本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)�。� 參考：《西北師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展過程中重要的兩種經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象，它們是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中的重要組成部分，兩者之間是相伴相隨。一方面，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級增強(qiáng)了城鎮(zhèn)的發(fā)展能力同時也是現(xiàn)代城鎮(zhèn)化的重要推動力；另一方面，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級離不開城鎮(zhèn)的空間延伸以及其職能體系等城鎮(zhèn)化諸多方面的空間支撐。2007年由美國的次貸危機(jī)引發(fā)的全球金融危機(jī)對我國的出口造成重大的影響，同時使我國面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)增長趨緩和就業(yè)形勢嚴(yán)峻的雙重壓力。在這樣的背景下，加快經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型顯得尤為迫切，應(yīng)對此次危機(jī)的有效對策之一就是加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化穩(wěn)步有序的發(fā)展，這也是甘肅未來經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要保障。改革開放以來甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化取得了較快的發(fā)展，城鎮(zhèn)化率由1978年的14.41%提升到2012年的38.75%。同時產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也處于不斷優(yōu)化升級中，三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重由1978年的“二一三”格局調(diào)整到2012年的“二三一”格局，二三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重之和由1978年的19.79%提高到2012年的39.55%。但是和全國平均水平相比，不論是城鎮(zhèn)化水平還是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方面均存在較大差距，，一方面城鎮(zhèn)化率低于全國平均水平13.82%；另一方面第一產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重嚴(yán)重過高，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部輕重工業(yè)比例失調(diào)，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展相對滯后，已經(jīng)制約甘肅經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)健康發(fā)展。因此，通過對甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的互動關(guān)系研究，探討兩者之間的互動規(guī)律，可以對甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化有序發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整提供建議，進(jìn)而推動甘肅經(jīng)濟(jì)的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展。 本文主要以文獻(xiàn)綜述、統(tǒng)計描述和計量分析的方法，對甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)互動關(guān)系進(jìn)行深入研究。首先，對城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)的梳理；然后通過一般統(tǒng)計描述對甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化現(xiàn)狀及特征和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變及特征進(jìn)行分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上，對城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的互動關(guān)系進(jìn)行了理論分析，表明第一產(chǎn)業(yè)是城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)動力，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的核心動力，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展是城鎮(zhèn)化的持續(xù)動力，同時城鎮(zhèn)化也是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的重要保障；再次，選取甘肅1983-2012年城鎮(zhèn)化率和三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重以及就業(yè)比重為指標(biāo)，基于VAR模型進(jìn)行實證分析，從實證角度分析了甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)互動關(guān)系，實證結(jié)果表明甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)并未形成理論意義上的良性互動；最后，在全文的分析基礎(chǔ)之上，針對甘肅城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化提出相應(yīng)的對策和建議。
[Abstract]:Urbanization and industrial structure are two important economic phenomena in the process of economic and social development. They are important components in the process of regional economic development, and they are concomitant with each other. On the one hand, the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure enhances the development ability of cities and towns, and it is also an important driving force for modern urbanization; on the other hand, The optimization and upgrading of industrial structure can not be separated from the spatial extension of cities and towns as well as the spatial support of urbanization and other aspects of urbanization. The global financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2007 has had a significant impact on China's exports. At the same time, our country is faced with the double pressure of economic growth to ease the employment situation. Under this background, it is particularly urgent to speed up the economic transformation. One of the effective countermeasures to this crisis is to speed up the adjustment of industrial structure and promote the steady and orderly development of urbanization, which is also an important guarantee for the future economic development of Gansu. Since the reform and opening up, Gansu urbanization has made rapid development, the urbanization rate increased from 14.41% in 1978 to 38.75% in 2012. At the same time, the industrial structure is also in the process of continuous optimization and upgrading. The proportion of output value of three industries has been adjusted from "two to three" in 1978 to "two three in one" in 2012, and the sum of employment in secondary and tertiary industries has increased from 19.79% in 1978 to 39.55% in 2012. However, compared with the national average, there is a big gap in both the level of urbanization and the industrial structure. On the one hand, the urbanization rate is lower than the national average of 13.82; on the other hand, the proportion of employment in the primary industry is seriously too high. The imbalance of the proportion of light and heavy industry in the secondary industry and the lag of the development of the tertiary industry have restricted the sustainable and healthy development of Gansu economy. Therefore, through the study of the interactive relationship between urbanization and industrial structure in Gansu Province, the interactive law between them can provide suggestions for the orderly development of urbanization and the adjustment of industrial structure in Gansu Province, and then promote the further development of Gansu economy. In this paper, the interactive relationship between urbanization and industrial structure in Gansu Province is studied by means of literature review, statistical description and econometric analysis. Firstly, the related literature on urbanization and industrial structure is systematically combed, and then the current situation and characteristics of urbanization and the evolution and characteristics of industrial structure in Gansu are analyzed through general statistical description. On this basis, the interactive relationship between the development of urbanization and the evolution of industrial structure is theoretically analyzed, which shows that the primary industry is the basic driving force of urbanization development, and the development of secondary industry is the core power of urbanization development. The development of tertiary industry is the sustainable driving force of urbanization, and urbanization is also an important guarantee for the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Thirdly, the urbanization rate, the proportion of tertiary industry output value and the proportion of employment in Gansu Province from 1983 to 2012 are selected as indicators. Based on the empirical analysis of VAR model, this paper analyzes the interaction between urbanization and industrial structure in Gansu Province from the perspective of empirical analysis. The empirical results show that urbanization and industrial structure in Gansu has not formed a positive interaction in the theoretical sense; finally, Based on the analysis of this paper, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for the development of urbanization and the optimization of industrial structure in Gansu Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.2;F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 馮尚春;;吉林省城鎮(zhèn)化特色與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級關(guān)系分析[J];長白學(xué)刊;2007年06期

2 陳榮達(dá);樓遠(yuǎn);;基于灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度的溫州產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化評估[J];財經(jīng)論叢(浙江財經(jīng)學(xué)院學(xué)報);2006年02期

3 趙永革;就業(yè)壓力下推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)戰(zhàn)略選擇[J];城市規(guī)劃;2003年06期

4 馬濤,李鵬雁,馬文東;新型工業(yè)化的區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級測度指標(biāo)體系研究[J];燕山大學(xué)學(xué)報;2004年03期

5 陳甬軍,陳愛貞;城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域轉(zhuǎn)移[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2004年12期

6 彭沖;李春風(fēng);李玉雙;;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷對經(jīng)濟(jì)波動的動態(tài)影響研究[J];產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2013年03期

7 沈正平;;優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與提升城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量的互動機(jī)制及實現(xiàn)途徑[J];城市發(fā)展研究;2013年05期

8 袁培紅,樊浩峰;大力發(fā)展產(chǎn)業(yè)集群 推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級[J];宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2005年04期

9 楊文舉;;中國城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系的實證分析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)緯;2007年01期

10 李京文;;搞好產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整保證國民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)穩(wěn)定協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;1989年12期

本文編號：1935283