import trading channel increases by one percentage point , and the whole factor production rate of Anhui province will be increased by 0.026 percentage points . ( 2 ) The capital inventory in the province increases by one percentage point per growth without considering the human capital factor , and the total factor productivity is increased by 0.064 percentage points ;
After the human capital factor is added , the capital stock in the province is increased by one percentage point , the total factor productivity is increased by 0.071 percentage points . ( 3 ) The shortage of human capital in Anhui province limits the promotion of the whole factor productivity of Anhui province .
To improve the level of human capital in the province , thus enhancing the absorptive capacity of the imported trade spillover technology ;
The paper summarizes the full text and puts forward some shortcomings , and puts forward some shortcomings , and puts forward some shortcomings , which is the research prospect : ( 1 ) The technology spillover effect of import trade in Anhui province is compared with the peripheral developed provinces , which makes us more clearly aware of the level of the spillover effect of import trade in Anhui province and the gap between developed provinces ;
( 2 ) To investigate the technical spillover effect of import trade in some industries or industries in Anhui province , and make us know the intensity and weakness of the spillover effects of import trade in different industries or industries ;
( 3 ) To comprehensively study the effects of many variables such as human capital , import permeability and trade openness on the spillover effects of import trade in Anhui Province , so as to obtain more comprehensive and objective results .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F752.61;F124.1

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