本文選題：綜合發(fā)展指標(biāo) + 索羅經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模型��； 參考：《華南理工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：2014年，不唯GDP論英雄由全國兩會提出并逐漸深入人心，科學(xué)考量地區(qū)綜合發(fā)展具有越來越重要的意義。本文基于經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境三個(gè)子系統(tǒng)構(gòu)建綜合發(fā)展指標(biāo)。該構(gòu)建方法可以推廣至全國及各省。本文以廣東省為例，構(gòu)建了廣東由經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境子系統(tǒng)構(gòu)成的綜合發(fā)展指標(biāo)。 本文分為以下幾個(gè)章節(jié)。 第一章為緒論，主要介紹國內(nèi)外在研究和評價(jià)地區(qū)發(fā)展較常用的指標(biāo)和方法，本文對這些指標(biāo)和方法進(jìn)行了評價(jià)，并創(chuàng)新地提出了本文的綜合發(fā)展的指標(biāo)構(gòu)建方法，并將在接下來的章節(jié)中以廣東省為例進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究，通過該指標(biāo)體系對廣東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境發(fā)展進(jìn)行了分系統(tǒng)和綜合的評估。 第二章為廣東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展評價(jià)。由于本文綜合發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)直接采用GDP的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化值進(jìn)行評價(jià)，所以這部分不需要進(jìn)行主成分分析。這部分本文采用較成熟和權(quán)威性較強(qiáng)的索羅經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模型，對廣東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析，通過測算索羅模型的回歸系數(shù)和各要素對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率，得出廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)增長主要靠投資拉動(dòng)，科技水平有所提高但對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)率較低、教育對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用舉足輕重等結(jié)論。 第三章為廣東省的社會和環(huán)境系統(tǒng)指標(biāo)的構(gòu)建。本文通過收集與社會和環(huán)境密切相關(guān)的數(shù)據(jù)，分別用主成分的分析方法，得出社會和環(huán)境系統(tǒng)指標(biāo)的構(gòu)建公式。并對經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行加權(quán)得出廣東省的綜合發(fā)展指標(biāo)構(gòu)建公式，并對公式構(gòu)建體現(xiàn)的原則和依據(jù)作了詳細(xì)的說明。 后面兩章主要研究的是綜合發(fā)展指標(biāo)的應(yīng)用。第四章，將該綜合發(fā)展評價(jià)公式，應(yīng)用于計(jì)算和評價(jià)廣東省歷年綜合發(fā)展情況。第五章，將該綜合發(fā)展評價(jià)公式，應(yīng)用于各市綜合發(fā)展評價(jià)。把各市近年來的原始數(shù)據(jù)作標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化處理后，代入綜合發(fā)展公式，進(jìn)行評價(jià)。與原來單純的靠GDP增長的排名的差距比較，，看出各類城市的不足和優(yōu)勢，提出差異化的策略。
[Abstract]:In 2014, the hero of GDP theory was put forward by the two national conferences and gradually accepted by the people, so it is more and more important to consider the comprehensive development of the region scientifically. Based on the three subsystems of economy, society and environment, this paper constructs the comprehensive development index. The method can be extended to the whole country and provinces. Taking Guangdong province as an example, this paper constructs a comprehensive development index of Guangdong province, which is composed of economic, social and environmental subsystems. This article is divided into the following chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the commonly used indexes and methods in the research and evaluation area, and this paper evaluates these indexes and methods, and puts forward the method of constructing the comprehensive development index. In the following chapter, we will take Guangdong Province as an example to carry on the empirical research, through this index system has carried on the sub-system and the synthesis appraisal to the Guangdong Province economy, the society, the environment development. The second chapter is the economic development evaluation of Guangdong Province. Since the standard value of GDP is directly used to evaluate the comprehensive development economic system, there is no need for principal component analysis in this part. This part of this article adopts the more mature and authoritative Soro economic growth model, carries on the empirical analysis to the economic growth of Guangdong Province, by calculating the regression coefficient of the Soro model and the contribution rate of each factor to the economic growth. It is concluded that Guangdong's economic growth mainly depends on investment, the level of science and technology is improved, but the contribution rate to economic growth is low, and education plays an important role in economic growth. The third chapter is the construction of social and environmental system indicators in Guangdong Province. By collecting the data which are closely related to society and environment and using the principal component analysis method, the formulas for constructing social and environmental system indexes are obtained in this paper. The formula for constructing comprehensive development index of Guangdong Province is obtained by weighted economic, social and environmental systems, and the principle and basis of formula construction are explained in detail. The last two chapters mainly study the application of comprehensive development index. In the fourth chapter, the comprehensive development evaluation formula is applied to calculate and evaluate the comprehensive development of Guangdong Province. In the fifth chapter, the comprehensive development evaluation formula is applied to the comprehensive development evaluation of various cities. After standardizing the original data of each city in recent years, the comprehensive development formula is put in and evaluated. Compared with the original rank of GDP growth, we can see the shortcomings and advantages of all kinds of cities, and put forward the strategy of differentiation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;D67;X2

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