本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)吸引力 + 碳排放�。� 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2014年博士論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)問題是經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中永恒主題和持續(xù)熱點(diǎn),對(duì)于驅(qū)動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的根本動(dòng)因的爭(zhēng)論更是其中的焦點(diǎn)。西方主流增長(zhǎng)理論經(jīng)歷了從“資本決定論”到“技術(shù)決定論”再到“制度決定論”的變遷過程。主流增長(zhǎng)理論對(duì)大部分經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)現(xiàn)象具有較強(qiáng)的解釋力,但仍然存在明顯缺陷：一是無法解釋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的發(fā)生和變速現(xiàn)象；二是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期趨勢(shì)和短期波動(dòng)之間未能建立必要的聯(lián)系；三是低估甚至忽略了政府作為領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者角色,在長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用。改革開放后,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)奇跡引起各國(guó)學(xué)者的廣泛關(guān)注,在生產(chǎn)函數(shù)中,無論是資本積累、勞動(dòng)力還是技術(shù)進(jìn)步都不足以解釋中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)奇跡。將經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)視為一種運(yùn)動(dòng),變速增長(zhǎng)則是運(yùn)動(dòng)狀態(tài)的改變,運(yùn)動(dòng)狀態(tài)改變意味著產(chǎn)生了外部力。各生產(chǎn)要素中,能夠產(chǎn)生“力”的要素?zé)o疑是由“人”構(gòu)成的勞動(dòng)力。然而,主流增長(zhǎng)理論中的勞動(dòng)力最初局限為勞動(dòng)力數(shù)量,盧卡斯的人力資源模型將勞動(dòng)力質(zhì)量納入增長(zhǎng)模型,但仍然忽視了“人”的主觀能動(dòng)性。換言之,主流增長(zhǎng)理論對(duì)勞動(dòng)力只考慮了其能不能干的問題,而忽視了愿不愿干以及愿意付出多大努力干的問題。為此,本文引入經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)吸引力模型對(duì)主流增長(zhǎng)理論加以改進(jìn)以闡釋中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速增長(zhǎng)帶來的一個(gè)問題是碳排放總量快速攀升躍居世界第一,而碳排放是引起全球氣候變暖問題的主要原因。隨著社會(huì)各界對(duì)氣候變化問題的關(guān)注度不斷提高,碳排放成為制約經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的一個(gè)重要因素。2009年中國(guó)政府做出減排承諾,論文以該承諾為約束條件探索中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)路徑問題。為此,全面分析了中國(guó)碳排放現(xiàn)狀、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)之間的關(guān)系、碳排放的影響因素等,并基于主流增長(zhǎng)理論、氣候變化經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論以及經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)吸引力模型建立有約束的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型,在效用最大化過程中求解中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的最優(yōu)路徑、以及相關(guān)的投資研發(fā)路徑、碳排放強(qiáng)度路徑和碳排放總量路徑,并結(jié)合本文的主要結(jié)論以及中國(guó)的現(xiàn)實(shí)實(shí)際提出針對(duì)性建議。
[Abstract]:The problem of economic growth is an eternal theme and a persistent hot topic in economics, and the debate about the fundamental motivation of economic growth is the focus. The western mainstream growth theory has experienced a process from capital determinism to technological determinism to institutional determinism. The mainstream growth theory has a strong explanatory power to most economic growth phenomena, but there are still obvious defects: first, it can not explain the occurrence of economic growth and the phenomenon of speed change; The second is the failure to establish the necessary connection between the long-term trend of economic growth and the short-term fluctuation, and the third is to underestimate or even ignore the role of the government as a leader in the long-term economic growth. After the reform and opening up, the miracle of China's economic growth has attracted the attention of scholars all over the world. In the production function, the accumulation of capital, labor force and technological progress are not enough to explain the miracle of China's economic growth. Economic growth is regarded as a kind of movement, and variable speed growth is the change of motion state, which means that external force is produced. Among the factors of production, the elements that can produce "force" are undoubtedly the labor force made up of "human". However, the labor force in the mainstream growth theory is initially limited to the number of labor force. Lucas' human resource model takes the quality of labor force into the growth model, but still neglects the subjective initiative of "human". In other words, mainstream growth theory only considers whether the labor force can do it or not, ignoring the question of whether or not it is willing to do it and how much it is willing to do. Therefore, this paper introduces the attraction model of economic objectives to improve the mainstream growth theory to explain China's economic growth. One problem with rapid economic growth is the rapid rise in total carbon emissions, which are the main cause of global warming. With the increasing attention to climate change, carbon emissions have become an important factor restricting economic growth. In 2009, the Chinese government made a commitment to reduce emissions, and this commitment is used as a constraint to explore the path of China's economic growth. Therefore, this paper comprehensively analyzes the current situation of carbon emissions in China, the relationship between carbon emissions and the economy, and the influencing factors of carbon emissions, and based on the mainstream growth theory, The economic theory of climate change and the attraction model of economic objectives establish a constrained economic growth model to solve the optimal path of China's economic growth in the process of maximizing utility, as well as the related investment and development path. Carbon emission intensity path and total carbon emission path, combined with the main conclusions of this paper and the reality of China, put forward targeted recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124
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本文編號(hào)：1911359